(anonymous) 0x5aa021…77c2d1 Create alert
10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$71
Unrealized P&L
-$3.88K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
5
Trades (24h)
4
488 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$307
$37.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$8.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 11-13 08:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
71% 65% +$2,483
Other
28% 60% +$58
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +6,000 $2,612 30¢ $1.8K -$782 11-12 03:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +4,000 $2,217 34¢ $1.4K -$837 11-07 20:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,490 $2,151 30¢ $1.1K -$1,087 11-09 14:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $613 58¢ $585 -$28 11-08 19:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +2,000 $940 28¢ $560 -$380 11-09 05:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +500 $420 92¢ $462 +$42 11-09 01:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +300 $264 81¢ $243 -$21 11-09 17:58
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $101 68¢ $212 +$112 09-29 00:28
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +918 $631 22¢ $207 -$424 11-07 20:15
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $185 +$3 11-09 00:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 92¢ $185 +$9 11-10 01:53
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +200 $176 88¢ $176 $0 11-07 19:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +691 $406 24¢ $168 -$237 09-29 16:38
Who leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth? Hegseth +200 $162 62¢ $124 -$38 11-10 16:32
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +310 $235 32¢ $98 -$137 09-26 02:59
Will Lula da Silva be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +100 $95 94¢ $94 $0 11-13 01:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? No +100 $77 86¢ $86 +$9 11-11 03:39
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? Yes +900 $171 8¢ $76 -$94 11-07 20:04
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +250 $26 30¢ $75 +$50 11-13 08:33
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $38 96¢ $48 +$10 09-26 22:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$7 09-26 04:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $84 44¢ $44 -$40 09-28 07:36
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? No +100 $32 38¢ $38 +$6 11-11 01:54
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +60 $46 63¢ $38 -$8 11-09 13:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +49 -$24 70¢ $34 +$58 09-25 13:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $42 20¢ $20 -$22 10-09 00:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +19 $10 94¢ $18 +$8 10-08 10:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $14 70¢ $14 $0 09-26 03:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 67¢ $13 +$0 09-26 03:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +300 $66 4¢ $13 -$53 11-09 06:51