Grown-Apple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$407

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-08 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

76% 59% -$526

Politics

23% 40% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	3	$831	450	450	+0	open	—	06-03 08:21
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	2	$817	439	439	+0	No	+$0	06-04 05:47
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$815	448	448	+0	open	—	06-02 06:12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$742	380	380	+0	No	$0	05-06 07:29
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	2	$740	394	394	+0	Yes	$0	05-31 06:22
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	3	$691	362	362	+0	No	+$0	08-13 07:22
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	3	$690	368	368	+0	open	—	08-13 09:24
israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	2	$681	356	356	+0	No	-$1	06-06 07:27
will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	2	$680	368	368	+0	No	+$10	06-30 05:35
will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	2	$677	370	370	+0	No	-$5	06-08 06:57
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	2	$673	352	352	+0	No	+$4	05-30 06:58
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$659	340	340	+0	No	+$1	05-11 08:59
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	2	$650	350	350	+0	open	—	05-09 06:49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$591	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-05 05:10
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	1	$482	491	0	+491	Slovenia	+$9	06-04 05:55
lol hrts bar 2026 06 03 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$445	484	0	+484	No	+$39	06-03 08:27
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	1	$407	444	0	+444	Wales	+$37	06-02 06:45
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	1	$400	435	0	+435	US Catanzaro 1929	-$400	05-29 04:45
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	1	$380	400	0	+400	No	+$20	05-28 06:17
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)	1	$370	407	0	+407	BK Hacken	+$37	05-31 06:27
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	1	$368	380	0	+380	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	-$368	05-06 08:23
dota2 z10 sb5 2026 06 08 game2 any player rampage	1	$347	365	0	+365	No	+$18	06-08 07:01
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$344	348	0	+348	FCSB	+$4	05-11 10:03
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	1	$340	370	0	+370	Over	+$30	06-07 05:06
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	1	$338	372	0	+372	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	+$33	05-30 07:05
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	1	$335	360	0	+360	Shandong Taishan FC	-$335	05-05 06:53
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$323	330	0	+330	Sevilla FC	+$7	05-09 07:27
Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	1	$311	328	0	+328	Haras El Hodood SC	+$16	05-07 06:59
val gdr xc 2026 03 17	1	$254	310	0	+310	Gods Reign	+$56	03-17 07:05
mlb min tor 2026 03 13	1	$183	300	0	+300	Toronto Blue Jays	+$117	03-13 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 06:29:08	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7bfd33…
09-29 03:32:23	Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6fbc02…
08-13 09:24:42	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x271717…
08-13 09:24:40	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	356	94¢	$334	0x655681…
08-13 07:27:57	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	368	94¢	$345	0x9ae411…
08-13 07:22:55	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	SELL	354	95¢	$338	0x08e6f0…
08-13 07:22:54	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x12827c…
08-13 06:25:48	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	362	95¢	$345	0xc88502…
06-30 05:35:43	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	368	94¢	$345	0xa5610e…
06-30 02:50:55	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	368	91¢	$335	0x13759d…
06-08 07:01:30	dota2 z10 sb5 2026 06 08 game2 any player rampage	No	BUY	365	95¢	$347	0xaffde0…
06-08 06:57:27	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	370	91¢	$336	0xe336d4…
06-08 04:41:30	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	370	92¢	$341	0xacc16d…
06-07 05:06:54	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	370	92¢	$340	0xf0a0b3…
06-06 07:27:31	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	SELL	356	96¢	$340	0xe49e72…
06-06 05:04:58	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	356	96¢	$341	0xb4278f…
06-04 05:55:40	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	491	98¢	$482	0xeafd36…
06-04 05:47:27	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	439	93¢	$408	0x57dd08…
06-04 02:32:55	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	439	93¢	$408	0xa8bef7…
