Realized P&L
+$11.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.56K
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
104
Trades
2,758
lifetime
Volume
$667.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$242
Open exposure
$7.04K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-30 11:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
64%
73%
+$4,379
Other
27%
56%
-$8,613
Crypto
7%
50%
-$483
Sports
2%
40%
+$16,607
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -5,000 | -$2,520 | 93¢ | $-4658 | -$2,138 | 05-08 18:30 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -1,000 | -$726 | 94¢ | $-940 | -$214 | 05-02 14:15 | |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | -819 | -$603 | 90¢ | $-733 | -$129 | 07-29 16:03 | |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -730 | -$586 | 91¢ | $-662 | -$76 | 07-30 11:20 | |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -45 | -$32 | 88¢ | $-40 | -$8 | 07-23 09:37 | |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | -70 | -$11 | 6¢ | $-4 | +$6 | 07-22 08:30 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 209 | $93.4K | 73,737 | 53,615 | +20,121 | No | +$1,282 | 03-30 14:59 |
| us strikes iran by february 1 2026 | 69 | $67.6K | 30,848 | 37,562 | -6,713 | No | +$193 | 02-02 03:32 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 43 | $55.8K | 25,012 | 34,012 | -9,000 | No | -$499 | 02-06 19:27 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 16 | $38.6K | 39,581 | 0 | +39,581 | No | +$949 | 01-24 06:40 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 615 | $34.9K | 48,315 | 45,815 | +2,500 | Yes | -$157 | 03-29 21:15 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 76 | $31.4K | 20,358 | 17,903 | +2,455 | No | +$445 | 01-31 13:38 |
| elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299 | 83 | $27.7K | 14,706 | 13,071 | +1,635 | No | +$22 | 02-17 16:19 |
| elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164 | 75 | $22.4K | 11,602 | 11,015 | +587 | No | +$200 | 02-18 15:59 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 37 | $21.7K | 11,595 | 11,595 | +0 | No | +$221 | 01-26 02:28 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 34 | $17.3K | 9,498 | 10,000 | -502 | No | +$218 | 02-20 20:29 |
| elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114 | 40 | $16.6K | 5,767 | 12,414 | -6,647 | Yes | -$1,436 | 02-18 16:49 |
| elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 40 64 | 27 | $16.3K | 11,287 | 5,286 | +6,002 | No | +$157 | 02-17 20:00 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 133 | $14.9K | 16,428 | 16,990 | -562 | Yes | +$197 | 02-16 11:53 |
| elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89 | 27 | $14.1K | 7,163 | 7,163 | +0 | No | +$72 | 02-17 22:56 |
| elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319 | 111 | $13.8K | 6,930 | 6,908 | +22 | No | +$6 | 02-17 15:05 |
| us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528 | 4 | $12.3K | 8,899 | 3,399 | +5,500 | No | +$11 | 02-17 00:10 |
| elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359 | 62 | $11.8K | 6,425 | 5,553 | +872 | No | +$19 | 02-19 22:27 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 20 | $11.0K | 7,257 | 7,054 | +203 | No | +$961 | 02-15 21:37 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 27 | $10.2K | 23,115 | 22,915 | +200 | No | +$500 | 01-16 00:58 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 38 | $9.7K | 8,006 | 8,933 | -927 | Yes | +$452 | 02-01 15:13 |
| elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379 | 13 | $9.0K | 3,340 | 5,738 | -2,398 | Yes | +$58 | 02-13 16:57 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 43 | $8.5K | 6,743 | 7,370 | -627 | No | +$186 | 02-09 00:32 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 39 | $6.8K | 5,579 | 6,579 | -1,000 | No | +$247 | 03-24 11:34 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 45 | $6.3K | 30,000 | 80,556 | -50,556 | No | +$2,916 | 06-26 20:32 |
| elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379 | 6 | $5.8K | 2,933 | 2,933 | +0 | No | +$10 | 02-20 17:06 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 42 | $4.9K | 6,839 | 6,454 | +385 | Yes | -$251 | 04-26 19:25 |
| elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399 | 5 | $4.6K | 2,323 | 2,323 | +0 | No | +$2 | 02-24 16:15 |
| mwoh usa ger 2026 02 15 | 5 | $4.5K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | USA | +$450 | 02-14 23:08 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 17 | $4.4K | 23,914 | 6,514 | +17,400 | Yes | +$14,522 | 07-19 22:57 |
| us strikes iran by february 3 2026 | 31 | $4.3K | 5,534 | 5,534 | +0 | No | +$8 | 02-02 14:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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