Glum-Hippopotamus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-06 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 33% $-25

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	-12	$-11	94¢	$-12	$-0	06-01 13:22
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	-11	$-11	98¢	$-11	$-0	06-03 19:50
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+6	$5	82¢	$5	+$0	06-06 05:51
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	-15	$-4	26¢	$-4	$-0	05-31 03:53
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	-3	$-3	100¢	$-3	$-0	06-03 19:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$28	10	20	-10	open	—	06-01 17:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 21:10
US bank failure by April 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 15:22
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	1	$15	17	0	+17	No	$-15	04-05 01:55
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-08 00:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 21:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 19:30
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-08 00:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	06-01 13:22
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 22:01
will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-05 21:55
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	06-03 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 22:47
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.0%?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-05 01:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 22:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-06 22:40
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	$-10	04-14 03:53
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-22 16:55
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 03:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-21 04:10
Will Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-02 18:44
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 02:45
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-06 05:51
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 04:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 00:48
will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-06 05:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 22:04
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	1	$4	0	15	-15	open	—	05-31 03:53
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	06-03 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 05:52:43	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb5c6cf…
06-06 05:51:03	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe92e74…
06-05 21:55:00	will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb7854e…
06-03 19:50:31	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x0633f4…
06-03 19:49:37	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd519b1…
06-02 18:44:54	Will Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x5f32eb…
06-01 21:42:48	will open reach 7 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x42999c…
06-01 21:38:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x0766bc…
06-01 17:46:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2bdb52…
06-01 13:22:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xd904da…
06-01 13:04:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x32f0b0…
05-31 22:43:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x670bb1…
05-31 03:53:20	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x4d3276…
05-30 00:26:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaab06b…
05-22 16:55:35	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8ed32b…
05-21 04:10:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x80681a…
05-21 04:09:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xec19c3…
05-17 19:30:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4faf87…
05-08 00:17:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x564f6a…
05-08 00:17:45	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2b8e6…
05-07 22:44:46	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x77655a…
05-07 19:13:57	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9cae6f…
05-05 20:28:10	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x983d7d…
05-04 05:07:18	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x38bdd0…
05-02 00:48:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1f1bde…
05-01 20:59:42	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x87c416…
05-01 15:22:32	US bank failure by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcf95dc…
05-01 04:04:24	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x36a914…
05-01 04:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x032174…
04-26 03:10:16	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xfe9855…
04-26 02:45:28	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e9951…
04-25 22:47:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf57df3…
04-24 22:04:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3d1289…
04-24 22:04:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf005b9…
04-24 22:01:18	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdfce62…
04-21 19:45:08	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 20 above $6.00?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xffb484…
04-18 00:59:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x428f08…
04-17 21:10:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xdf2577…
04-14 03:53:51	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf55b55…
04-09 15:44:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1ada33…
04-06 22:40:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x151bcd…
04-06 01:26:39	US bank failure by April 30?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3903af…
04-06 01:12:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd340d2…
04-05 01:57:21	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.0%?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe60934…
04-05 01:55:17	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xdd31fc…
04-05 01:49:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x50d7be…
04-04 02:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2ac268…
04-04 02:55:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xd51432…
04-04 02:32:57	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x22b4af…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	23	$198.4K	3,588	06-10 00:05
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	22	$5.76M	8,591	06-09 21:32
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	21	$29.1K	264	06-08 21:52
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	20	$100.4K	6,870	06-09 00:22
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	18	$39.3K	568	06-09 17:05
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	16	$37.4K	2,522	05-04 10:41
(anonymous) 0xc71b…e265	16	$4.17K	293	06-09 16:18
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	16	$775	554	06-08 09:59