Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$401

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-03

last 10-22 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

32% — —

Crypto

24% 37% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	19	$166	262	262	+0	open	—	10-13 07:29
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	16	$57	236	236	-0	open	—	09-19 23:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	10	$50	325	325	+0	open	—	09-20 06:35
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$11	111	111	+0	open	—	09-19 13:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-14 01:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	09-03 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$9	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	09-03 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	10-15 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$0	10-21 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	-$3	10-16 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	10-20 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	10-15 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$3	150	0	+150	Up	-$3	10-15 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	Up	-$3	10-15 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	-$1	10-14 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	2	$2	10	10	+0	Up	-$2	10-14 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-14 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	-$2	10-22 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	-$2	10-22 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	-$2	10-15 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Down	-$2	10-20 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	10-14 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Up	-$2	10-20 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Up	-$2	10-20 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	1	$2	8	0	+8	Down	-$2	10-14 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	1	$2	200	0	+200	Down	-$2	10-14 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	1	$2	40	0	+40	Up	-$2	10-14 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	17	0	+17	Up	-$2	10-21 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	+$4	10-15 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x25195f…
10-22 07:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x4d48a0…
10-22 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x584933…
10-22 07:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd6f862…
10-22 07:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x14d750…
10-22 01:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x526acc…
10-22 01:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7ce617…
10-21 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xaecd27…
10-21 14:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe758b6…
10-21 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xeb9d71…
10-21 08:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x79522c…
10-20 15:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x08edeb…
10-20 15:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb959e7…
10-20 14:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4dc197…
10-20 13:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x18e8c6…
10-20 12:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xcb9e0a…
10-20 11:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x995b3a…
10-20 06:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x218b6c…
10-18 22:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9fd57e…
10-18 15:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2b65ec…
10-16 09:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x4b6b90…
10-16 09:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4652da…
10-15 17:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2b3049…
10-15 17:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xc3edd4…
10-15 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x396cb2…
10-15 14:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1e8438…
10-15 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xb9a467…
10-15 09:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xaf0588…
10-15 08:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3c30e5…
10-15 06:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xf8aeeb…
10-15 06:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x6ccdf9…
10-15 06:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x34ee4c…
10-14 19:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2aaadf…
10-14 14:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3ea146…
10-14 14:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa58ecd…
10-14 14:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x64b14e…
10-14 14:08:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x001801…
10-14 13:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf7e131…
10-14 13:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x455d5b…
10-14 12:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x210720…
10-14 12:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x49c595…
10-14 12:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xe8f974…
10-14 12:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa3f8fe…
10-14 09:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf4198d…
10-14 08:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x11c177…
10-14 04:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8b2e10…
10-14 02:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x963a28…
10-14 02:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf0886e…
10-14 01:58:34	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xd3a5e9…
10-14 01:57:41	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xc6423f…
10-13 07:29:22	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0xb89ba2…
09-27 06:45:26	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x2dea1f…
09-27 06:13:17	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x5db8eb…
09-20 20:47:01	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe31f7b…
09-20 06:35:33	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x48b21b…
09-20 05:15:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x073d4a…
09-20 03:05:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	4¢	$5	0x158955…
09-20 00:16:39	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x629c91…
09-19 23:51:34	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x4b3164…
09-19 23:28:15	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x672eef…
09-19 21:38:03	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0xd19e83…
09-19 21:38:03	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x3a8c0b…
09-19 21:28:35	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	5¢	$9	0xc10ae8…
09-19 20:38:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x38f24a…
09-19 20:37:59	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x1946e2…
09-19 20:01:14	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x40d8bf…
09-19 20:00:50	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x73788f…
09-19 20:00:41	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xdbd23c…
09-19 13:52:30	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$5	0x88be82…
09-19 06:15:12	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x54f9c2…
09-18 21:11:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x43e689…
09-18 17:05:40	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x55c61b…
09-18 06:46:09	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x433483…
09-18 06:22:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x4f2e8c…
09-18 06:17:27	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x626545…
09-18 06:16:43	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc3725d…
09-18 06:14:48	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe7085f…
09-18 06:14:40	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7b8b11…
09-18 06:04:39	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0af819…
09-18 06:04:39	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x0af819…
09-18 06:03:49	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	107	7¢	$7	0x8f4eb2…
09-17 19:14:52	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0xf0f01e…
09-17 10:18:03	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x7cabea…
09-17 06:30:12	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x6e09cc…
09-16 22:02:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x0d215f…
09-16 04:22:33	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xdb214f…
09-16 04:22:33	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xdb214f…
09-15 15:49:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4b8a6c…
09-15 15:49:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x4b8a6c…
09-14 20:54:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb16a64…
09-14 20:32:39	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xfcc4a3…
09-14 20:32:39	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfcc4a3…
09-14 20:30:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb1737d…
09-14 20:30:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	66	13¢	$8	0xb1737d…
09-14 20:14:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xc5e9eb…
09-14 20:10:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xcd7cc8…
09-14 20:10:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xcd7cc8…
09-14 17:22:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x55b1df…
09-14 17:22:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x55b1df…
09-14 06:06:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xfe23cd…