Willing-Quality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$301

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

20.3%

Resolved

176

Trades

691

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-02 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

39% 16% -$85

Politics

36% 21% -$105

Tech

17% 10% -$95

Sports

5% 17% +$7

Crypto

2% 75% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No		+50	$40	92¢	$46	+$6	06-29 10:22
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes		+50	$38	8¢	$4	-$33	07-01 00:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	4	$629	400	400	+0	Yes	-$7	07-20 02:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$538	400	400	+0	Yes	-$6	07-18 03:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	7	$522	405	405	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 01:15
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	10	$426	400	300	+100	open	—	07-01 00:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	4	$408	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 14:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$356	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:06
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$344	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-18 03:32
over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	2	$318	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-15 05:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 05:09
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	2	$309	200	200	+0	No	-$19	06-11 14:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	3	$295	200	200	+0	No	-$5	06-26 08:31
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	3	$284	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-19 03:11
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$268	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-15 03:03
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	2	$252	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-22 10:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$252	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 11:58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	13	$249	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 08:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?	2	$228	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	06-14 01:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	2	$228	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 05:04
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$217	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-15 04:02
Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)	23	$205	500	500	+0	Kocaelispor	+$65	04-26 12:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	2	$201	114	114	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 01:15
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	8	$200	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 06:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 01:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 14:11
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	11	$194	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-19 16:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	10	$182	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-20 06:57
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	21	$182	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 05:21
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	3	$179	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	04-28 23:19
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	2	$174	200	200	+0	open	—	06-15 23:03
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?	2	$172	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 02:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1b1d3e…
07-31 08:22:14	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x7fc644…
07-31 08:22:00	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x246c59…
07-31 08:20:41	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xac2a58…
07-31 07:31:42	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x64920c…
07-31 06:42:56	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf08c3c…
07-31 04:36:42	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xb9221f…
07-31 02:56:54	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0x12dfb7…
07-31 02:56:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x8e57b5…
07-31 02:47:48	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x97599b…
07-28 06:27:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xc23656…
07-28 05:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x80eac2…
07-28 05:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x7a214e…
07-28 03:35:39	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xfec4df…
07-28 02:29:34	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x410da4…
07-28 00:08:09	Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xee965a…
07-28 00:08:04	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x945233…
07-27 23:53:34	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xb5183e…
07-27 08:36:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x7b869e…
07-27 08:36:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x8e8b1a…
07-27 07:44:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xfd0b8f…
07-27 07:44:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfd0b8f…
07-27 06:58:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc688b3…
07-27 05:25:42	Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x634317…
07-27 05:25:40	Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x14a9f9…
07-27 04:28:28	Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xb24446…
07-27 04:10:34	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xc6ba06…
07-27 01:32:18	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	41	43¢	$17	0x661150…
07-27 01:31:57	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	41	43¢	$17	0x265694…
07-27 00:06:15	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xdf7a81…
07-26 09:24:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x2920a0…
07-26 07:25:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x6350a3…
07-26 03:15:52	will there be 20260723192532702	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x202a33…
07-26 03:00:54	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x52d377…
07-26 03:00:09	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x32d099…
07-26 03:00:07	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xa1729e…
07-26 03:00:03	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x82df9f…
07-26 02:59:52	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x4ba04e…
07-26 02:48:39	will there be 20260723192532702	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x00da89…
07-25 07:31:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x367771…
07-25 07:31:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x780147…
07-25 07:31:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x5d5654…
07-25 06:15:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x7c2acd…
07-25 06:03:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	47	28¢	$13	0x874d18…
07-25 06:03:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0x6f8de3…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:36:12	Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xf12447…
07-25 05:36:07	Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xbbef39…
07-25 05:24:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x8e1e42…
07-25 05:07:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x54416e…
07-25 05:07:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0x20da39…
07-25 04:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1aec96…
07-25 04:25:54	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x5570d6…
07-25 04:14:54	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xf16d70…
07-25 04:14:54	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xd3d95f…
07-25 04:14:36	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x0f128a…
07-25 04:14:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	48	72¢	$34	0xeee287…
07-25 03:13:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x827888…
07-25 01:38:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x86b3b8…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x54bab6…
07-25 01:12:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x18b3fd…
07-25 01:12:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x117333…
07-25 01:11:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x1953a6…
07-25 01:11:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x28c6ad…
07-24 08:30:28	Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x393ee6…
07-24 08:29:54	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x94c44f…
07-24 08:29:49	Will Chappell Roan be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc11d04…
07-24 07:32:42	Will Chappell Roan be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xeb2754…
07-24 07:32:13	Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x5631d4…
07-24 07:24:30	Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0xf8e46b…
07-24 07:17:15	Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x8dc110…
07-24 06:43:57	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x2a789a…
07-24 06:43:36	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3ab38f…
07-24 06:43:27	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc8b783…
07-24 06:43:18	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x083e5f…
07-24 06:43:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x99e508…
07-24 06:43:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x20abc3…
07-24 06:26:09	Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x3c6a5f…
07-24 06:26:07	Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7cb59d…
07-22 11:58:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5ecfc8…
07-22 10:54:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x468e4b…
07-22 08:37:10	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x083c93…
07-22 07:44:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a85dd…
07-22 07:39:58	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x8aaccf…
07-22 06:48:07	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x2e5b79…
07-22 05:58:40	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x23ab1b…
07-22 05:40:33	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x4d1497…
07-22 05:40:24	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xcf6c10…
07-21 03:49:03	over 1m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129597	No	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x8d5cb6…
07-21 03:06:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x3c0ae9…
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9eea75…
07-21 02:16:13	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0xa46778…
07-21 02:15:52	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x18b8eb…
07-21 02:15:49	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x55e186…
07-20 09:46:33	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xd53ad6…
07-20 09:46:27	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x40da7a…
07-20 09:46:21	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x942c3d…
07-20 09:46:16	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0xa4f427…
07-20 09:24:15	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x592cf9…
07-20 09:24:13	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xf6e4ae…