Quizzical-Spit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$182

Hit rate

7.5%

Resolved

132

Trades

1,865

lifetime

Volume

$202.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$64

13 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-30 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

64% 8% -$1,125

Other

32% 17% -$695

Sports

1% 33% -$15

Tech

1% 0% -$51

Crypto

1% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+267	$61	22¢	$60	-$1	10-30 02:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1	-$1	83¢	$1	+$1	08-01 17:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	09-14 05:42
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	+1	$4	72¢	$1	-$3	07-10 03:20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$21	83¢	$1	-$21	09-10 06:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+0	$24	94¢	$0	-$24	05-20 15:26
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1	$5	52¢	$0	-$4	09-22 05:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1	$5	40¢	$0	-$5	07-05 03:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+0	$9	60¢	$0	-$9	08-06 09:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$2	30¢	$0	-$1	09-17 19:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$15	60¢	$0	-$15	09-29 19:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1	$27	3¢	$0	-$27	06-06 00:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$73	3¢	$0	-$73	08-24 07:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	68	$8.5K	11,227	11,477	-250	No	-$91	03-30 07:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	47	$6.0K	6,441	6,441	+0	Yes	-$44	04-01 12:47
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	147	$5.4K	14,010	14,009	+1	No	-$35	03-11 14:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	41	$5.1K	5,200	5,200	+0	Yes	-$72	04-06 11:39
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	30	$4.3K	4,419	4,618	-199	Yes	+$38	03-20 20:02
iran leadership change by march 31	44	$4.0K	4,728	4,728	+0	No	-$23	03-30 07:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	27	$4.0K	4,636	4,636	+0	No	-$42	03-17 12:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	26	$3.9K	4,052	4,051	+1	No	-$25	09-18 16:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	25	$3.4K	3,782	3,366	+416	Yes	-$134	04-03 11:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	14	$3.4K	8,237	8,237	+0	No	-$63	03-09 23:11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	34	$3.1K	3,506	3,506	+0	Yes	-$23	04-02 14:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	20	$3.1K	4,547	4,547	+0	No	-$54	04-21 06:50
Iran leadership change by March 13?	21	$3.0K	5,748	5,747	+1	No	$0	03-10 13:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	16	$2.8K	2,748	2,748	+0	No	-$24	03-11 15:28
Fed rate hike in 2026?	15	$2.7K	2,491	2,490	+1	Yes	-$53	08-10 15:46
another fed rate hike in 2026	13	$2.6K	1,671	1,671	+0	open	—	10-22 15:12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	17	$2.6K	3,509	3,509	+0	Yes	-$46	09-08 11:07
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	12	$2.5K	2,364	2,364	+0	No	+$1	05-16 14:09
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	15	$2.4K	2,257	2,257	+0	No	-$24	04-14 21:29
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	15	$2.4K	1,880	1,879	+1	No	-$5	03-12 00:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	14	$2.4K	1,571	1,571	+0	No	-$18	04-20 18:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	19	$2.4K	2,373	2,373	+0	Yes	-$17	03-20 06:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	28	$2.3K	2,905	2,905	+0	open	—	10-15 16:15
Iran leadership change by December 31?	8	$2.0K	1,713	1,713	+0	open	—	07-30 01:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$2.0K	2,191	2,190	+1	No	-$63	09-10 12:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$2.0K	1,776	1,776	+0	open	—	08-03 12:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	78	$1.8K	7,327	7,326	+1	No	-$2	03-10 08:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	16	$1.8K	1,134	1,134	+0	No	-$10	04-12 13:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$1.8K	1,969	1,969	+0	Yes	-$23	09-15 05:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,652	1,652	+0	No	-$14	04-25 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:48:00	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x97a808…
10-30 02:48:00	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x4f2f0a…
10-30 02:48:00	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x21a51e…
10-30 02:46:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	266	23¢	$61	0xfda8fd…
10-30 02:46:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	23¢	$16	0x2bb0d9…
10-29 19:16:33	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	290	79¢	$229	0x0dfb84…
10-29 19:06:42	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	67¢	$35	0xecaee1…
10-29 19:04:12	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	67¢	$50	0x393fc1…
10-29 19:03:58	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	67¢	$32	0xbb6e8c…
10-29 19:03:57	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xe40f81…
10-29 19:03:22	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	67¢	$121	0x57c942…
10-29 17:50:50	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	290	78¢	$226	0x49befa…
10-29 17:37:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	527	73¢	$385	0x08a791…
10-29 17:36:59	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	527	76¢	$401	0xd31765…
10-29 15:03:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	603	36¢	$217	0x7115d9…
10-29 15:02:31	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xeb4588…
10-29 15:02:02	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0x5bba0f…
10-29 13:47:10	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	70¢	$99	0x3b03ea…
10-29 13:16:44	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	70¢	$72	0xf15138…
10-29 11:31:41	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xef29e0…
10-29 10:59:01	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xbb4780…
10-29 10:50:07	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xa0238a…
10-29 10:48:22	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0xe23504…
10-29 10:48:22	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x50faf1…
10-29 10:48:22	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x2205fe…
10-29 10:19:13	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	70¢	$103	0xdb2be7…
