Direct-Clay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

76% 96% +$0

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 05:37
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 18:42
atp blockx minaur 2026 04 09 set handicap away 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 18:02
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 12:27
Valorant: Galions vs Nuxeria Esport - Map 2 Winner	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 17:39
ufc den2 mar91 2026 04 18	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 00:30
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 15:36
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 9AM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 13:08
O/U 2.5 Rounds	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 01:12
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 22:48
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 19:59
nba tor cle 2026 04 18 spread home 8pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 19:57
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 18:07
highest temperature in dallas on april 10 2026 70 71f	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 16:23
wta korpats shnaide 2026 04 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 21:08
elc mil qpr 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 15:12
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 23:57
SK Poltava vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 1.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 13:54
Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x362ac4…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd52aa3…
06-08 18:42:21	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd87103…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84bbd2…
06-07 22:16:04	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x924a31…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x596c79…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe65418…
06-07 17:35:21	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game handicap away 3pt5	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37095b…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe60487…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49d401…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d749a…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6d892…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e7703…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5855a7…
06-05 18:47:54	bkligend bil val 2026 06 05	Valencia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7a3ad…
06-05 15:47:24	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde60d6…
06-05 01:53:15	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2fd6e…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70dbd7…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1d7ac…
06-03 16:04:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c3e20…
06-03 11:31:46	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5231b1…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04b9b5…
06-03 04:48:20	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb6157…
06-03 03:14:33	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x105728…
06-03 00:47:04	Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	QoR	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x317fc1…
06-03 00:12:00	Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Division One	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4a1da…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c682e…
06-02 15:24:35	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45b677…
06-02 12:22:24	Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd151b3…
06-01 18:06:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17ba5f…
06-01 14:42:46	Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x927a78…
06-01 14:41:33	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc566b2…
06-01 06:23:02	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19aaad…
06-01 02:52:46	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28e294…
05-31 17:33:03	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38a697…
05-31 15:36:43	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x779ea6…
05-31 15:26:44	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x144cec…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b72ea…
05-31 04:46:02	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08b726…
05-30 16:16:01	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d5005…
05-30 14:25:12	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x773c36…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fa76d…
05-30 12:10:48	Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)	Jovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8d060…
05-30 12:02:23	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc779e1…
05-30 05:37:26	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb0e7c4…
05-30 04:48:16	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37c1a1…
05-29 23:44:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f32ed…
05-29 21:06:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc3e1c…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe37a77…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25f503…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06b1ea…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27a7a1…
05-29 08:52:22	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98a315…
05-29 03:15:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f0ae…
05-28 17:33:04	Hurkacz vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d057c…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4805e5…
05-28 16:31:16	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x557e14…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x043dc6…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f232…
05-28 00:14:40	Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	CR Vasco da Gama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3d574…
05-27 18:03:23	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x352913…
05-27 02:14:30	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38a682…
05-26 23:57:41	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fbf30…
05-26 20:01:32	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd915ce…
05-26 14:53:27	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x364425…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f1c9a…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c65e1…
05-26 09:03:08	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d1e6e…
05-25 20:31:56	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd40eea…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1738f…
05-25 04:48:29	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37a923…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x933722…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6649e3…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89f77d…
05-24 17:47:20	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)	Fulham FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb43ca…
05-24 16:02:13	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x89d847…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x582229…
05-24 07:02:59	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9e44e…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bb59c…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7f613…
05-23 05:56:23	ITF Women Changwon: Completed Match: Dabin Kim vs Ha Eum Lee	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x030689…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bfec0…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb33b7c…
05-22 17:12:22	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8530e8…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x219b61…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x317915…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac8c5d…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ee958…
05-20 21:39:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d68a1…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28ae10…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4aeb4…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56bf75…
05-20 19:02:31	Zamalek SC vs. Ceramica Cleopatra Club: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38b706…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc7e8b…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0dd87…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e26a6…
05-19 06:59:07	ITF Toyama: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Mutsumi Uemura	Ayumi Miyamoto	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x482cc1…
05-18 23:04:29	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ebf16…
05-18 22:39:36	Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72fa2a…
05-18 18:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x208203…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Muted-Banking 0xa007…3083	639	$6.48K	652	06-08 21:37
Overlooked-Collectivization 0x8691…f3bb	626	$3.18K	638	06-09 17:38
Musty-Archrival 0x268a…f4dc	619	$6.28K	641	06-08 21:37
Shy-Average 0x784a…23c6	617	$3.14K	631	06-09 17:24
Quarterly-Car 0x6ee8…285f	617	$3.13K	630	06-09 17:38
Previous-Earthquake 0x3c9e…970c	616	$3.13K	630	06-08 21:37
Acclaimed-Lid 0xe8e9…2873	614	$3.12K	625	06-08 21:37
Peppery-Newsstand 0x9da7…b719	612	$6.24K	633	06-09 17:38