Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
18.9%
Resolved
11
Trades
681
lifetime
Volume
$5.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$24
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-01 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
80% 33% $-59
Other
14%
Crypto
5% 0% $-1
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +123 $15 15¢ $18 +$3 06-15 04:00
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +59 $5 $4 $-1 06-30 03:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 05:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -86 $18 $-0 $-18 06-30 20:35
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +14 $17 $0 $-16 06-30 16:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -44 $50 $-0 $-50 06-20 15:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +17 $-1 $0 +$1 06-18 18:33