10-29 10:19:13	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	70¢	$107	0x692186…
10-29 10:19:13	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	70¢	$19	0x38f22d…
10-29 00:36:14	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	502	39¢	$196	0x41a60d…
10-29 00:35:22	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	502	39¢	$196	0x1366fc…
10-28 22:33:10	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	54	27¢	$14	0x861774…
10-28 21:18:11	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	214	26¢	$56	0x041e62…
10-28 21:04:26	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0xfd1de2…
10-28 21:03:41	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	297	26¢	$77	0xa78b8e…
10-28 04:33:01	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x87271f…
10-28 04:33:01	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x48111c…
10-28 04:32:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xcd04f8…
10-28 04:32:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0x8cd0f8…
10-28 04:32:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x26122d…
10-28 04:32:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x05105d…
10-28 03:52:34	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x3d9ea1…
10-27 21:28:50	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xa7fe6b…
10-27 21:28:50	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	107	77¢	$82	0x186394…
10-27 20:01:20	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x28492d…
10-27 17:36:39	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	175	71¢	$124	0x55896f…
10-27 17:36:36	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x985c33…
10-27 17:36:23	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	196	71¢	$139	0x0b707f…
10-27 17:17:09	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	69¢	$200	0xd216f5…
10-27 16:45:12	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	120	78¢	$93	0xbadaed…
10-27 16:45:12	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x89cad6…
10-27 16:39:23	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	68¢	$197	0xa3f9b3…
10-27 15:23:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	79¢	$292	0x6b05bf…
10-27 15:23:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	79¢	$175	0xae5f6a…
10-27 15:23:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	79¢	$116	0x2f4378…
10-27 13:34:20	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x7e475f…
10-27 13:34:09	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	179	60¢	$107	0x263d29…
10-27 08:01:38	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0xf1174e…
10-27 06:06:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	479	61¢	$292	0xa4a221…
10-27 05:21:23	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0x719417…
10-27 05:21:20	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	SELL	61	76¢	$46	0x5f5b29…
10-27 05:21:20	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	SELL	44	76¢	$34	0x1e8850…
10-26 22:37:45	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	283	64¢	$181	0x942d2a…
10-26 21:28:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x1bcb38…
10-26 20:53:53	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	46	53¢	$24	0x914418…
10-26 20:53:53	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0x4a21a4…
10-26 20:53:53	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x17d26d…
10-26 20:53:39	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	78	57¢	$44	0x99b20b…
10-26 20:53:39	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0x3b67e8…
10-26 20:53:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	123	63¢	$77	0x9265c4…
10-26 19:57:42	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x6e3cee…
10-26 19:57:41	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x6c8524…
10-26 17:21:08	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	BUY	111	76¢	$85	0xc58d02…
10-26 17:21:06	Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?	No	BUY	106	76¢	$80	0x0bdaf3…
10-26 03:55:20	Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	SELL	76	60¢	$45	0x868d4f…
10-26 03:54:05	Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0x1e6eaa…
10-26 03:53:45	Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	89	60¢	$54	0x5ae001…
10-26 01:23:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	416	25¢	$104	0xcf76d0…
10-26 01:22:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	416	25¢	$104	0x0b1581…
10-25 13:37:33	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	142	21¢	$30	0x46e4b9…
10-25 13:34:50	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	142	21¢	$30	0x031de3…
10-25 10:02:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0xe71d4f…
10-25 10:02:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	389	58¢	$226	0x96fa94…
10-25 10:02:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x6ac1f4…
10-25 10:02:35	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	161	69¢	$111	0xa16b56…
10-25 10:02:35	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	No	BUY	242	70¢	$169	0x109887…
10-24 12:02:24	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	457	32¢	$146	0xef82a7…
10-24 12:02:21	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xdf9ee2…
10-24 12:02:15	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	163	34¢	$55	0xa2f120…
10-24 12:02:15	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x2676b3…
10-24 00:02:02	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	238	36¢	$86	0xa3dee7…
10-24 00:02:00	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x542ab8…
10-24 00:02:00	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	310	36¢	$112	0x2f6dd6…
10-23 14:34:14	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xbc5a01…
10-23 14:34:08	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	No	SELL	249	62¢	$154	0x1ee32d…
10-23 14:33:54	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?	No	BUY	259	62¢	$161	0xe19016…
10-23 13:27:56	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$11	0xf53271…
10-23 13:27:39	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	SELL	55	65¢	$36	0x23b38c…
10-23 13:27:18	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	BUY	71	64¢	$46	0x4003e3…
10-23 11:43:12	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	137	27¢	$38	0x7db83e…
10-23 11:15:08	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0xd44e73…