Fond-Irony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

25.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$75

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-11 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Other

26% 0% $-3

Politics

14% 100% +$1

Sports

3% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$11	+$1	05-06 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	+2	$2	88¢	$2	+$0	05-11 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	+3	$2	76¢	$2	$-0	05-11 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	+2	$2	83¢	$2	$-0	05-11 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	+26	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	05-07 09:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$20	0	50	-50	open	—	05-10 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$6	9	9	-0	open	—	05-11 03:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	$-1	05-07 09:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-07 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	05-11 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$4	5	8	-2	open	—	05-11 04:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-11 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$1	0	20	-20	open	—	05-10 09:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-10 09:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	1	$1	0	3	-3	Yes	$-2	05-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-11 03:57
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$1	5	0	+5	Timberwolves	+$4	05-05 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	58	0	+58	No	$-1	05-06 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	05-11 02:29
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	1	0	+1	Thunder	+$0	05-06 13:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	0	14	-14	No	+$1	05-08 04:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 04:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x7cb3c1…
05-11 04:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6c5374…
05-11 04:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9d8c6b…
05-11 03:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf5e3a3…
05-11 03:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xe3ec0c…
05-11 03:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x80398f…
05-11 03:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x0e28cd…
05-11 03:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe97236…
05-11 03:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x6ba1df…
05-11 03:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3048ad…
05-11 02:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2074dd…
05-11 02:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1e1736…
05-11 02:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x237372…
05-11 02:15:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcaefa4…
05-11 02:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7c1774…
05-10 15:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbaf5f4…
05-10 09:50:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xbf9383…
05-10 09:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x85afdf…
05-10 09:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe3df46…
05-10 09:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2a5a78…
05-10 09:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xb33a15…
05-10 08:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x720077…
05-08 04:32:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x127277…
05-07 09:51:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xc250dd…
05-07 09:49:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x572b2b…
05-07 04:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfbfc51…
05-06 14:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xe73056…
05-06 13:47:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcafefb…
05-06 10:21:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb15bd5…
05-06 08:09:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x41aed3…
05-05 02:24:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8063a8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	18	$6.72K	275	05-11 04:04
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	12	$688	79	05-11 04:04
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$6.89K	108	05-11 04:04
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	11	$599	41	05-11 04:04
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	10	$1.54K	51	05-11 04:04
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$1.25K	116	05-11 04:04
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	10	$738	188	05-11 04:04
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$591	36	05-11 04:04