Winged-Radiosonde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$108.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-16 10:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

90% 100% +$1

Sports

9% 50% -$11

Other

1% 54% -$24

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	05-24 05:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+0	$0	88¢	$0	$0	06-23 18:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	78	$26.6K	13,460	13,460	+0	open	—	05-25 07:28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	33	$17.4K	9,480	9,480	+0	open	—	06-23 13:02
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	60	$17.0K	8,640	8,640	+0	open	—	05-24 05:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	22	$11.8K	6,175	6,175	+0	open	—	06-22 01:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$8.3K	5,073	5,073	+0	No	+$0	07-10 13:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	36	$6.9K	3,614	3,614	+0	open	—	06-23 18:50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$5.8K	3,040	3,040	+0	open	—	06-23 14:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$5.1K	3,047	3,047	+0	open	—	06-23 05:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$5.0K	3,255	3,255	+0	open	—	06-22 06:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.1K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	05-22 17:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.0K	599	599	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 14:16
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$600	356	356	+0	No	+$0	07-10 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$101	115	0	+115	No	+$14	07-23 18:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-16 10:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$1	04-01 17:46
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	07-25 09:07
wta valento snigur 2026 07 25 set handicap home 1pt5	1	$41	62	0	+62	Snigur	+$21	07-25 09:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-14 08:13
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassan	2	$31	25	25	+0	Daniel Michalski	+$3	05-21 10:29
Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi	2	$30	20	20	+0	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	+$10	05-21 10:29
mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	2	$29	28	28	+0	San Francisco Giants	-$3	07-10 10:18
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	01-13 09:11
wta inglis bronzet 2026 06 23	1	$24	45	0	+45	Lucia Bronzetti	-$24	06-23 05:34
mlb mil cin 2026 06 23	1	$23	45	0	+45	Milwaukee Brewers	-$23	06-23 16:58
bkkbl mob seo2 2026 01 13	1	$20	40	0	+40	Mobis Phoebus	-$20	01-13 09:11
wta mcdonal kalieva 2026 06 23	1	$20	48	0	+48	Elvina Kalieva	-$20	06-23 05:33
mlb oak sf 2026 06 23	1	$20	36	0	+36	San Francisco Giants	+$16	06-23 16:58
wta tauson shnaide 2026 06 21	1	$20	31	0	+31	Clara Tauson	-$20	06-22 06:47
bkkbl seo won 2026 01 13	1	$19	41	0	+41	Seoul Knights	-$19	01-13 09:11
atp sonego schwaer 2026 07 13	1	$19	28	0	+28	Lorenzo Sonego	+$9	07-13 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 10:36:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x45bd46…
07-25 09:07:54	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x89b246…
07-25 09:07:34	wta valento snigur 2026 07 25 set handicap home 1pt5	Snigur	BUY	62	66¢	$41	0xdd7d9a…
07-24 08:03:24	atp faria darderi 2026 07 24 set handicap away 1pt5	Faria	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x1c40b4…
07-23 18:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	115	88¢	$101	0xe5c84a…
07-14 08:13:44	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5cbff8…
07-13 07:59:37	atp sonego schwaer 2026 07 13	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0xe05519…
07-10 14:16:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	401	84¢	$335	0x411cd8…
07-10 14:11:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	199	84¢	$166	0x3ad673…
07-10 13:27:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	599	84¢	$501	0xa442d3…
07-10 13:23:43	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	356	84¢	$300	0x6d2a8d…
07-10 13:22:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,501	82¢	$2,051	0xb3f139…
07-10 13:22:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	46	82¢	$38	0xc14bca…
07-10 13:21:13	wta doubles guomlad jianxu 2026 07 10	Jiang/Xu	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8ae6ba…
07-10 13:20:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,526	82¢	$2,072	0x265832…
07-10 13:20:29	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	356	84¢	$300	0xc69068…
07-10 13:17:19	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5,073	82¢	$4,160	0x44e48f…
07-10 10:18:08	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	San Francisco Giants	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x27ca98…
06-23 18:50:02	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x6d1c3a…
06-23 16:58:47	mlb oak sf 2026 06 23	San Francisco Giants	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x79ddfd…
06-23 16:58:37	mlb mil cin 2026 06 23	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x5ff4e5…
06-23 16:03:23	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x2cb886…
06-23 15:41:23	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x2c8e43…
06-23 14:47:04	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,885	96¢	$1,800	0xa76746…
06-23 14:35:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x192be0…
06-23 13:25:08	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	582	95¢	$552	0x911f5f…
06-23 13:02:01	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	165	91¢	$150	0x94cccf…
06-23 12:23:43	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0xa7dc1a…
06-23 11:44:01	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xc926ff…
06-23 11:12:46	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	758	91¢	$688	0x7ff979…
06-23 10:50:43	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x55418f…
06-23 09:46:07	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$51	0x69ecf1…
06-23 06:22:10	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xbd1803…
