Leafy-Authorisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$40.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$361

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 09-28 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

91% 0% -$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$4

Sports

4% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.5K	1,745	1,745	+0	open	—	05-18 02:18
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	968	968	+0	open	—	04-30 02:19
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	878	878	+0	open	—	05-06 06:36
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	877	877	+0	open	—	05-08 02:20
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	873	873	+0	open	—	05-14 06:22
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	872	872	+0	open	—	05-16 06:50
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	872	872	+0	open	—	05-12 04:04
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	869	869	+0	open	—	05-20 05:19
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	open	—	05-22 05:14
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	No	-$1	05-24 06:33
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.7K	861	861	+0	No	-$1	05-31 05:36
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	863	863	+0	open	—	05-26 05:21
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	862	862	+0	open	—	05-28 06:06
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	859	859	+0	open	—	06-02 06:14
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	857	857	+0	open	—	06-09 04:58
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	857	857	+0	open	—	06-04 05:28
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	856	856	+0	open	—	06-14 05:33
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	857	857	+0	open	—	06-12 03:42
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.7K	855	855	+0	open	—	06-17 03:02
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	853	853	+0	open	—	06-19 02:54
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.6K	782	782	+0	open	—	05-02 02:03
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$818	54,558	54,558	+0	open	—	05-04 01:49
bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	07-05 05:48
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-30 05:18
bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	06-25 03:47
solana above 80 on july 1 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	07-01 03:45
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 28?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	08-28 05:35
ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	08-07 05:29
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	07-19 03:24
ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	07-27 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 05:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0d41d3…
09-26 06:14:08	bitcoin above 80k on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x92175e…
09-25 04:45:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2bc36e…
09-23 05:28:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4367fe…
09-22 05:16:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7e4abf…
09-21 06:07:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc51f80…
09-19 04:08:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xc4949f…
09-18 06:16:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 18?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x4702d4…
09-17 05:16:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x31fc23…
09-16 05:09:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0580ee…
09-15 03:51:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x49b6eb…
09-12 03:08:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xdf5d3e…
09-11 05:49:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x876b1b…
09-09 05:27:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xebb8bb…
09-08 05:50:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xae6be6…
09-05 05:37:27	bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x097b26…
09-04 05:34:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xac35ef…
09-02 05:33:27	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x14c204…
09-01 06:50:48	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x41a9d9…
08-31 03:37:18	ethereum above 2100 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb03433…
08-29 03:44:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3cfeea…
08-28 05:35:52	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x28d36e…
08-26 08:42:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcd6703…
08-25 05:10:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 25?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8e1ed1…
08-24 06:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x012810…
08-22 06:00:37	bitcoin above 70k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc0c3c3…
08-21 05:28:31	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0afe60…
08-20 05:37:43	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8c000f…
08-17 03:59:37	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x5bb37f…
08-16 05:34:58	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 16?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb22bcd…
08-14 05:30:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa75f59…
08-13 06:18:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x60d3c0…
08-12 05:42:21	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe351c5…
08-11 03:59:51	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 11?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x78960f…
08-08 06:21:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x570cc6…
08-07 05:29:09	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7a8e9f…
08-06 06:13:29	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x51d7b2…
08-05 05:44:02	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9d2677…
08-03 06:34:09	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1e329a…
08-02 03:37:57	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x97efdb…
08-01 06:05:35	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x889e83…
07-30 05:27:08	xrp above 1 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5b7181…
07-29 05:18:02	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9e34e5…
07-28 03:33:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbeefc8…
07-27 04:04:18	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1e06be…
07-25 05:44:27	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x823688…
07-24 05:28:06	xrp above 1pt2 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd901b9…
07-23 05:33:51	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x47bce8…
07-21 03:17:52	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8a827b…
07-20 05:55:36	solana above 70 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x235870…
07-19 03:24:10	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xebf75a…
07-16 05:08:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x323691…
07-15 05:33:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5a7b67…
07-14 03:27:23	xrp above 1 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x191e58…
07-13 02:34:35	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1c36ee…
07-12 03:25:01	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0062ff…
07-10 05:40:05	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5ba4c8…
07-09 05:41:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xddb795…
07-08 05:12:55	ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x910eb7…
07-05 05:48:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x05052f…
07-04 04:10:22	ethereum above 1700 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x18cf18…
07-03 05:07:31	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x2a0725…
07-01 03:45:34	solana above 80 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3298ee…
06-30 05:18:59	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb33b5f…
06-26 03:04:41	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2735b0…
06-25 03:47:05	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xfc0881…
06-24 05:30:35	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff8b40…
06-19 02:54:20	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	853	99¢	$847	0x6f9b52…
06-18 06:27:40	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	853	99¢	$848	0x761651…
06-17 03:02:54	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	855	99¢	$848	0x581d7e…
06-15 05:17:58	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	855	99¢	$849	0x049e74…
06-14 05:33:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	856	99¢	$850	0xfdf830…
06-13 03:38:46	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	856	99¢	$851	0x6c9070…
06-12 03:42:18	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	857	99¢	$850	0xc1559f…
06-10 05:40:33	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	857	99¢	$851	0xc71f74…
06-09 04:58:28	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	857	99¢	$851	0xc0037e…
06-08 05:09:43	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	857	99¢	$852	0xd5cbc2…
06-04 05:28:24	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	857	99¢	$850	0x1196f4…
06-03 06:02:53	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	857	99¢	$851	0xfa2ba4…
06-02 06:14:42	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	859	99¢	$853	0x6005d7…
06-01 05:52:29	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	859	99¢	$854	0x4e3121…
05-31 05:36:49	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	861	100¢	$859	0x7fc9d3…
05-30 05:43:23	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	861	100¢	$860	0x8d4d2e…
05-28 06:06:27	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	862	99¢	$855	0x72d73b…
05-27 10:25:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	862	99¢	$856	0x82185e…
05-26 05:21:59	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	863	99¢	$856	0xce8f40…
05-25 03:58:21	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	863	99¢	$856	0x55324c…
05-24 06:33:04	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	866	99¢	$861	0x60045f…
05-23 07:46:33	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	866	100¢	$862	0x99ff94…
05-22 05:14:01	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	868	99¢	$862	0xc8da46…
05-21 07:10:42	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	868	99¢	$863	0x119e7e…
05-20 05:19:31	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	869	99¢	$863	0x3cee58…
05-19 10:36:54	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	869	99¢	$864	0x46028d…
05-18 02:18:10	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	870	99¢	$865	0x0a01b6…
05-17 08:08:24	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	870	100¢	$866	0x2d8cb1…
05-16 06:50:06	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	872	99¢	$865	0xbc76e7…
05-15 07:07:20	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	872	99¢	$865	0x37b01f…
05-14 06:22:39	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	873	99¢	$867	0x352791…
05-13 05:40:51	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	873	99¢	$868	0xeb93f1…
05-12 04:04:38	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	872	99¢	$864	0x810f30…