Realized P&L
-$154
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
649
Trades
1,256
lifetime
Volume
$1.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$31
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-19 12:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
39% 71% -$86
Crypto
32% 58% -$32
Sports
16% 73% -$20
Politics
11% 72% -$20
Tech
2% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +12 $7 68¢ $8 +$1 09-22 20:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -33 -$3 12¢ $-4 -$1 08-14 14:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 10-19 12:01
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 07-20 07:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4 $3 56¢ $2 -$1 09-22 20:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-19 12:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $0 07-20 07:40
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 07-23 10:59
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 +$0 07-23 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-19 12:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 09-22 20:57
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 08-04 10:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $0 07-20 07:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 06-02 20:42
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-22 20:57
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 10:57
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-23 10:57
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-11 07:09
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 10:57
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -0 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 10:57