Few-Tshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,069

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-22 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

55% 38% $-96

Politics

24% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	35	$1.6K	1,994	1,778	+216	open	—	04-07 10:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	135	$1.5K	1,424	1,277	+147	open	—	05-29 13:32
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	51	$1.4K	1,315	1,300	+15	open	—	03-15 23:06
italy nordio reform referendum passes	11	$878	2,400	1,919	+481	open	—	03-24 08:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$826	498	486	+12	open	—	05-12 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$550	683	683	+0	open	—	05-23 23:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$543	863	650	+213	open	—	04-21 14:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$514	241	301	-60	open	—	01-22 22:01
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$479	253	253	+0	open	—	02-10 17:03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	19	$434	351	351	+0	open	—	04-08 14:45
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	6	$402	206	206	+0	open	—	02-27 22:06
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	7	$399	253	153	+100	open	—	01-16 13:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	5	$383	175	220	-45	open	—	01-24 00:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	16	$362	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 16:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	12	$325	410	410	+0	open	—	04-22 10:52
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	6	$293	200	175	+25	open	—	04-24 13:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	7	$283	392	392	+0	open	—	04-21 15:00
will arsenal reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	5	$282	150	175	-25	open	—	03-17 20:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	04-05 12:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 12:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	9	$250	293	293	+0	Up	$-8	05-11 14:29
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	6	$245	183	183	+0	open	—	03-22 17:21
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$241	180	180	+0	open	—	01-07 14:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$215	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 23:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$213	148	148	+0	open	—	02-28 08:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$209	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 11:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	8	$209	275	275	+0	Down	$-8	05-07 14:46
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	01-16 13:38
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	4	$198	102	102	+0	open	—	02-19 20:21
will lighter reach 5pt00 in january	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-19 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:37:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x8d19a6…
07-22 08:50:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7d0e04…
07-22 08:50:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x753904…
07-22 08:50:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3518bd…
07-22 08:50:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb1ccdb…
07-22 08:50:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9af1e3…
07-22 08:49:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8e5d43…
07-22 08:49:51	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7c2f21…
07-22 08:49:51	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2910e5…
07-22 02:46:34	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xd95608…
07-17 09:44:07	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4f1224…
07-17 09:40:43	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x80acc1…
07-17 07:32:46	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xc43305…
07-16 07:29:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2c4147…
07-16 01:00:56	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5e4ce5…
07-15 18:21:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb30f47…
07-09 19:45:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xd3222d…
07-07 12:03:53	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x3bc130…
07-05 20:05:13	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfca30e…
07-05 03:58:19	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x56afe6…
07-04 20:36:49	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xb2d7c2…
07-04 04:05:55	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x041141…
07-04 03:42:58	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x24f012…
07-03 16:37:26	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x585c2b…
07-03 02:14:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xab2ca4…
07-01 16:11:01	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x13fdba…
06-30 16:41:56	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x719c2e…
06-29 16:55:10	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x3183a9…
06-28 18:39:08	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x8e4deb…
06-25 13:18:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x0d4ecf…
06-25 10:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xad9adb…
06-23 19:20:10	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xed7ee1…
06-22 20:07:52	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x24bb96…
06-22 15:20:38	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xee453c…
06-20 07:32:55	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf5ceea…
06-20 07:31:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9f53a7…
06-18 16:00:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2fed1d…
06-18 15:59:38	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x497b70…
06-14 19:48:48	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xccb5e9…
06-14 04:05:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x43de48…
06-13 21:17:48	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xc9e2c7…
06-13 21:10:51	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc31b47…
06-13 21:09:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x9121ea…
06-13 11:49:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x28e4b1…
06-12 17:37:51	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x05a995…
06-07 13:02:42	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x62437c…
06-07 12:36:34	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe820c2…
06-07 09:56:37	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x94f4cd…
06-07 09:38:24	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x93062f…
06-07 05:48:48	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xede62d…
06-06 13:59:31	btc updown 4h 1780747200	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6ea445…
06-05 00:01:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd9636c…
06-04 23:34:55	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xbd11e4…
06-01 21:47:16	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x29b13e…
06-01 16:34:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xc822eb…
05-30 05:02:26	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xedf0b4…
05-29 13:32:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xb8e891…
05-29 02:12:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x8b6157…
05-28 18:52:10	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xeb176f…
05-28 14:13:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x6af230…
05-28 14:13:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x97f94f…
05-28 12:49:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x52da5d…
05-28 12:49:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x69a4a9…
05-28 12:36:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x49d3aa…
05-28 12:36:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	61	43¢	$26	0x0f9232…
05-28 12:36:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x89e581…
05-28 10:47:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xca4694…
05-28 10:44:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x4d13e2…
05-28 10:43:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x865b49…
05-28 10:24:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x8ca888…
05-28 06:39:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x644f9f…
05-27 20:26:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x084b68…
05-27 09:50:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe2f74d…
05-27 09:50:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xd6bca2…
05-27 09:50:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x25c7da…
05-27 09:02:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	91	15¢	$14	0x78f228…
05-27 08:52:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x8991db…
05-26 08:15:54	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xa292ef…
05-26 08:07:22	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xa553a1…
05-26 08:02:59	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x094fc7…
05-26 07:59:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x519c12…
05-26 07:48:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x07d7e2…
05-26 07:48:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xcb993b…
05-26 07:45:55	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x8eeb6f…
05-26 07:44:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xddb4d8…
05-26 07:35:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xd0aa79…
05-26 07:33:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x2043e1…
05-25 20:29:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	170	63¢	$107	0x3103cf…
05-25 19:41:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x1e432e…
05-25 18:41:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$127	0xfdec99…
05-25 12:51:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	62¢	$20	0x1d7a89…
05-25 12:51:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	62¢	$51	0x02bd64…
05-25 12:50:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	62¢	$34	0xa66257…
05-25 12:49:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0x9b9898…
05-25 11:49:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xea8e4e…
05-25 11:40:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$125	0x32a10c…
05-25 11:39:09	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x3ba386…
05-25 04:45:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe3d053…
05-23 23:42:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x16469c…
05-23 20:53:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x4433b1…