Tough-Dealing-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

5,818

Trades

59,175

lifetime

Volume

$346.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 10-29 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 54% +$5,134

Other

12% 57% -$2,522

Sports

8% 51% -$1,100

Tech

0% 100% +$63

Politics

0% 100% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3365 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	192	$1.4K	1,176	802	+375	Down	-$197	05-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	193	$1.1K	1,798	350	+1,448	Up	+$127	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	40	$955	1,856	0	+1,856	Up	-$322	05-29 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	18	$867	652	647	+5	Up	+$372	07-03 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:25 UTC	13	$813	661	650	+10	Up	+$433	07-02 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	9	$810	1,195	0	+1,195	Down	-$371	07-05 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	53	$808	1,130	670	+460	Up	-$201	05-31 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:15 UTC	440	$801	8,508	687	+7,821	Up	+$172	06-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	236	$779	8,268	323	+7,945	Down	-$209	05-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	15	$727	1,063	430	+634	Down	-$333	05-31 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 14:20 UTC	12	$672	1,276	0	+1,276	Down	+$166	07-05 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	142	$669	1,316	0	+1,316	Down	-$81	08-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	209	$644	519	307	+212	Down	+$80	05-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	50	$644	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	-$17	05-30 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	7	$631	922	0	+922	Down	+$291	07-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	316	$589	5,657	250	+5,407	Down	-$206	05-25 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	147	$585	767	386	+381	Up	+$315	05-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	151	$573	1,132	0	+1,132	Down	-$272	05-29 22:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	2	$557	308	308	+0	Up	+$58	06-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	240	$539	15,455	0	+15,455	Down	-$482	05-25 18:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	95	$529	425	425	+0	Down	-$6	06-03 13:18
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	6	$525	526	526	-0	Haiti	+$358	06-18 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	55	$520	464	338	+126	Down	+$276	05-27 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:10 UTC	8	$513	420	413	+7	Up	+$278	07-02 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	50	$510	1,046	0	+1,046	Down	+$167	05-29 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	23	$509	809	0	+809	Down	+$28	06-02 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	60	$504	12,219	0	+12,219	Up	-$337	05-25 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	59	$500	601	160	+441	Down	-$148	05-27 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:00 UTC	187	$499	986	0	+986	Down	+$0	07-20 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:40 UTC	30	$499	830	170	+660	Down	-$174	07-02 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xd72ac1…
10-29 02:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4e33ba…
10-29 02:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x462222…
10-29 02:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x93da38…
10-29 02:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf209a6…
10-29 02:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1d419c…
10-29 02:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0359dd…
10-29 02:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xee481c…
10-29 02:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x2a259d…
10-29 02:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x051694…
10-29 02:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xb69ee9…
10-29 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcaeb18…
10-29 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa622a5…
10-29 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d74be…
10-29 02:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf0c5cb…
10-29 02:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b5c88…
10-29 02:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xeff8a4…
10-29 02:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1dd218…
10-29 02:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd0d975…
10-29 02:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xbb3690…
10-29 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x93d402…
10-29 02:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x710e2d…
10-29 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xbe307e…
10-29 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xaf80ed…
10-29 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x58350d…
10-29 02:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xda4db8…
10-29 02:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb7f79f…
10-29 02:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc33af3…
10-29 02:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf4fda4…
10-29 02:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe44186…
10-29 02:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa2e402…
10-29 02:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6b646c…
10-29 02:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6275d2…
10-29 02:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3bfa91…
10-29 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf9e141…
10-29 02:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x70b48f…
10-29 02:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xda3763…
10-29 02:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb1ca62…
10-29 02:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x776c0f…
10-29 02:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf6f445…
10-29 02:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xceffcf…
10-29 02:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x28cff2…
10-29 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd1886f…
10-29 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd13eb7…
10-29 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7ffe87…
10-29 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x78844f…
10-29 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x469853…
10-29 02:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x079b31…
10-29 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xdcd4eb…
10-29 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd83ef9…
10-29 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x507490…
10-29 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x256f12…
10-29 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0935bb…
10-29 02:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x8d93f6…
10-29 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9771ca…
10-29 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1bb8b7…
10-29 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x673333…
10-29 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1bd405…
10-29 02:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd8a07b…
10-29 02:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9575ef…
10-29 02:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2bcd0e…
10-29 02:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x997161…
10-29 02:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x68eb8f…
10-29 02:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdd75e6…
10-29 02:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf6ddee…
10-29 02:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd86d15…
10-29 02:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x802ca9…
10-29 02:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b4618…
10-29 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5850fa…
10-29 00:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5276e3…
10-29 00:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xdec80f…
10-29 00:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x369d2f…
10-29 00:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x616c0e…
10-29 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfd4942…
10-29 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf01566…
10-29 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x87a2a8…
10-29 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x557559…
10-29 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x173b51…
10-29 00:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xfa9947…
10-29 00:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0af075…
10-29 00:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x07f33d…
10-29 00:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2f0f2e…
10-29 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaa1b8a…
10-29 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x228b5b…
10-29 00:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x556557…
10-29 00:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99fd7b…
10-29 00:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x98c95d…
10-29 00:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0ad0f6…
10-29 00:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb831bb…
10-29 00:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x12f870…
10-29 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb0f624…
10-29 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x77c592…
10-29 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x048bea…
10-29 00:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xed8e1a…
10-29 00:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa68967…
10-29 00:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x89fcdd…
10-29 00:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x118710…
10-29 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9ed4e4…
10-29 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x04e6a6…
10-29 00:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xbb0673…