Honest-Missile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-21 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

39% 46% $-2

Crypto

36% 29% $-8

Other

13% 60% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$14	8	8	+0	Spurs	+$2	05-07 04:43
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$10	5	5	+0	Knicks	+$0	05-09 01:50
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$7	14	0	+14	Knicks	$-0	05-07 01:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Down	$-3	05-06 09:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 08:57
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$4	21	21	+0	open	—	05-08 16:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	26	0	+26	open	—	05-06 15:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	2	$3	2	2	+0	Noemi Basiletti	+$1	05-07 13:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-06 09:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$4	05-06 08:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-06 09:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 18:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 18:47
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$3	3	0	+3	Thunder	+$0	05-07 04:47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	3	$2	5	6	-1	Naomi Osaka	$-1	05-08 16:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-11 04:01
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 22:56
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-08 15:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$2	19	19	+0	open	—	05-08 15:29
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$2	3	0	+3	Cavaliers	+$1	05-09 09:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$2	5	0	+5	Pistons	$-2	05-08 00:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 18:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-04 18:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-04 22:52
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	$-1	05-04 22:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx	1	$1	2	0	+2	Alexander Blockx	+$1	05-08 16:05
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	1	$1	3	0	+3	Knicks	$-1	05-04 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:15:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x8b7101…
05-21 01:14:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x60ee54…
05-11 04:01:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xab262b…
05-11 01:02:00	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x038247…
05-10 01:22:03	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb77e6b…
05-09 09:07:46	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x21871c…
05-09 01:50:32	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xef89a0…
05-09 01:27:52	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x579e7d…
05-09 01:27:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa9afb7…
05-08 16:12:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9930f0…
05-08 16:05:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x649e08…
05-08 16:02:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Naomi Osaka	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7b890f…
05-08 15:59:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xabd84e…
05-08 15:35:04	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1e58e9…
05-08 15:32:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0dd043…
05-08 15:29:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x2acc7d…
05-08 15:28:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0b70d4…
05-08 12:30:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb458d6…
05-08 12:29:31	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x014be8…
05-08 02:22:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x064f54…
05-08 02:22:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x04c965…
05-08 00:52:17	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4f245d…
05-08 00:16:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x46a117…
05-07 13:16:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x863777…
05-07 13:13:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Noemi Basiletti	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdaaa69…
05-07 04:47:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Noemi Basiletti	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a5af2…
05-07 04:47:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc3cbc6…
05-07 04:43:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x596eaf…
05-07 01:27:11	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4d74a2…
05-06 22:56:25	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xac6a05…
05-06 15:05:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x12ffec…
05-06 14:40:40	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8d0918…
05-06 14:35:43	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4c12a1…
05-06 14:32:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x6bfb5e…
05-06 14:31:50	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc64a87…
05-06 09:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x628ab8…
05-06 09:25:22	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x5e8bdb…
05-06 09:24:44	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x341cdf…
05-06 09:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xed4a54…
05-06 09:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2236cb…
05-06 09:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2ce422…
05-06 09:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x032679…
05-06 09:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdc577a…
05-06 08:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x68c4e4…
05-06 08:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x383a45…
05-06 08:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x82c772…
05-05 05:29:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xad6f29…
05-04 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda2cb3…
05-04 22:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49d79a…
05-04 22:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9d2042…
05-04 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x325afc…
05-04 22:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7d446a…
05-04 22:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x10d9b9…
05-04 22:21:06	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5098df…
05-04 22:20:00	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc878cb…
05-04 22:16:08	76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb691a1…
05-04 19:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa3b1c…
05-04 19:13:08	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa75bbc…
05-04 19:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaa30fa…
05-04 19:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x96a326…
05-04 18:56:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa45db0…
05-04 18:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x633e7f…
05-04 18:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x025a3e…
05-04 18:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3c9930…
05-04 18:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x04db3f…
05-04 18:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9dc987…
05-04 18:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf96be3…
05-04 18:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc15c2d…
05-04 18:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9976bd…