Athletic-Surroundings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-13 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

38% — —

Other

34% 100% +$0

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+6	$3	56¢	$3	$-0	05-30 11:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$158	82	82	+0	No	+$0	04-08 11:41
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	5	$134	147	147	+0	open	—	03-22 00:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$126	67	67	+0	open	—	05-23 16:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$123	97	97	+0	open	—	05-25 20:08
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	04-27 09:14
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$112	59	59	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 18:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	06-13 17:35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$87	46	46	+0	open	—	04-26 14:22
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$75	122	122	+0	open	—	03-16 17:12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$72	46	46	+0	open	—	03-18 14:37
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	03-20 12:30
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$71	37	37	+0	open	—	03-20 23:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	03-22 16:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-22 08:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	05-25 06:22
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-19 01:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	05-19 18:58
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	05-21 10:34
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	04-25 06:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	04-21 14:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$56	53	47	+6	open	—	05-30 11:06
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-23 09:19
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	03-27 03:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	06-10 19:08
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-30 17:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	06-01 16:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 16:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$52	55	55	+0	open	—	05-31 07:23
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	03-28 10:42
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-11 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 17:35:57	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0x3f4061…
06-13 14:38:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xb93701…
06-12 21:20:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x1b66a4…
06-12 21:19:54	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0x534e71…
06-10 19:08:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x70804d…
06-10 17:26:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xc8d8a4…
06-09 05:42:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	85	19¢	$16	0xd713c8…
06-08 23:58:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6e9b21…
06-08 23:57:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0xe3778c…
06-08 23:57:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0xca31ad…
06-04 08:00:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	88	13¢	$11	0x025531…
06-01 20:37:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0x917576…
06-01 20:37:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0xbf9068…
06-01 16:45:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x5390f4…
06-01 12:58:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x3952b3…
05-31 07:23:23	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	55	47¢	$26	0x726eea…
05-31 05:46:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	55	47¢	$26	0x80eecf…
05-30 16:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xb08a99…
05-30 14:47:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x28d943…
05-30 11:06:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	56¢	$22	0x9f02bf…
05-30 11:06:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x7e6a1f…
05-30 08:48:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x39c8fb…
05-30 08:48:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xeb0717…
05-30 06:28:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa9a82b…
05-27 21:31:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x01d576…
05-26 01:01:32	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0xe32d31…
05-25 23:32:29	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xe02bd8…
05-25 23:31:50	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xe1b12f…
05-25 20:08:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0xcc35a5…
05-25 20:08:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0x8a36a5…
05-25 18:05:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	61¢	$34	0x84b24b…
05-25 06:22:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	87¢	$24	0xb593eb…
05-25 06:22:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x65881c…
05-25 03:54:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0xa48054…
05-23 16:04:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xc5ddc9…
05-23 14:55:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x6507ce…
05-21 10:34:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe46f4d…
05-21 10:34:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x75159b…
05-21 07:43:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xaece12…
05-20 21:19:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0xf567b9…
05-20 17:22:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x804d01…
05-19 18:58:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe0bc93…
05-19 18:58:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0xb3cd0f…
05-19 17:20:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xa0ceb9…
05-18 19:32:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x0bd8dd…
05-18 18:05:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xf25313…
05-16 11:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xbf805b…
05-16 09:30:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x72cab9…
05-15 10:49:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x39aff2…
05-15 09:06:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xfa3385…
05-14 13:56:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xdf34ce…
05-14 12:09:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x2a263f…
04-27 09:14:56	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x44b75c…
04-27 09:11:08	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x239e13…
04-26 14:22:36	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xf59cc8…
04-26 11:51:46	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x20f1c3…
04-26 07:11:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x4c4116…
04-26 07:11:42	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x81d13d…
04-26 03:04:02	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x092b5e…
04-25 06:58:44	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x78654e…
04-25 04:05:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x81a399…
04-23 18:11:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x53fada…
04-23 18:11:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x48caa1…
04-23 16:02:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xae12ec…
04-22 08:00:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xacf27d…
04-22 05:29:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xe241a7…
04-21 14:01:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x98fdd1…
04-21 12:37:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x1c9e05…
04-20 20:10:54	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x60236d…
04-20 14:24:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x19a6d8…
04-19 01:45:54	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x945069…
04-19 01:45:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x0ce79c…
04-17 21:30:02	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x2d9217…
04-17 18:50:48	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0xe7d463…
04-17 14:22:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0xb4cc64…
04-17 13:04:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x6f450c…
04-11 15:00:35	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe369ce…
04-11 15:00:35	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd25fd5…
04-11 15:00:35	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6cc659…
04-11 13:13:39	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x85cdf2…
04-11 13:13:39	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2de40d…
04-08 11:41:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xc5579e…
04-08 11:41:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xc4e982…
04-08 08:03:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9bbb8e…
04-01 23:01:45	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$1	0x3a098a…
04-01 23:01:43	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9099b0…
04-01 21:21:09	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x9d3887…
04-01 21:21:09	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x237139…
03-31 20:46:31	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xd893aa…
03-31 20:45:53	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0xc48434…
03-31 18:37:03	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0xa53a3f…
03-31 02:46:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x897d53…
03-31 02:46:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x120d38…
03-31 02:38:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x767bc6…
03-30 17:40:23	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x42fd0e…
03-30 16:18:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x9e2580…
03-28 10:42:19	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xb1dfa9…
03-28 10:42:19	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4846cb…
03-28 07:05:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x5195e6…
03-27 03:49:11	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x489bac…