Glum-Hippopotamus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$399

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-12 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 33% $-25

Sports

17% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		+10	$8	65¢	$6	$-2	06-11 00:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$28	10	20	-10	open	—	06-01 17:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 21:10
US bank failure by April 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 15:22
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	$-15	04-05 01:55
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-08 00:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 21:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 19:30
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-08 00:17
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	3	$12	5	20	-15	open	—	07-12 04:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	06-01 13:22
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 22:01
will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-05 21:55
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-21 20:49
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	06-03 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 22:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 22:04
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.0%?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-05 01:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-06 22:40
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	$-10	04-14 03:53
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	07-07 17:12
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 16:55
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	06-11 00:20
will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	06-29 17:46
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 03:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-21 04:10
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	07-03 00:36
Will Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-02 18:44
will open reach 4 75 by june 22 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-23 17:54
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 04:20:02	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa32e8d…
07-07 17:12:22	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x6a360b…
07-03 00:36:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xe94942…
07-02 02:33:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x623027…
07-01 22:21:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa10eb4…
07-01 22:19:29	will open reach 5 25 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5668d3…
07-01 01:35:50	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x37cf3a…
06-29 17:46:25	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x50b2d7…
06-29 16:56:38	will open reach 5 00 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbacdcb…
06-24 02:22:13	will united states go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622417	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x06f233…
06-24 02:22:02	will mexico go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622418	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x880cb4…
06-23 17:54:23	will open reach 4 75 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xea6b82…
06-23 17:52:59	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x96aedd…
06-23 04:31:38	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcabf5e…
06-21 20:49:04	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf953a6…
06-11 00:20:10	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x69a962…
06-11 00:19:22	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd12716…
06-06 05:52:43	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb5c6cf…
06-06 05:51:03	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe92e74…
06-05 21:55:00	will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb7854e…
06-03 19:50:31	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x0633f4…
06-03 19:49:37	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd519b1…
06-02 18:44:54	Will Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x5f32eb…
06-01 21:42:48	will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x42999c…
06-01 21:38:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x0766bc…
06-01 17:46:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2bdb52…
06-01 13:22:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xd904da…
06-01 13:04:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x32f0b0…
05-31 22:43:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x670bb1…
05-31 03:53:20	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x4d3276…
05-30 00:26:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaab06b…
05-22 16:55:35	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8ed32b…
05-21 04:10:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x80681a…
05-21 04:09:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xec19c3…
05-17 19:30:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4faf87…
05-08 00:17:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x564f6a…
05-08 00:17:45	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2b8e6…
05-07 22:44:46	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x77655a…
05-07 19:13:57	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9cae6f…
05-05 20:28:10	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x983d7d…
05-04 05:07:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x38bdd0…
05-02 00:48:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1f1bde…
05-01 20:59:42	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x87c416…
05-01 15:22:32	US bank failure by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcf95dc…
05-01 04:04:24	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x36a914…
05-01 04:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x032174…
04-26 03:10:16	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xfe9855…
04-26 02:45:28	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e9951…
04-25 22:47:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf57df3…
04-24 22:04:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3d1289…
04-24 22:04:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf005b9…
04-24 22:01:18	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdfce62…
04-21 19:45:08	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xffb484…
04-18 00:59:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x428f08…
04-17 21:10:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xdf2577…
04-14 03:53:51	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf55b55…
04-09 15:44:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1ada33…
04-06 22:40:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x151bcd…
04-06 01:26:39	US bank failure by April 30?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3903af…
04-06 01:12:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd340d2…
04-05 01:57:21	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.0%?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe60934…
04-05 01:55:17	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xdd31fc…
04-05 01:49:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x50d7be…
04-04 02:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2ac268…
04-04 02:55:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd51432…
04-04 02:32:57	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x22b4af…