Sympathetic-Break — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$598

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

26.0%

Resolved

166

Trades

1,689

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-26 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Sports

43% 4% -$8

Other

38% 57% -$593

Politics

19% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+10	$6	60¢	$6	+$0	10-26 08:33
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-180	-$2	0¢	$-1	+$1	05-17 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?	55	$1.3K	835	828	+6	Yes	+$222	06-12 07:07
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.1K	760	760	+0	No	-$1	05-26 02:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$804	420	420	+0	open	—	05-22 10:51
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$798	400	400	+0	No	$0	05-24 03:50
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$796	560	560	+0	open	—	05-25 18:43
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$759	380	380	+0	No	$0	05-25 10:27
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$714	360	360	+0	No	$0	05-26 00:49
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$539	270	270	+0	No	$0	03-30 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?	41	$468	1,723	14	+1,710	No	-$443	06-13 03:00
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$441	660	660	+0	No	-$1	06-02 05:36
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$421	640	640	+0	No	-$1	05-30 15:24
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$419	210	210	+0	No	$0	05-25 06:51
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$416	210	210	+0	open	—	05-25 03:50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$394	240	240	+0	No	+$0	05-23 01:22
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$378	190	190	+0	open	—	05-14 11:43
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$373	190	190	+0	No	-$1	04-13 18:05
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$360	390	390	+0	No	$0	05-25 16:19
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$359	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-22 15:20
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$359	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-13 17:58
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	05-19 07:37
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$337	170	170	+0	open	—	05-22 20:23
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$334	170	170	+0	No	$0	05-19 21:30
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-25 02:14
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-14 17:16
Will Conner Weigman be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	04-13 15:44
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-21 07:21
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$319	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-19 23:48
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$319	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-25 09:24
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$318	160	160	+0	open	—	05-17 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12?	18	$254	171	150	+21	No	+$4	06-12 04:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:33:08	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x301bc2…
07-06 03:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x8fd7ab…
07-06 03:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x98713c…
07-06 03:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xe533f9…
07-06 03:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xa07852…
07-06 03:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x83bb5c…
07-06 03:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x4061e9…
07-06 03:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xc227db…
07-06 02:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb75e36…
07-06 02:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x71df52…
07-06 02:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3c429d…
07-06 02:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x2832be…
07-06 02:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x26a04e…
07-06 02:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x400ccd…
07-06 02:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6b2f2f…
07-06 02:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x967c9b…
07-06 01:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2917d4…
07-06 01:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3981c0…
07-06 01:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf99ef0…
07-06 01:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcb5f3a…
07-06 01:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe8a473…
07-06 01:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x944b63…
07-06 01:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0fd169…
07-06 01:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbb8a65…
07-06 01:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb59d5a…
07-06 01:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdbf21f…
07-06 01:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5842f0…
07-06 00:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1aac59…
07-06 00:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7f2699…
07-06 00:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e4d82…
07-06 00:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd2356a…
07-06 00:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0b00b5…
07-06 00:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6abb6b…
07-06 00:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4203bc…
07-05 23:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x962042…
07-05 23:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x60cffa…
07-05 23:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x44f33e…
07-05 23:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x11de9b…
07-05 23:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0983a6…
07-05 22:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xb39bd8…
07-05 22:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x3af0a7…
07-05 22:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x450b88…
07-05 22:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa04c7a…
07-05 22:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x33d5c6…
07-05 21:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3efcfd…
07-05 21:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf0f45f…
07-05 21:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x74fcab…
07-05 21:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x789af8…
07-05 21:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9867af…
07-05 21:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5dfdd1…
07-05 20:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc10594…
07-05 20:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaef004…
07-05 20:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5c0775…
07-05 19:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x392d05…
07-05 18:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf4767a…
07-05 18:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x06351a…
07-05 18:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8222e5…
07-05 18:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8e45b9…
07-05 17:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x050d90…
07-05 17:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc7c633…
07-05 17:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcbadaf…
07-05 17:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x57c4be…
07-05 16:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc3af3b…
07-05 16:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4ef1fc…
07-05 03:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x283a35…
07-05 03:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x3dd580…
07-05 02:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf63cd9…
07-05 02:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa12b42…
07-05 02:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x7752e0…
07-05 02:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x7c459e…
07-05 02:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdbc95d…
07-05 02:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x1c492a…
07-05 02:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x820772…
07-05 02:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x994262…
07-05 02:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x44d7e7…
07-05 02:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x7898ff…
07-05 02:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x59a6d9…
07-05 02:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc868ec…
07-05 02:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x82ee74…
07-05 02:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x503e5a…
07-05 02:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x15acd7…
07-05 02:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x15acd7…
07-05 02:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6df452…
07-05 02:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdf7184…
07-05 02:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xed0567…
07-05 01:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdf6938…
07-05 01:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x88de76…
07-05 01:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1a452b…
07-05 01:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6f6656…
07-05 01:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x6f6656…
07-05 01:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x749842…
07-05 01:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x22e486…
07-05 01:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x808c9b…
07-05 00:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x35d5c9…
07-05 00:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x2aeec7…
07-05 00:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x99ff1d…
07-05 00:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x7c27a2…
07-05 00:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc6d672…
07-05 00:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x7fe616…
07-05 00:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x5f8963…