Decimal-Chalet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$5.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-19 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 62% $-44

Other

29% 50% $-7

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% 25% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	1	$520	531	0	+531	open	—	06-05 15:13
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$493	682	0	+682	open	—	07-19 21:10
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$250	483	0	+483	open	—	07-14 19:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$205	108	108	+0	open	—	04-26 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$200	204	0	+204	Down	+$4	05-05 17:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	3	$162	172	81	+91	open	—	04-26 15:01
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$153	98	98	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 19:11
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$141	101	101	+0	Yes	+$42	05-06 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$134	94	94	+0	open	—	04-29 22:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	2	$125	65	65	+0	Yes	+$5	05-12 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$109	112	0	+112	open	—	04-26 09:49
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	2	$107	58	58	+1	open	—	04-28 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	04-26 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-26 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	04-26 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	05-01 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-26 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 09:46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$86	62	34	+28	open	—	04-29 00:44
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	2	$84	65	65	+0	open	—	06-03 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$81	83	0	+83	Up	+$2	05-07 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$54	58	0	+58	open	—	04-26 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$52	1,239	1,239	+0	open	—	04-30 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$51	52	0	+52	open	—	04-26 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$50	135	0	+135	open	—	04-24 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	04-25 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-24 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-01 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	04-25 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:10:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	682	72¢	$493	0x3d61d2…
07-14 19:23:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x29776d…
07-14 19:16:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0xea1659…
07-12 00:48:31	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xe69370…
06-28 18:44:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x763ecb…
06-05 15:13:49	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Alexander Zverev	BUY	531	98¢	$520	0x1a69a4…
06-03 22:05:28	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	65	100¢	$64	0xc56e36…
06-03 18:56:30	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x04f39b…
06-03 14:06:43	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0630bd…
06-01 18:17:09	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x6cd9ff…
05-25 18:28:32	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Gael Monfils	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x259bbb…
05-20 20:45:32	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6de12f…
05-15 08:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcf725f…
05-14 22:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2cca96…
05-12 20:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8499fa…
05-12 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xb696cc…
05-12 19:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc33f2b…
05-12 19:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x4b6572…
05-11 23:48:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xd85112…
05-11 21:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc93cc8…
05-10 22:11:14	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6bd49a…
05-09 08:15:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3cd4ee…
05-09 08:06:24	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xdff422…
05-08 23:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x909d57…
05-08 23:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xcac90a…
05-08 23:08:03	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xacb1fe…
05-08 22:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x30235b…
05-08 22:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xebaa92…
05-08 22:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd8102e…
05-08 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x9d1283…
05-08 22:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x508f28…
05-08 22:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x853b38…
05-08 22:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2fcf04…
05-08 22:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6dc9aa…
05-08 22:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa9f6b3…
05-08 16:11:49	Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa1ddbe…
05-08 15:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xa01263…
05-08 15:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5057ad…
05-08 15:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbde50f…
05-08 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5b2b67…
05-08 15:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x860fcf…
05-07 16:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8a3912…
05-07 16:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xd79820…
05-07 14:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xc593cc…
05-07 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x4122d1…
05-06 20:30:46	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	101	90¢	$91	0xd4343c…
05-06 19:11:06	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x5c451a…
05-06 17:53:33	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x543e34…
05-06 17:53:14	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	68	75¢	$51	0xa816c0…
05-06 17:06:01	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	76¢	$75	0xedb3c9…
05-06 17:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x843a37…
05-05 17:26:30	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb1b0c9…
05-05 17:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x47b141…
05-05 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb3a344…
05-05 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x85c0cc…
05-05 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x356525…
05-05 11:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x006a52…
05-05 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x9e6e29…
05-04 22:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x4aa533…
05-04 20:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2767c1…
05-04 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4a17be…
05-01 22:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xda3139…
05-01 09:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xc68677…
05-01 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe3b4aa…
04-30 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1,239	1¢	$12	0xd6ad69…
04-30 21:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,239	3¢	$40	0xb41875…
04-30 12:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x953eca…
04-30 11:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc644c7…
04-29 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	94	99¢	$94	0x348452…
04-29 22:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	42¢	$40	0xa2f073…
04-29 22:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x7c3e3c…
04-29 11:54:24	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	Jannik Sinner	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x36945c…
04-29 00:44:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0xf45ea5…
04-28 23:47:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0xc01ba2…
04-28 23:38:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x79ecbb…
04-26 15:01:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	88	65¢	$57	0x701462…
04-26 14:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	58	94¢	$54	0x92891d…
04-26 14:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x74ace7…
04-26 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x047b65…
04-26 14:41:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	81	64¢	$52	0xe8f49d…
04-26 13:12:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	84	63¢	$53	0xead228…
04-26 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0xfebae1…
04-26 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe1fd9f…
04-26 12:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x176988…
04-26 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x86ecb3…
04-26 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0x9700f0…
04-26 09:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x053ad2…
04-26 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2930ad…
04-26 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x0ea9a6…
04-26 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc7dd4d…
04-26 09:22:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0xefe7fc…
04-26 09:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x835f02…
04-26 06:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xece7c5…
04-25 23:21:24	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x40d6c9…
04-25 23:18:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x109d3e…
04-25 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xcb9674…
04-25 19:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x49b0a6…
04-25 19:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x64c860…
04-25 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x7d938f…
04-25 19:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x96bd9e…