Jagged-Detection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$3.79K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

918 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$119.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$5.22K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

51% 61% -$1,515

Other

48% 47% -$9,689

Crypto

1% 58% -$114

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Sports

0% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	-5,503	-$855	81¢	$-4458	-$3,603	10-29 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-500	-$390	98¢	$-488	-$98	05-13 23:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-300	-$186	92¢	$-277	-$91	05-13 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$13.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$119	03-04 18:25
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	19	$11.1K	5,716	6,016	-300	No	+$361	03-24 16:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	19	$7.4K	5,060	10,563	-5,503	open	—	10-29 15:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$5.9K	3,986	3,986	+0	Yes	+$222	02-28 19:09
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	37	$5.7K	9,136	8,022	+1,114	No	-$2,167	03-09 17:46
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	85	$5.3K	10,892	9,723	+1,169	Yes	-$2,253	03-08 07:45
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	17	$4.4K	6,287	6,287	+0	Yes	-$3,879	03-30 16:29
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	15	$4.2K	1,983	2,300	-317	No	+$79	02-28 02:33
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	176	$3.9K	37,415	38,498	-1,083	No	-$2,098	02-26 18:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	36	$3.7K	2,574	2,573	+0	Yes	+$496	03-08 23:27
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	16	$3.6K	0	3,806	-3,806	Yes	-$228	05-10 17:25
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$280	06-05 02:15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	18	$3.2K	1,777	1,776	+0	Yes	+$230	02-28 19:56
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$2	03-10 07:20
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	33	$2.9K	1,992	1,616	+376	No	+$341	03-10 01:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$69	04-06 17:48
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2.1K	1,165	1,165	+0	No	+$66	03-05 18:56
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$428	02-28 06:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	11	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$54	02-18 22:04
iran strike on israel by february 28	18	$1.6K	5,379	3,794	+1,585	Yes	+$826	02-28 19:59
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	8	$1.6K	1,400	300	+1,100	No	-$1,048	03-09 02:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-05 02:16
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	6	$1.4K	765	765	+0	No	+$52	02-25 19:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$1.3K	1,320	726	+594	Yes	+$356	04-19 20:56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$105	03-02 20:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$29	02-28 04:35
will axiom be accused of insider trading	17	$1.2K	1,004	300	+704	Yes	-$645	02-25 19:00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	29	$1.1K	1,680	2,500	-820	No	-$1,033	05-15 14:38
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$999	0	1,000	-1,000	No	-$1	01-28 18:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	14	$983	3,455	3,955	-500	Yes	-$587	02-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:09:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,100	32¢	$2,911	0xae2321…
06-08 07:53:49	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	890	65¢	$579	0xc814b4…
06-07 08:59:36	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0xb936da…
06-07 08:20:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x078abd…
06-07 05:27:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xaa979f…
06-06 19:47:10	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x300bc6…
06-06 17:59:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x01e7fe…
06-06 07:53:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	678	66¢	$448	0xe82e01…
06-06 07:43:34	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa88b8a…
06-06 05:06:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	280	66¢	$185	0x5d2a55…
06-06 04:43:24	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x149389…
06-06 04:43:04	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	500	74¢	$368	0x219d70…
06-06 04:42:42	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	639	66¢	$422	0x6f4a2d…
06-06 04:42:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	65¢	$34	0x8289e1…
06-05 02:18:18	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	62¢	$372	0xeadf28…
06-05 02:18:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x1aade0…
06-05 02:16:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	800	94¢	$751	0x957117…
06-05 02:15:48	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	360	62¢	$223	0x34e728…
06-05 02:15:28	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xdd5aa4…
05-28 17:51:11	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0xd724f2…
05-28 17:51:11	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x0f6fce…
05-17 02:29:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	82¢	$410	0xfae718…
05-15 14:38:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2,400	16¢	$391	0x1a9fdf…
05-15 14:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8bda4e…
05-15 03:58:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0x52305d…
05-14 21:00:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x154bc2…
05-14 20:55:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	500	32¢	$158	0x5226d0…
05-14 19:11:10	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	92	67¢	$61	0xa9ba07…
05-14 18:53:00	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	72¢	$18	0x0c49b6…
05-14 18:47:50	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbdc962…
05-14 18:42:58	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xaf7c47…
05-14 18:42:56	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xb41cf9…
05-14 18:42:51	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x46367a…
05-14 18:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0c991a…
05-14 18:31:51	LoL: Myth Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season	The Bandits	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x683279…
05-14 18:31:51	LoL: Myth Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season	The Bandits	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x286c8c…
05-14 18:31:48	LoL: Myth Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season	The Bandits	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x266233…
05-14 18:31:44	LoL: Myth Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season	The Bandits	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x44f3ad…
05-14 18:31:35	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xae6b0d…
05-14 18:29:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xdae341…
05-14 18:23:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4ebd46…
05-14 18:22:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x086fde…
05-14 18:03:09	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xe76697…
05-14 18:01:50	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xcac8bb…
05-14 18:01:50	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xbdeded…
05-14 18:01:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x221138…
05-14 18:01:14	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xcb4e47…
05-14 18:01:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0xc5af67…
05-14 18:00:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x64d0d3…
05-14 18:00:47	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x254191…
05-14 18:00:12	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	759	82¢	$622	0x28f342…
05-14 18:00:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0x8ccf66…
05-14 17:59:15	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	102	89¢	$91	0x7bd091…
05-14 17:58:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e8331…
05-14 17:58:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x842345…
05-14 17:57:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8beee5…
05-14 17:57:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x1bcacf…
05-14 17:56:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0x48606f…
05-14 17:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7d6e87…
05-14 17:56:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0x9c5760…
05-14 17:54:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc8ecd1…
05-14 17:54:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x0d1d54…
05-14 17:54:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc80bec…
05-14 17:53:39	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xd474a4…
05-14 17:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$8	0x6a9cc4…
05-14 17:51:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	161	43¢	$69	0xf31106…
05-14 02:24:04	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x2aaee4…
05-14 00:31:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xf18a97…
05-14 00:30:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0x99dbc4…
05-14 00:26:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe9eef1…
05-14 00:25:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3882a0…
05-14 00:24:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x7d4bdf…
05-14 00:23:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xe52d11…
05-14 00:22:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf9d51f…
05-14 00:11:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x00ee38…
05-14 00:11:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1c4131…
05-14 00:08:06	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x414f1d…
05-13 23:57:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x90f7ff…
05-13 23:54:58	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7e6709…
05-13 23:53:38	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x84f34f…
05-13 23:51:25	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xa556bd…
05-13 23:51:18	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xe9e10e…
05-13 23:51:07	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	170	84¢	$143	0x155b40…
05-13 23:50:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xdb2fe6…
05-13 23:50:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x01a5e1…
05-13 23:50:20	Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,877	0¢	$5	0x9f119a…
05-13 23:50:06	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0xe5b167…
05-13 23:49:56	Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	230	90¢	$207	0x0a8c67…
05-13 23:49:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	500	78¢	$390	0xf9fd3b…
05-13 23:49:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	800	93¢	$743	0xa93c16…
05-10 17:25:33	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	258	94¢	$242	0x8f341c…
05-10 17:04:21	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x23c37e…
05-10 10:12:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x970ee9…
05-08 21:42:02	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,008	48¢	$485	0x5164b5…
05-08 12:41:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xb8ef9b…
05-06 04:19:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcd6dfe…
05-05 16:40:20	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x3d699f…
05-05 15:11:10	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfcbcc8…
05-05 03:56:56	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x572bd9…
04-30 19:50:48	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	106	94¢	$100	0x077335…