Glum-Hippopotamus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

114

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$874

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-12 00:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

71% 77% -$17

Sports

15% 53% -$9

Crypto

8% 86% +$4

Tech

6% 50% +$1

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	-27	-$9	46¢	$-12	-$3	07-11 04:33
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	-12	-$12	95¢	$-12	+$1	11-12 00:06
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+6	$5	90¢	$5	+$0	10-22 00:42
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $148 Week of November 9 2026?	No	+5	$4	84¢	$4	$0	11-12 00:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above $170?	No	+3	$3	88¢	$3	+$0	11-12 00:06
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+24	$7	3¢	$1	-$6	05-04 05:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+8	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	05-25 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$4	06-01 17:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$26	17	17	+0	No	+$6	04-18 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	04-17 21:10
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	4	$22	6	19	-12	open	—	11-12 00:06
US bank failure by April 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-01 15:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	3	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 13:22
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 19:50
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 11:57
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	09-04 02:55
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	4	$15	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	07-12 04:20
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	-$15	04-05 01:55
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	05-08 00:17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	07-31 18:10
UK Recession in 2026?	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	07-28 16:40
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	08-13 12:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$1	06-01 21:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-17 19:30
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-08 00:17
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-24 22:01
will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-05 21:55
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-21 20:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	04-25 22:47
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-05 04:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	04-24 22:04
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.0%?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	04-05 01:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	04-06 22:40
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	-$10	04-14 03:53
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 17:12
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	3	$9	8	6	+3	Yes	+$2	08-31 03:58
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	1	$9	0	27	-27	open	—	07-11 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 00:06:51	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x930cba…
11-12 00:06:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above $170?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd35b2c…
11-12 00:05:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $148 Week of November 9 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf245c6…
10-29 02:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x9d008c…
10-28 12:23:31	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xece14f…
10-28 04:40:56	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x46c774…
10-28 04:39:55	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x587765…
10-25 22:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x9f3c16…
10-25 22:09:27	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x0f5aeb…
10-22 00:50:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xac7bb4…
10-22 00:42:57	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1b400e…
10-22 00:42:17	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x9963d1…
10-22 00:39:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xf4cc88…
10-22 00:39:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xde4116…
10-22 00:36:39	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbeb59f…
10-19 02:44:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe50049…
10-11 03:18:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc913cd…
10-10 13:50:01	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc68961…
10-10 13:49:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xa45d4d…
09-24 20:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x6a45df…
09-24 03:22:15	googl up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc056b1…
09-24 03:21:13	wti up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x1b02d2…
09-23 03:19:02	meta up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xd2147a…
09-22 01:47:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1b508b…
09-17 03:29:13	spx up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xba3996…
09-14 17:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf7d381…
09-14 17:21:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 14?	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x015808…
09-14 04:02:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 14?	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3ad454…
09-14 04:01:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc8dd56…
09-08 03:09:55	Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x46cdc7…
09-08 03:09:37	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x9c228e…
09-07 04:10:36	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2e20ab…
09-07 04:06:46	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6188b2…
09-06 15:14:10	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x21c76a…
09-06 13:38:13	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd38aa8…
09-04 23:58:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xebf47a…
09-04 04:08:30	nvda up or down on september 4 2026	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x338f1e…
09-04 04:05:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7125bf…
09-04 02:55:43	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x17fe49…
09-03 04:23:06	meta up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7b5909…
09-03 04:21:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x5fe761…
08-31 15:36:33	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x349d67…
08-31 04:05:46	will amzn reach 268 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcb9e84…
08-31 04:02:45	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe594c5…
08-31 03:59:12	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x487220…
08-31 03:59:00	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb9af5c…
08-31 03:58:07	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe8ef1c…
08-31 03:54:33	will wti dip to 70 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x0f2fd6…
08-31 03:53:48	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x500ed8…
08-31 01:49:07	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x711dbf…
08-31 01:41:10	atp navone djokovi 2026 08 30	Novak Djokovic	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x870295…
08-30 14:43:36	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x946587…
08-30 04:19:19	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x302722…
08-29 01:41:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x230d02…
08-29 01:38:39	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3d316e…
08-27 12:46:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x8b86d3…
08-27 05:02:22	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb79dd1…
08-27 05:02:12	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xed8fe2…
08-27 05:00:15	mu up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2bff5f…
08-26 01:07:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x71f7c1…
08-25 23:39:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x3f8de6…
08-24 12:50:07	bitcoin above 76k on august 24 2026	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1cee15…
08-24 03:31:57	bitcoin above 76k on august 24 2026	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x6d8f29…
08-24 03:27:36	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x27110c…
08-17 12:14:36	will mu reach 1080 by august 17 2026	No	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x7dbdf1…
08-17 03:33:48	will mu dip to 870 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x5e187e…
08-17 03:32:01	will mu reach 1080 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5921af…
08-13 12:33:57	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x795d21…
08-13 04:29:48	will coin reach 160 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x929047…
08-13 04:29:25	will coin dip to 142 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9d2db8…
08-09 03:58:27	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x4236f4…
08-09 03:57:30	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xbe49a5…
08-05 04:17:23	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x97e418…
08-03 03:12:44	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xf7d2d4…
08-02 04:07:42	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x4bac41…
08-02 02:55:23	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa777c1…
08-02 02:53:09	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbe89d8…
08-02 02:48:30	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa5e57a…
07-31 18:11:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4fffe6…
07-31 18:10:51	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x41ee33…
07-31 18:10:41	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xc75dd7…
07-31 04:41:35	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4d6970…
07-31 04:37:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf53956…
07-28 16:40:26	UK Recession in 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xccb94b…
07-23 22:17:21	will open reach 4 75 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x185fc9…
07-23 04:29:13	will open reach 4 75 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2e104d…
07-23 04:24:13	will remco evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405601	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x262955…
07-12 04:20:02	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa32e8d…
07-11 04:33:53	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0xb229a6…
07-07 17:12:22	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x6a360b…
07-04 23:57:50	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x739c39…
07-04 23:00:46	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xfed6d9…
07-03 00:36:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xe94942…
07-02 02:34:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6e7555…
07-02 02:33:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x623027…
07-02 02:32:46	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x98faa7…
07-01 22:21:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa10eb4…
07-01 22:20:53	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xea5d33…
07-01 22:20:32	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3e97e3…
07-01 22:19:29	will open reach 5 25 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5668d3…