Realized P&L
+$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$13.0K
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
18
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$31.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$148
Open exposure
$2.45K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 08-11 08:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
51%
40%
+$3,066
Tech
35%
100%
+$2,051
Other
14%
20%
-$1,639
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | +1,187 | $1,046 | 88¢ | $1.0K | -$2 | 08-11 08:49 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +4,112 | $2,392 | 12¢ | $514 | -$1,878 | 06-03 05:18 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +6,284 | $3,651 | 6¢ | $408 | -$3,242 | 06-10 04:43 | |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | +6,720 | $1,105 | 2¢ | $144 | -$961 | 07-07 23:30 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +3,266 | $1,236 | 3¢ | $91 | -$1,145 | 06-03 04:30 | |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $60 | +187 | $139 | 47¢ | $87 | -$51 | 06-02 06:06 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | +4,571 | $3,521 | 2¢ | $80 | -$3,441 | 06-09 05:37 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | +3,000 | $2,130 | 2¢ | $48 | -$2,082 | 05-22 01:43 | |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | Yes | +1,124 | $185 | 3¢ | $36 | -$149 | 06-10 04:44 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | 21 | $7.5K | 11,146 | 0 | +11,146 | 70k | +$3,651 | 06-02 02:13 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $3.7K | 6,284 | 0 | +6,284 | open | — | 06-10 04:43 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | 5 | $3.5K | 4,571 | 0 | +4,571 | open | — | 06-09 05:37 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 5 | $2.4K | 4,112 | 0 | +4,112 | open | — | 06-03 05:18 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | 3 | $2.2K | 3,216 | 0 | +3,216 | Yes | +$1,030 | 05-31 09:24 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | 35 | $2.1K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | open | — | 05-22 01:43 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | 5 | $1.6K | 1,888 | 0 | +1,888 | Yes | +$277 | 05-29 23:22 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $1.2K | 3,266 | 0 | +3,266 | open | — | 06-03 04:30 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | 48 | $1.1K | 6,720 | 0 | +6,720 | open | — | 07-07 23:30 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | 2 | $1.0K | 1,187 | 0 | +1,187 | open | — | 08-11 08:49 |
| will company b be accused of insider trading | 5 | $956 | 4,148 | 0 | +4,148 | No | -$956 | 02-26 07:48 |
| will hyperliquid hit 30 in january | 6 | $903 | 1,423 | 1,423 | +0 | Yes | -$869 | 01-21 17:39 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 1 | $536 | 800 | 0 | +800 | No | -$536 | 01-05 22:01 |
| Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? | 5 | $519 | 1,051 | 0 | +1,051 | open | — | 06-07 07:29 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $418 | 1,162 | 0 | +1,162 | Yes | +$744 | 05-29 05:53 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30? | 4 | $382 | 442 | 0 | +442 | No | +$61 | 05-29 08:43 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 1 | $300 | 439 | 0 | +439 | Yes | -$300 | 02-26 09:51 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | 2 | $185 | 1,124 | 0 | +1,124 | open | — | 06-10 04:44 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 34 | $150 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Yes | +$850 | 05-27 18:12 |
| over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688 | 2 | $139 | 472 | 0 | +472 | Yes | -$139 | 01-05 17:07 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | 1 | $139 | 187 | 0 | +187 | open | — | 06-02 06:06 |
| over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632 | 2 | $109 | 273 | 0 | +273 | Yes | -$109 | 01-05 17:07 |
| will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31 | 6 | $99 | 994 | 0 | +994 | No | -$99 | 01-15 03:50 |
| will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january | 3 | $70 | 87 | 0 | +87 | No | -$70 | 01-21 17:43 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? | 1 | $34 | 61 | 0 | +61 | Yes | -$34 | 06-01 13:47 |
| Glean IPO before 2027? | 1 | $31 | 221 | 0 | +221 | open | — | 06-09 05:37 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2? | 4 | $22 | 94 | 0 | +94 | No | -$22 | 06-02 11:36 |
| will hyperliquid hit 34 in january | 4 | $8 | 50 | 50 | -0 | Yes | -$8 | 01-21 17:39 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? | 1 | $3 | 10 | 0 | +10 | Yes | +$8 | 05-26 00:25 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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