Able-Culvert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.73K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

337

Trades

1,083

lifetime

Volume

$39.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 09-23 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

61% 42% -$1,585

Crypto

30% 64% +$113

Politics

7% 15% -$7

Sports

1% 50% -$238

Tech

1% 25% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$735	376	376	+0	No	-$2	05-12 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$590	300	300	+0	No	+$6	06-01 10:10
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$549	450	450	+0	No	-$2	04-12 13:03
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	5	$506	500	500	+0	Learner Tien	-$76	05-23 15:06
ng up or down on april 16 2026	2	$473	520	520	+0	Up	-$36	04-16 12:44
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5	2	$468	269	269	+0	Under	+$68	05-24 04:50
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	10	$442	520	520	+0	Quentin Halys	-$75	05-27 15:30
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	4	$404	336	326	+9	Yes	+$113	04-11 01:59
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	2	$398	770	0	+770	Max Alcala Gurri	-$398	05-23 16:03
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	2	$387	800	0	+800	Ignacio Buse	-$387	05-23 12:57
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$374	200	200	+0	No	$0	04-28 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$367	185	185	+0	No	+$2	05-16 06:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	9	$363	192	192	+0	No	-$5	05-18 00:20
spx up or down on april 20 2026	2	$337	220	220	+0	Down	-$2	04-20 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$335	170	170	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$328	170	170	+0	No	+$10	05-14 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	4	$311	163	163	+0	No	+$11	06-02 04:18
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5	1	$308	389	0	+389	Over	-$308	05-24 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$298	200	200	+0	Up	+$90	05-31 15:25
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	9	$296	200	200	+0	Solana Sierra	+$79	05-27 17:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$289	150	150	+0	No	-$1	05-15 04:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	4	$284	371	371	+0	Yes	-$1	06-15 04:33
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	5	$282	600	600	+0	No	+$78	04-14 07:42
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar	8	$253	533	533	+0	Elina Svitolina	-$19	05-25 13:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$248	131	131	+0	No	+$3	06-04 04:14
Chisinau: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alex Martinez	9	$240	170	170	+0	Stefanos Sakellaridis	+$86	05-27 13:06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	12	$236	394	394	+0	No	+$43	05-31 07:00
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	2	$235	130	130	+0	open	—	07-22 04:28
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	2	$234	125	125	+0	open	—	07-17 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$230	129	129	+0	No	-$17	05-19 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 14:16:50	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xb7ccf0…
09-13 14:00:19	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x423cab…
09-13 08:29:24	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xd63a24…
08-09 15:30:39	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x364cbf…
08-06 04:19:56	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	115	94¢	$108	0x829d0d…
08-03 12:22:42	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xab4304…
08-03 12:22:18	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x066eb1…
08-03 12:21:44	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x41bafa…
07-29 14:01:05	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x001229…
07-28 14:42:01	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xfee05d…
07-28 14:32:05	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0xe41206…
07-27 15:32:51	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x924a38…
07-27 15:26:55	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	110	93¢	$103	0xc450c9…
07-27 05:08:51	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x148fb2…
07-27 04:18:01	Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x290e79…
07-26 14:26:07	Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x2eab7e…
07-24 04:57:07	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	113	93¢	$105	0x2acaf0…
07-23 13:32:18	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x64c9fb…
07-23 13:31:30	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x0d4b5f…
07-23 13:28:06	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x154679…
07-22 04:28:18	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	130	90¢	$117	0x84c6af…
07-21 15:01:40	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0xc9e7a1…
07-21 12:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x48b22d…
07-21 12:36:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0xa2c6e6…
07-20 14:21:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x046764…
07-20 13:37:40	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xe03421…
07-20 13:35:31	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x573fa4…
07-20 13:34:01	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x161422…
07-20 13:33:45	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x501d30…
07-20 13:04:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x4f0836…
07-20 13:04:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	206	13¢	$27	0x79a944…
07-20 13:04:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0x2071fe…
07-20 13:02:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xdd67c2…
07-20 13:02:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xae1ef1…
07-20 13:01:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x1facd9…
07-17 06:10:54	Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	125	93¢	$116	0x03d411…
07-16 04:42:05	Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	125	94¢	$118	0x52bc69…
07-16 04:35:50	Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x83a30b…
07-16 04:35:40	Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0x7c1f05…
07-15 15:33:31	Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	BUY	76	93¢	$71	0x035552…
07-15 15:32:38	Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x278759…
07-15 05:14:32	Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x8eaf40…
07-15 05:14:16	Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0x5a2161…
07-14 15:44:13	Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x0cf3e0…
07-14 15:41:35	Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x8ce03f…
07-14 15:40:22	Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0xc559ee…
07-14 15:40:11	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	73	93¢	$68	0x673490…
07-14 05:17:08	Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x189cf6…
07-14 05:12:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x5a859f…
07-14 04:30:13	Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x4a06ff…
07-14 04:29:56	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x22f452…
07-13 15:37:59	Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0x541ebc…
07-13 15:37:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xf645c3…
07-13 12:25:31	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?	Yes	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x51daff…
07-12 14:21:44	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?	Yes	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0x0ee837…
07-12 14:00:26	Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	110	93¢	$103	0xf6e87d…
07-10 14:15:56	Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	92¢	$102	0x4019f7…
07-10 05:09:46	Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$49	0x88f897…
07-10 05:09:37	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0xeb4b26…
07-09 14:27:53	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x7434a8…
07-09 14:24:01	Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x0def7e…
07-09 13:07:49	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xca0b29…
07-09 13:07:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	65	92¢	$59	0x5de7a2…
07-08 15:12:14	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xfdfad1…
07-08 15:09:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xec2822…
07-08 12:20:20	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	61	94¢	$58	0xbadccf…
07-08 12:10:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	65	77¢	$50	0x32e8f9…
07-07 15:17:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x842314…
07-07 15:09:41	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xf99b57…
07-07 13:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x2d2745…
07-06 13:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x356969…
07-06 13:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xef1ca4…
07-06 13:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc6ba60…
07-06 13:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbdf1b6…
07-06 13:32:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xdbbbf0…
07-06 13:16:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xd1a8fb…
07-06 13:16:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xb72489…
07-06 13:16:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xabcb2b…
07-06 13:09:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xe70fe9…
07-06 12:54:08	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	91¢	$50	0x467326…
07-06 12:53:58	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0x33394b…
07-04 14:32:58	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x5e7ba8…
07-04 13:58:23	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x06f2fd…
07-02 20:18:52	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	SELL	58	98¢	$56	0xf3633c…
07-02 20:18:40	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x84c024…
07-01 14:48:19	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xe5e75a…
07-01 14:47:23	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x3c4c50…
07-01 13:51:23	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0x89407a…
07-01 13:51:14	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xe1b720…
06-30 16:39:40	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x86b0b1…
06-30 16:38:37	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x92d806…
06-30 15:27:25	Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0xc9ce77…
06-30 15:27:14	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$65	0x7230ac…
06-29 16:07:53	Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x29c15e…
06-29 16:05:44	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0xfa2b0f…
06-29 15:39:43	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0x16a8b2…
06-29 15:39:26	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	75	94¢	$71	0x6dac88…
06-29 05:24:47	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x5df14f…
06-29 05:22:01	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x20fd26…
06-29 04:44:14	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	66	94¢	$62	0xa003d9…