Muddy-Sled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,533

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-01 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 33% $-13

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

12% 67% $-4

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 294 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val c9 lev1 2026 04 12	5	$691	375	373	+2	open	—	04-12 22:37
epl che mac 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	6	$466	276	274	+2	open	—	04-12 17:34
mlb ari phi 2026 04 12 total 8pt5	5	$450	260	258	+2	open	—	04-12 20:30
lal bil vil 2026 04 12 draw	2	$417	217	217	+1	open	—	04-12 21:05
wta rybakin fernand 2026 04 17	28	$401	420	413	+7	open	—	04-17 21:14
atp napolit schoolk 2026 04 10	37	$367	382	356	+26	open	—	04-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$308	287	247	+40	open	—	04-29 22:09
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	7	$267	335	235	+100	open	—	04-28 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$231	155	155	+0	open	—	04-30 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	13	$225	322	47	+276	open	—	05-01 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	11	$220	205	112	+93	open	—	04-30 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	11	$216	208	208	+0	open	—	04-29 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	11	$212	186	186	+0	open	—	04-29 21:53
mlb ari phi 2026 04 12 total 9pt5	2	$207	108	107	+0	open	—	04-12 20:34
r6siege faze fluxow 2026 04 12	2	$200	358	0	+358	open	—	04-12 21:50
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 4pt5	3	$193	149	147	+1	open	—	04-13 23:16
epl che mac 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	2	$190	105	104	+0	open	—	04-12 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	12	$179	160	160	+0	open	—	04-29 20:44
cs2 lgc mouz 2026 04 13	6	$177	108	96	+12	open	—	04-13 21:08
por est por 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	2	$177	109	108	+1	open	—	04-12 21:34
cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11	6	$176	196	194	+3	open	—	04-11 19:46
val geng pr1 2026 04 12	7	$173	160	154	+6	open	—	04-12 12:43
mls mia nyr 2026 04 11 draw	4	$166	112	112	+0	open	—	04-12 01:36
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 sev	5	$159	109	108	+1	open	—	04-11 21:46
cs2 yn mis 2026 04 12	12	$155	208	92	+117	open	—	04-12 12:02
nba okc den 2026 04 10	4	$152	91	90	+1	open	—	04-11 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$149	113	113	+0	open	—	04-29 20:28
por fam mor 2026 04 10 total 2pt5	8	$147	131	106	+26	open	—	04-10 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$146	172	104	+68	open	—	04-29 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$141	104	104	+0	open	—	04-29 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2d55fb…
05-01 06:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x74a950…
05-01 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcc68b7…
05-01 06:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xff8a80…
05-01 06:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x073c50…
05-01 06:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x355cee…
05-01 06:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x094982…
05-01 06:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdd6283…
05-01 06:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x46d979…
05-01 06:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8b6672…
05-01 06:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xecfa4c…
05-01 06:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8a1e33…
05-01 06:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x70d91e…
05-01 06:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	39	68¢	$27	0xabef0e…
05-01 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x113dfe…
05-01 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x71ffdf…
05-01 06:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xebd8e7…
05-01 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x8f0104…
05-01 06:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x361e13…
05-01 06:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x76b70a…
05-01 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xea271c…
05-01 06:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2e5cee…
05-01 06:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x29433d…
05-01 06:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x482cb2…
05-01 06:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	65¢	$16	0xba7713…
05-01 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x313b91…
05-01 06:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0xde9562…
05-01 06:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x1a47d5…
04-30 22:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb68ee3…
04-30 22:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb30fc7…
04-30 22:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x7434c5…
04-30 22:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	52	87¢	$46	0x2803dc…
04-30 22:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xe52517…
04-30 22:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x90c804…
04-30 22:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x57d7d6…
04-30 22:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb56f86…
04-30 22:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6f6554…
04-30 22:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5ba5a9…
04-30 22:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa0b916…
04-30 22:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xc82849…
04-30 22:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x2a0392…
04-30 22:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x5b73d1…
04-30 22:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x0038cc…
04-30 22:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	51	29¢	$15	0xa6e59e…
04-30 22:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x88b276…
04-30 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4c7add…
04-30 22:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe2a5c0…
04-30 22:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	95	57¢	$54	0x40718a…
04-30 22:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x66fbbc…
04-30 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc7c96c…
04-30 22:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xe8251b…
04-30 22:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x8b7d20…
04-30 22:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0xa8bafd…
04-30 22:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	95	7¢	$7	0xf18af0…
04-30 22:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x7ff941…
04-30 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x0edb0b…
04-30 22:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	136	77¢	$105	0x870d79…
04-30 22:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xdbef95…
04-30 22:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe969f8…
04-30 22:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x84545a…
04-30 22:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xeb9b36…
04-30 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9d355b…
04-30 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0xdf376a…
04-30 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	68	85¢	$58	0x6a4904…
04-30 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x5a3f1c…
04-30 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x3cf184…
04-30 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd2561b…
04-30 22:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x2d3e17…
04-30 22:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6a12ca…
04-30 22:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x0eaac4…
04-30 22:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf3323f…
04-30 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf99887…
04-30 22:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xbbe9d1…
04-30 22:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x40dd5b…
04-30 22:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x73484d…
04-30 22:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xbe2939…
04-30 22:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x7174d1…
04-30 22:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x964236…
04-30 22:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6a53a1…
04-30 22:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x01a15a…
04-30 22:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x9fb200…
04-30 22:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x646ddf…
04-29 22:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe30228…
04-29 22:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x05e700…
04-29 22:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0584cf…
04-29 22:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	247	58¢	$143	0x6420cb…
04-29 22:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xf6b7a3…
04-29 22:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0xa39ea1…
04-29 22:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x21cb0c…
04-29 22:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x42f1b1…
04-29 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd77cad…
04-29 22:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x847477…
04-29 22:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9d7048…
04-29 22:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8b513a…
04-29 22:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa2fc92…
04-29 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x0c1b81…
04-29 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x580109…
04-29 21:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5ac667…
04-29 21:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0b138d…
04-29 21:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa0693a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	397	$4.41M	24,684	05-13 20:46
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	390	$6.28M	72,327	05-13 20:50
(anonymous) 0xa975…42ee	389	$15.3K	910	04-29 00:51
Whopping-Roar 0x2302…d6d2	376	$608.5K	5,981	04-22 18:59
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	372	$1.96M	46,077	05-03 09:29
Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3	372	$488.5K	4,536	05-06 20:29
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	356	$1.06M	46,835	05-06 20:56
(anonymous) 0xfb51…082d	353	$347.7K	4,200	04-25 07:44