06-23 06:19:14	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$57	0x99c6c1…
06-23 06:04:43	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	342	91¢	$311	0x31b8f8…
06-23 05:46:13	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	473	85¢	$400	0x3695f1…
06-23 05:34:29	wta inglis bronzet 2026 06 23	Maddison Inglis	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x6a720b…
06-23 05:33:58	wta mcdonal kalieva 2026 06 23	Ella McDonald	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x7fa5b3…
06-23 05:27:19	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6d6ec0…
06-23 05:27:05	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,049	95¢	$995	0xae02d8…
06-23 05:25:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,885	95¢	$1,800	0xb12039…
06-23 05:25:19	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2,110	95¢	$2,000	0x92d3a9…
06-23 05:25:08	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	473	85¢	$400	0x244b7a…
06-23 02:28:01	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xc562e1…
06-23 00:03:44	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	155	91¢	$141	0x845151…
06-22 23:54:58	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x9a032f…
06-22 21:00:41	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xf1409c…
06-22 18:16:13	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x640754…
06-22 18:10:35	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x0edfcb…
06-22 16:44:17	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	147	91¢	$134	0xf48de8…
06-22 06:54:34	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3,255	77¢	$2,500	0x02ff5e…
06-22 06:47:20	wta tauson shnaide 2026 06 21	Diana Shnaider	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x07e7b6…
06-22 06:44:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,255	77¢	$2,500	0xca9c29…
06-22 06:43:58	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,819	91¢	$1,650	0x94d646…
06-22 01:23:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$45	0xe544ab…
06-21 23:20:50	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xdf29f1…
06-21 18:59:16	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	69	96¢	$66	0x257b43…
06-21 17:27:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xd12096…
06-21 17:02:40	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0xd5bc25…
06-21 17:01:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x0386c5…
06-21 16:49:16	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xacbc58…
06-21 15:48:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x2e77f9…
06-21 13:28:02	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x261109…
06-21 13:09:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0xc1e93f…
06-21 12:37:55	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,104	91¢	$1,000	0xd5c1cd…
06-21 12:01:31	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x063214…
06-21 09:22:56	wta pegula noskova 2026 06 21	Linda Noskova	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xe8a1ad…
06-21 09:22:32	atp navone sonego 2026 06 21	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x25c37f…
06-21 09:22:11	atp stewart vukic 2026 06 21	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x8b057e…
06-21 09:21:55	atp cerundo paul 2026 06 21	Tommy Paul	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x7ab344…
06-21 09:19:49	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,104	91¢	$1,000	0x49ee2c…
06-21 09:17:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2,155	96¢	$2,062	0xd3077e…
06-21 09:17:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,665	96¢	$2,550	0x19e89c…
06-20 22:37:01	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	922	96¢	$883	0x8386f9…
06-20 21:15:31	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xaa4bea…
06-20 19:26:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xf2d5aa…
06-20 19:10:47	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xf88d7f…
06-20 15:18:07	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	526	96¢	$504	0xbbae6f…
06-20 14:13:44	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	854	90¢	$773	0xd1c98c…
06-20 14:06:38	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	134	90¢	$121	0xe7e8ee…
06-20 13:43:14	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x75e98a…
06-20 13:12:43	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	80	90¢	$72	0x85bc7f…
06-20 13:11:26	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0xf22d34…
06-20 13:05:44	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$37	0xa44884…
06-20 12:49:01	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x5e787d…
06-20 12:46:56	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	188	84¢	$158	0xc47e0d…
06-20 12:24:38	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	36	90¢	$33	0x1aeb72…
06-20 11:51:04	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,400	90¢	$1,267	0xe9ddf1…
06-20 11:19:25	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	306	95¢	$292	0x20f398…
06-20 10:17:17	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x035218…
06-20 10:17:08	wta noskova eala 2026 06 20	Linda Noskova	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xaa52c7…
06-20 10:17:05	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	849	95¢	$808	0x69bb56…
06-20 10:13:40	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	San Francisco Giants	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x4d127d…
06-20 10:07:55	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,155	95¢	$1,100	0x311ac2…
06-20 10:07:05	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,707	91¢	$2,450	0xc0e425…
06-20 09:59:35	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,552	96¢	$1,485	0x0d00cf…
06-20 09:54:44	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,845	84¢	$1,550	0xe5ba0a…
06-20 09:45:20	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xabff3e…
06-20 09:45:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	529	84¢	$444	0x43ec10…
06-20 09:32:23	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2,575	84¢	$2,163	0x5c3518…