Early-Toque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

1,960

Trades

2,016

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$4

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 96% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:27
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:49
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x315268…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47b86e…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x354e8e…
10-24 13:22:41	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x33bf5e…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x66618b…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a368d…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe54d51…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f88e1…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0de3a0…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe31f96…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x871dc7…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78ccbd…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce38bc…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x943793…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4137b…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15a9f8…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b84cd…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5704db…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee036e…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04ffb3…
10-12 09:30:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a22ec…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaad1a4…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ec72d…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb889cd…
10-10 10:21:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x263aa4…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b0615…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x262c27…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb99c4a…
10-06 22:24:14	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6f3c1…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bb600…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x952500…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e59f0…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc96fde…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93945d…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8703c9…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa36f7…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e86b8…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadd8e8…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd72d15…
10-02 14:12:33	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80e645…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbde607…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x244b88…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd466ae…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x42dd24…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26da3a…
10-01 06:54:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x288afa…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f16e4…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22cfa3…
09-30 06:59:57	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x61ad47…
09-30 01:53:35	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x938bad…
09-29 20:38:39	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1ab148…
09-29 13:58:59	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6269f0…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaf9f9d…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6a9fa…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52f1da…
09-27 20:12:02	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbbe63…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2562d…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebfd97…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x543075…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a79ea…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ab76e…
09-26 19:48:45	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63b7f3…
09-26 16:29:57	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea49a8…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb660d3…
09-25 23:23:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1839be…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1139e…
09-25 10:17:18	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6e662…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fb747…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d10dc…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76b3ee…
09-23 04:45:17	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x942551…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b9f50…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fa1ac…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fe8e9…
09-20 20:53:01	KKS Lech Poznan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e5557…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cf1a7…
09-19 12:26:18	Will Persebaya Surabaya vs. Garuda Yaksa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59c636…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8ac10…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4eb36…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d8b11…
09-17 19:46:55	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb16c4…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7f4ad…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x277246…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0013c1…
09-16 10:16:52	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a415…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ac82d…
09-16 05:23:00	ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac15e2…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ab99a…
09-15 09:43:27	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca0fc1…
09-14 21:43:19	cs2 young2 nemi1 2026 09 14 game1	Nemiga	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb52c5…
09-14 17:03:22	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb43125…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdacde3…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2c7a2…
09-13 22:59:30	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc4bf7…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bea6d…
09-13 04:03:10	Cal Poly vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x748644…
09-12 21:27:36	cs2 saw2 6666 2026 09 12	6666	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x807865…
09-12 19:43:42	Oklahoma vs. Michigan	Michigan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2474f…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbadc73…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5a77a…