(anonymous) 0x5aa021…77c2d1
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$211
Unrealized P&L
-$904
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
318
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$3.71K
27 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-28 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
79% 48% -$203
Other
20% 44% -$5
Tech
1% 100% +$6
Crypto
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,390 $1,637 42¢ $992 -$645 10-20 08:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +900 $566 64¢ $571 +$5 10-22 20:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +700 $488 64¢ $444 -$44 10-22 03:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $331 74¢ $370 +$39 10-19 22:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +691 $406 42¢ $288 -$117 09-29 16:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +400 $216 48¢ $190 -$26 10-23 18:12
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $101 57¢ $178 +$78 09-29 00:28
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +310 $235 42¢ $132 -$103 09-26 02:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +200 $116 57¢ $115 -$1 10-22 21:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +400 $172 26¢ $102 -$70 10-23 18:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $84 70¢ $70 -$14 09-28 07:36
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 09-26 22:51
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$3 09-26 04:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $42 36¢ $36 -$6 10-09 00:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +49 -$24 58¢ $29 +$52 09-25 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $42 12¢ $23 -$19 10-01 03:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +19 $10 80¢ $15 +$5 10-08 10:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 $0 09-26 03:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +40 $13 24¢ $9 -$4 09-26 00:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $6 84¢ $8 +$2 09-28 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 09-25 19:55
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +3,111 $44 0¢ $8 -$36 09-28 13:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$0 09-25 07:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 74¢ $7 +$2 09-25 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 68¢ $7 $0 09-25 06:52
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +20 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 09-28 01:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +350 $14 0¢ $2 -$12 09-25 16:18