Ordinary-Comma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$73.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-15 03:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 88% +$39

Other

24% 79% -$1,167

Politics

12% 67% +$3

Sports

9% 78% +$101

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+25	$25	100¢	$25	$0	09-30 01:38
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	06-06 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	7	$5.8K	2,888	2,888	+0	No	+$6	06-11 10:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$4.7K	4,709	0	+4,709	No	+$9	01-23 16:16
atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	2	$4.4K	4,001	4,001	+0	Denis Shapovalov	+$0	04-16 03:29
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	6	$4.3K	2,153	2,153	+0	No	+$2	02-03 15:30
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	7	$4.2K	2,135	2,135	+0	No	+$0	03-17 17:56
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	48	$4.2K	2,115	2,114	+0	No	+$2	02-05 11:53
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	16	$4.1K	2,250	2,250	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:23
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$3.8K	3,812	0	+3,812	No	+$8	05-19 03:49
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.0K	1,525	1,525	+0	open	—	05-04 20:55
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	1	$2.7K	2,666	0	+2,666	No	+$3	03-25 06:17
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	3	$2.5K	1,279	1,279	+0	No	+$2	02-18 08:36
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.5K	1,299	1,299	+0	open	—	05-06 13:12
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	2	$2.2K	2,248	0	+2,248	No	+$3	04-28 02:31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	06-15 14:26
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	62	$2.1K	1,083	1,071	+11	No	+$1	02-20 23:28
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	2	$2.1K	1,117	1,003	+114	No	+$4	07-23 02:38
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	No	+$2	02-28 16:18
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	37	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 14:18
will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	1	$1.4K	1,413	0	+1,413	No	+$1	02-26 09:16
cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13	1	$1.3K	3,030	0	+3,030	Natus Vincere	-$1,329	03-13 07:44
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	1	$1.2K	1,238	0	+1,238	No	+$1	04-28 02:31
will bnb reach 1200 in february	1	$1.0K	1,023	0	+1,023	No	+$1	02-26 09:15
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	8	$973	571	571	+0	No	-$27	02-04 21:05
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$838	839	0	+839	No	+$2	03-25 06:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$621	0	654	-654	No	-$33	02-19 13:33
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$0	02-12 21:03
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	5	$439	248	248	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 08:02
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$347	177	177	+0	No	+$0	03-13 09:23
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	4	$338	233	108	+125	No	+$1	03-22 05:14
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$312	314	0	+314	No	+$2	02-13 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 03:34:11	will bnb reach 1000 in october 2026	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x279458…
10-15 03:33:37	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8c351…
09-30 01:38:03	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0f0179…
08-30 00:00:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xa31776…
07-23 02:38:43	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$1,001	0xd2eb4e…
07-13 03:45:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xa41baf…
07-13 03:44:52	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0111ae…
07-04 04:20:26	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xee99a7…
07-04 04:19:28	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,117	100¢	$1,111	0x41185c…
06-15 14:26:06	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,109	99¢	$1,096	0x1abc16…
06-12 07:27:24	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xedf01e…
06-12 01:07:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8bfeb9…
06-11 10:44:00	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	544	100¢	$543	0x99403c…
06-11 10:43:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	1,833	100¢	$1,830	0x1739b9…
06-11 10:36:55	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xff42bd…
06-11 10:35:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3c77bb…
06-11 10:18:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0xaab527…
06-11 09:49:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x125b95…
06-10 00:58:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x7cbbda…
06-08 11:45:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	2,888	100¢	$2,876	0x82f775…
06-08 08:38:40	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,109	99¢	$1,096	0x46181b…
06-06 14:24:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x686cf5…
05-31 05:24:39	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd742cc…
05-31 05:24:13	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xa7f528…
05-31 05:23:15	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11,088	0¢	$11	0x6cbebb…
05-20 09:53:36	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x3d7ce8…
05-20 09:49:31	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x3950df…
05-20 08:57:08	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x329833…
05-19 03:50:49	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x0f498e…
05-19 03:50:10	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x57e23c…
05-19 03:49:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xea637d…
05-19 03:49:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,812	100¢	$3,804	0xf4e7a4…
05-19 03:48:08	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x64d1ff…
05-07 14:18:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xee58d3…
05-07 13:27:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$80	0xc10321…
05-07 13:11:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeebe74…
05-07 13:11:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x686147…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd540c…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc8ccda…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc2d624…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0d20f…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa542ac…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8fc25b…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x77e828…
05-07 13:11:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x724a85…
05-07 13:03:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa1b2ae…
05-07 12:56:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x97dadd…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeae5b4…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd842bc…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd01702…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc10ce2…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x993366…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70b3e3…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3cc5cd…
05-07 12:55:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x30393a…
05-07 12:14:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x52209c…
05-07 11:34:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0xc120a4…
05-07 11:09:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x0d6b5a…
05-07 11:01:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x2953d8…
05-07 10:45:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6029e6…
05-07 06:41:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4b629d…
05-07 06:39:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7b0b60…
05-07 06:22:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x81b14e…
05-07 06:06:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x6bc0b3…
05-07 06:05:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdec57d…
05-07 05:54:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x02cd0c…
05-07 05:48:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xdb2ac0…
05-07 04:53:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x6b3fbf…
05-07 04:39:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0x4f23e1…
05-06 13:12:48	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,299	98¢	$1,275	0xa8d963…
05-04 20:55:22	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,525	99¢	$1,510	0x3068bc…
05-04 08:02:12	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0x3b2f4a…
05-04 06:54:02	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xaaf4cb…
05-04 06:28:28	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xd36f3d…
05-04 05:31:38	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	186	89¢	$165	0xf07948…
05-04 04:23:38	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb33b66…
05-04 04:23:30	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2e083d…
05-04 04:22:52	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xfdf253…
05-04 04:12:00	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x122d7e…
05-04 04:10:28	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,299	98¢	$1,274	0x1cb018…
05-04 04:09:40	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,525	99¢	$1,508	0xa3c3a8…
05-04 04:08:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xac4b85…
05-04 04:08:14	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	248	88¢	$218	0x7e4a26…
05-04 04:07:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,008	100¢	$1,005	0x6a571e…
04-28 02:32:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xe55cb1…
04-28 02:31:54	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x168630…
04-28 02:31:32	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	1,238	100¢	$1,237	0xf4ab59…
04-28 02:31:00	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	2,143	100¢	$2,141	0x1bc270…
04-26 07:21:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x9c8650…
04-16 10:58:44	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x50c246…
04-16 10:58:32	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 8corbelow	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x709f98…
04-16 03:29:20	atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	Fabian Marozsan	SELL	4,001	55¢	$2,201	0xab058b…
04-16 03:24:26	atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	4,001	55¢	$2,201	0x8bdfd9…
04-16 02:58:28	atp rocha sakamot 2026 04 16	Henrique Rocha	SELL	12	60¢	$8	0xafc8a7…
04-16 02:21:08	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Joao Fonseca	SELL	52	61¢	$32	0xb8efa9…
04-16 02:14:54	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x495580…
04-16 02:11:12	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Joao Fonseca	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x731f47…
04-16 01:58:36	atp rocha sakamot 2026 04 16	Henrique Rocha	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xc59def…
04-09 15:11:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 320 339	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ff8de…
03-25 06:19:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xb799f2…