(anonymous) 0x5aa021…77c2d1
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$127
Unrealized P&L
-$1.16K
Hit rate
90.8%
Resolved (90d)
32
Trades (90d)
313
313 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.5K
$11.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$3.80K
29 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-28 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
79% 50% +$118
Other
20% 50% +$11
Tech
1% 100% +$6
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,390 $1,637 48¢ $1.2K -$478 10-20 08:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +900 $566 62¢ $553 -$12 10-22 20:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +700 $488 59¢ $413 -$75 10-22 03:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $331 78¢ $388 +$56 10-19 22:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +691 $406 39¢ $272 -$133 09-29 16:38
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +310 $235 66¢ $206 -$29 09-26 02:59
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +400 $216 47¢ $188 -$28 10-23 18:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +200 $116 55¢ $109 -$7 10-22 21:55
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $101 34¢ $104 +$3 09-29 00:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +400 $172 20¢ $78 -$94 10-23 18:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $84 76¢ $76 -$8 09-28 07:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 09-26 22:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +50 $40 83¢ $42 +$2 09-26 04:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $42 28¢ $28 -$14 10-09 00:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +49 -$24 52¢ $25 +$49 09-25 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $42 12¢ $23 -$19 10-01 03:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +19 $10 80¢ $15 +$5 10-08 10:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 $0 09-26 03:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +40 $13 28¢ $11 -$2 09-26 00:28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +3,111 $44 0¢ $8 -$36 09-28 13:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 75¢ $7 +$1 09-28 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 73¢ $7 +$0 09-25 19:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 71¢ $7 $0 09-25 07:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 69¢ $7 +$1 09-25 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 64¢ $6 $0 09-25 06:52
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +116 $321 2¢ $3 -$318 10-17 12:56
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +20 $2 13¢ $3 +$1 09-28 01:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $16 4¢ $2 -$14 09-23 02:30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +350 $14 0¢ $2 -$12 09-25 16:18