06-03 08:27:05	lol hrts bar 2026 06 03 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	484	92¢	$445	0x9d6c71…
06-03 08:21:53	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	116	91¢	$106	0x1165bc…
06-03 08:21:18	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	334	93¢	$310	0x066f87…
06-03 06:57:36	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	450	92¢	$414	0xaacf8b…
06-02 06:45:11	Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	Wales	BUY	444	92¢	$407	0xd2e8bf…
06-02 06:12:38	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	448	91¢	$408	0x084163…
06-02 04:39:04	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	448	91¢	$408	0xa229fb…
05-31 06:27:55	Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)	BK Hacken	BUY	407	91¢	$370	0xcff58f…
05-31 06:22:55	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	394	94¢	$370	0xae6c76…
05-31 03:24:25	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	394	94¢	$370	0x58c80e…
05-30 07:05:08	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	372	91¢	$338	0xe7847b…
05-30 06:58:24	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	SELL	352	96¢	$339	0xd1e247…
05-30 05:26:04	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	352	95¢	$334	0x966a62…
05-29 04:45:18	Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0xc68adf…
05-28 06:17:55	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xbbac6d…
05-14 05:00:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x2c6b06…
05-14 04:53:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x92cfac…
05-11 10:03:20	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	348	99¢	$344	0xbe6a76…
05-11 08:59:37	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	340	97¢	$330	0x09f695…
05-11 06:50:10	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	97¢	$329	0x1df8ec…
05-10 08:22:54	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	440	6¢	$26	0xd8f167…
05-10 08:22:51	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	713	6¢	$43	0xc19a3c…
05-10 08:22:51	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x17fba4…
05-10 07:09:07	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x488bee…
05-10 07:08:25	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	248	1¢	$2	0x7491e4…
05-10 07:08:23	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	447	1¢	$3	0x585857…
05-10 05:06:49	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	367	3¢	$11	0xc17e30…
05-10 05:06:10	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	328	3¢	$10	0x93be8a…
05-09 07:27:51	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	330	98¢	$323	0x88f243…
05-09 06:49:30	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	SELL	350	93¢	$324	0x5bf4fb…
05-09 04:59:11	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	350	93¢	$326	0x71617c…
05-07 06:59:13	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	Haras El Hodood SC	BUY	328	95¢	$311	0x46d848…
05-07 05:34:54	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$8	0x84b8ff…
05-07 02:47:46	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	Yes	BUY	323	1¢	$2	0x52d9e1…
05-07 02:47:43	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	Yes	BUY	344	1¢	$2	0xa614cb…
05-06 08:23:06	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	FC Gifu	BUY	380	97¢	$368	0xeec867…
05-06 07:29:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	380	98¢	$371	0x44bd77…
05-06 05:59:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	380	98¢	$371	0x60b296…
05-05 06:53:16	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	360	93¢	$335	0x03b11e…
05-05 05:10:14	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$296	0xa42ba8…
05-05 02:48:20	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xd7d42c…
04-27 08:48:40	Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	Fatih Karagümrük SK	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0x1d0dbb…
04-27 08:48:38	Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	Fatih Karagümrük SK	BUY	418	4¢	$16	0x80f835…
04-26 06:29:08	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xb50bc4…
04-26 06:27:24	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	351	1¢	$5	0xf1e8e9…
04-25 06:53:24	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Gaziantep FK	BUY	359	6¢	$22	0xfe12e1…
04-25 06:53:24	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Gaziantep FK	BUY	392	6¢	$24	0xf5f1fd…
04-25 06:50:26	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	703	1¢	$7	0xa4fb9e…
04-25 02:03:38	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	2¢	$5	0x7dd604…
04-25 02:03:34	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	2¢	$4	0xd88c3b…
03-17 07:05:11	val gdr xc 2026 03 17	Gods Reign	BUY	310	82¢	$254	0x8a9b37…
03-16 05:58:41	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	270	22¢	$59	0x735237…
03-16 05:58:39	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	290	22¢	$64	0x4c544b…
03-13 07:25:37	mlb min tor 2026 03 13	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0xa9aaa4…