Austere-Reference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

726

lifetime

Volume

$3.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-09 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 05:34
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 18:08
Kicker vs. Mayo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 15:19
Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 03:18
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 02:52
SK Poltava vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 1.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 13:54
elc mil qpr 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 13:38
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 30c	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 04:27
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 halftime result draw	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 16:52
wta korpats shnaide 2026 04 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 21:05
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 22:09
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 23:57
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 22:34
ufc den2 mar91 2026 04 18	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 23:57
nba tor cle 2026 04 18 spread home 8pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 19:57
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 18:02
Madrid Open: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Alexandra Eala	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 13:13
hr1 gor lok 2026 04 17 total 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 15:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 21:01
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 02:14
fl1 nan sbr 2026 04 19 total 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa30583…
06-09 16:32:37	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbd1d4…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e6751…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a7314…
06-07 22:16:04	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f61e7…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x596c79…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4a8df…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79b409…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6c968…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d749a…
06-06 16:17:28	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	Andreeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2d775…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c85c1…
06-06 13:05:15	cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06	9z	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9526fe…
06-06 12:05:57	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ec58b…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x932473…
06-06 11:32:27	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd9671…
06-05 18:20:42	mlbb sup1 omnix 2026 06 05 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fbad5…
06-05 16:29:34	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2590bd…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb6504…
06-04 04:48:12	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6f58de…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b3d3c…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe70cdb…
06-03 13:38:28	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7772d…
06-03 07:01:16	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x335fae…
06-03 04:48:23	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4516b…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b3e15…
06-02 19:09:22	Jack Pinnington Jones vs. Aleksandar Vukic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x496933…
06-02 15:24:40	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a07b8…
06-02 14:02:02	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5eb27…
06-02 11:38:41	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b181a…
06-01 09:07:12	Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winner	NRG	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa3f93…
06-01 07:28:44	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1db6d6…
06-01 07:00:25	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc492e8…
06-01 05:49:19	CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44cbe9…
05-31 21:52:21	Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37888c…
05-31 20:35:35	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Olimpia Milano	Pallacanestro Brescia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02a893…
05-31 18:43:07	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc8685…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56cbd3…
05-31 09:15:41	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d81ca…
05-31 09:14:34	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c70e7…
05-30 22:09:39	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a2722…
05-30 18:04:17	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb44477…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07b814…
05-30 14:02:33	Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe58723…
05-30 13:58:54	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	KT Wiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb45aca…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04243b…
05-30 05:34:38	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4d831…
05-30 04:48:12	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0256f3…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9587ad…
05-29 21:58:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebfe48…
05-29 21:06:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6163e…
05-29 21:01:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x647470…
05-29 20:22:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e4bf5…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28df18…
05-29 13:57:01	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59d612…
05-29 10:23:50	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kristina Kroitor vs Sevil Yuldasheva	Kristina Kroitor	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd127b…
05-28 16:52:17	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf79f87…
05-28 16:31:17	Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	Asterisk	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x834c56…
05-28 13:50:51	Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby	Mariano Navone	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb3f03…
05-28 12:44:15	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Botswana	Botswana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12b883…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4aef23…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4cb54…
05-27 02:28:09	Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)	CD Tolima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fb479…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c884c…
05-26 17:38:35	Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)	Struff	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e9e30…
05-26 16:59:37	Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Trabzonspor	Bahcesehir Koleji	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44eafa…
05-26 14:03:26	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2da1f2…
05-26 13:17:59	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf44ee7…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b1852…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3724b1…
05-25 04:48:27	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09f4d9…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58e9d8…
05-24 20:34:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a22ab…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8762b…
05-24 17:22:17	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc76b0b…
05-24 16:02:10	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf4c059…
05-24 16:02:10	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08de89…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53b77b…
05-24 09:54:12	ITF Bol: Noa Vukadin vs Maks Kasnikowski	Maks Kasnikowski	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3620de…
05-24 08:38:22	KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz	NC Dinos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe075f…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7304eb…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb1659…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4300e9…
05-23 14:13:00	ITF Kayseri: Patrick Schoen vs Artem Alekseychuk	Patrick Schoen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9583a4…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x473b65…
05-23 05:56:23	ITF Women Changwon: Completed Match: Dabin Kim vs Ha Eum Lee	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c18be…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecbda6…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb33b7c…
05-22 20:12:51	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x190f72…
05-22 17:12:22	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8530e8…
05-22 11:34:19	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc899b…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97c71d…
05-21 20:07:43	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x943f9c…
05-21 14:24:56	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8d67e…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d41f9…
05-20 21:43:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x281e73…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc73074…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x463aa9…
05-20 19:30:00	El Masry SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87c272…
05-20 19:29:25	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc38b99…