Realized P&L (30d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved (30d)
31
Trades (30d)
66
412 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$324
$1.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$139
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-06 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
56% 59% +$37
Sports
25% 65% +$55
Politics
11% 50% -$18
Tech
7% 62% -$1
Crypto
1% 50% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +13 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 10-26 20:08
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $10 75¢ $12 +$2 10-24 13:34
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 71¢ $8 +$3 10-12 14:52
Will Drake headline Coachella 2027? No +9 $5 74¢ $7 +$2 10-24 16:09
Will US births in 2026 be between 3.53 million and 3.56 million? Yes +18 $5 38¢ $7 +$2 11-01 09:52
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? No +7 $5 93¢ $7 +$2 11-01 09:36
1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027? Yes +6 $3 94¢ $6 +$3 10-23 18:06
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30? Yes +8 $5 65¢ $5 +$0 11-02 19:32
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 10-24 16:23
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027? Yes +8 $5 60¢ $5 $0 10-24 16:09
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes +40 $5 12¢ $5 $0 10-03 17:00
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +20 $5 22¢ $5 $0 10-30 21:41
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? Yes +13 $5 34¢ $5 $0 10-23 17:41
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $5 46¢ $5 $0 09-08 15:53
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes +10 $5 43¢ $4 -$1 10-04 18:46
Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027? Yes +7 $5 54¢ $4 -$1 10-24 16:09
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? No +12 $5 30¢ $4 -$1 11-01 09:45
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30? No +17 $3 22¢ $4 +$1 11-02 19:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? Yes +69 $5 5¢ $4 -$1 09-03 16:06
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? No +8 $3 40¢ $3 +$0 11-02 19:30
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31? Yes +17 $5 18¢ $3 -$2 10-24 13:37
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +9 $5 32¢ $3 -$2 09-08 21:22
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +43 $3 6¢ $3 $0 08-09 21:36
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026 Yes +10 $0 24¢ $2 +$3 10-24 19:20
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026? No +14 $5 18¢ $2 -$3 10-23 17:37
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +16 $5 14¢ $2 -$3 11-02 14:26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +25 $5 9¢ $2 -$3 10-21 13:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +5 $3 40¢ $2 -$1 09-03 16:08
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? No +6 $3 35¢ $2 -$1 09-02 10:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +214 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 10-23 17:20