Realized P&L
-$94
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
13.0%
Resolved
14
Trades
1,046
lifetime
Volume
$23.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$92
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-03 16:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
56% 38% $-96
Politics
24%
Crypto
15%
Sports
3% 100% +$2
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -50 $-48 95¢ $-48 +$0 05-30 05:02
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 07-01 16:11
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-07 13:02