Rowdy-Tourism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

172

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$7.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$28

Politics

38% 87% -$172

Crypto

18% 100% +$35

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$562	282	282	+0	No	+$0	10-16 03:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$463	276	276	+0	No	+$3	10-05 11:51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$443	225	225	+0	No	+$7	09-01 06:51
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$431	216	216	+0	No	$0	06-27 11:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$419	218	218	+0	No	+$0	08-25 14:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$272	274	0	+274	No	+$2	09-30 23:53
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	1	$264	273	0	+273	Yes	+$8	10-13 12:58
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$261	262	0	+262	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$259	261	0	+261	No	+$2	09-05 04:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	2	$235	236	0	+236	No	+$1	08-07 23:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$233	235	0	+235	No	+$2	08-11 00:05
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	1	$232	232	0	+232	No	+$0	08-07 01:41
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$232	232	0	+232	No	+$0	08-05 06:52
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$232	233	0	+233	No	+$2	08-17 16:07
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$227	228	0	+228	Yes	+$1	08-20 17:11
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$224	232	0	+232	No	+$8	08-13 19:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	3	$211	108	108	+0	No	+$3	09-30 11:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$203	287	0	+287	Yes	-$203	10-20 23:01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$181	96	96	+0	No	+$9	09-30 12:04
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$180	180	0	+180	Yes	+$0	05-28 02:38
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$178	180	0	+180	Yes	+$2	05-25 11:44
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$173	182	0	+182	Yes	+$9	05-20 21:15
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$160	85	85	+0	No	+$3	10-28 02:11
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$132	152	0	+152	Yes	+$20	07-24 02:08
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	3	$131	67	67	+0	Yes	+$1	10-12 23:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$125	125	0	+125	Yes	+$0	05-30 10:08
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$85	86	0	+86	Yes	+$1	05-05 05:41
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-29 22:23
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	06-29 18:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$57	60	0	+60	No	+$3	05-11 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:12:17	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x33d774…
10-28 02:11:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x93877e…
10-28 02:11:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x501f76…
10-24 15:41:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0xa76bd3…
10-20 23:01:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	287	71¢	$203	0x1aa220…
10-16 16:52:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22d6d3…
10-16 03:58:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0x99da2a…
10-15 18:56:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x36fc8c…
10-13 12:58:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	97¢	$264	0x6fcee7…
10-13 07:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xeeac3f…
10-12 23:28:38	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xaa0c67…
10-12 23:28:35	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xdf492a…
10-12 22:03:38	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x396813…
10-10 07:31:01	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1ed1ba…
10-08 12:25:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ea266…
10-05 11:51:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	276	84¢	$233	0xea23db…
10-05 04:53:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3ed1cd…
10-05 03:16:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	276	83¢	$230	0x2a5f44…
09-30 23:53:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	274	99¢	$272	0xe418f0…
09-30 12:04:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$95	0x2088de…
09-30 11:49:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x83d2e3…
09-30 07:10:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5cab36…
09-30 07:04:38	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdb21b2…
09-30 07:03:18	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe67fef…
09-29 00:36:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	97¢	$104	0x2b9934…
09-25 10:46:14	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	96	90¢	$86	0x80a600…
09-23 11:00:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xac98c7…
09-22 13:37:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xef3cf1…
09-19 02:32:25	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe34597…
09-18 05:38:27	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeee092…
09-17 17:56:58	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf2af3…
09-12 04:07:10	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x54c22c…
09-11 02:56:16	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f897e…
09-10 19:40:57	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0xa984df…
09-05 04:06:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	261	99¢	$259	0x989870…
09-01 06:51:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xee0a2b…
08-31 20:17:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6af0cf…
08-31 15:59:39	Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8376a8…
08-31 14:48:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfd31c0…
08-31 14:46:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd738c…
08-31 14:45:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb0905c…
08-29 05:13:15	Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ba35a…
08-27 18:23:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	225	97¢	$218	0x84fdcf…
08-25 14:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	218	96¢	$210	0xe790cd…
08-25 08:28:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	218	96¢	$209	0xc39842…
08-24 01:13:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fcbb0…
08-24 00:40:33	Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8890f6…
08-21 16:21:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x63f560…
08-20 17:11:16	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	228	99¢	$227	0x07ae99…
08-19 13:23:10	will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a13a6…
08-17 16:07:54	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$232	0xd92b76…
08-15 18:56:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x75da28…
08-13 21:42:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8bdb17…
08-13 19:05:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	232	97¢	$224	0x1f7f97…
08-13 18:08:19	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2ba12b…
08-12 21:09:21	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf13d1e…
08-11 02:54:19	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1829e…
08-11 00:05:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0xa4bff3…
08-07 23:50:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5eeded…
08-07 11:41:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x55265e…
08-07 01:41:22	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x978806…
08-05 06:52:48	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xa71a82…
08-03 16:55:14	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0fa727…
07-30 16:40:53	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x915d5e…
07-30 03:20:33	will spy dip to 690 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x136325…
07-28 00:08:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0400d…
07-26 16:05:33	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x31f3d1…
07-24 02:08:27	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x4585ed…
07-23 16:11:54	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x626c0c…
07-23 13:39:55	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80b40c…
07-23 11:50:22	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	93	87¢	$81	0xf761cf…
07-23 06:37:10	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53c0c6…
07-21 23:09:48	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a05cb…
07-21 22:12:09	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8b9b88…
07-21 08:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa28e35…
07-21 02:28:54	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8f043c…
07-19 13:17:25	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x061708…
07-13 01:11:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf14423…
06-29 18:57:01	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xbfaa87…
06-29 11:07:20	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x539e11…
06-29 08:25:53	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0bb92d…
06-29 02:16:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x4ce517…
06-28 18:14:29	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x5a7a52…
06-28 15:10:52	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x292cd3…
06-27 11:21:23	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xfc5233…
06-27 03:28:26	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x28b28b…
06-08 19:26:54	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1d714…
06-06 18:10:12	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xca0813…
05-30 11:55:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf06908…
05-30 10:08:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x1b9f98…
05-29 22:23:31	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x283ef8…
05-28 02:38:26	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x99379d…
05-25 11:44:56	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x2c66a5…
05-22 12:43:34	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xecc375…
05-20 21:15:50	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	182	95¢	$173	0x7cfef4…
05-11 09:13:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x128e65…
05-10 13:50:27	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa075bd…
05-10 04:00:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa13442…
05-10 00:15:21	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf483fd…
05-09 12:02:08	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88c188…