Adorable-Payment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$3.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-06 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

48% 100% +$5

Other

40% 33% $-5

Politics

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$370	186	186	+0	open	—	01-09 01:33
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	01-15 01:32
will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	2	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	01-25 07:59
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	01-13 02:52
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$356	179	179	+0	open	—	01-21 02:23
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$340	171	171	+0	open	—	01-30 06:24
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	01-28 02:20
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	01-27 01:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	7	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-23 05:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	10	$26	76	78	-2	open	—	06-01 13:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$26	20	23	-3	open	—	05-29 16:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	7	$21	27	12	+16	open	—	05-25 02:08
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	7	$20	23	12	+12	open	—	06-03 19:23
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	04-08 02:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-23 05:22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	10	$19	33	33	+0	open	—	05-24 17:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	5	$17	20	15	+5	open	—	05-25 22:08
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	7	$16	49	9	+40	open	—	06-05 04:46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$15	15	20	-5	open	—	05-24 05:14
dota2 l1ga z10 2026 03 20	1	$15	33	0	+33	open	—	03-20 03:09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	6	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-27 05:23
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	8	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-24 15:37
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	5	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-29 01:40
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	5	$14	28	8	+20	open	—	06-10 19:29
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	5	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 19:47
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	7	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	06-07 20:15
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	07-01 03:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-25 05:18
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	4	$12	6	8	-2	open	—	06-04 06:35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-12 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 02:19:50	wnba tor por 2026 08 06	PortlandFire	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x973411…
07-05 02:23:44	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xf5492d…
07-03 05:11:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf6dc5d…
07-01 03:32:44	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe302b4…
07-01 03:32:44	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ba7fd…
07-01 03:32:43	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x779b3a…
07-01 03:32:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xefee41…
07-01 03:32:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x70ed1f…
07-01 03:32:34	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x1dffc1…
07-01 03:32:32	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x691e28…
07-01 03:32:32	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x066132…
06-26 20:47:47	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5a663f…
06-25 05:18:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xac4f88…
06-24 21:25:59	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x81c483…
06-23 21:38:13	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x769a94…
06-23 13:37:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0be8ab…
06-23 06:03:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6c552d…
06-21 23:14:23	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1ea868…
06-18 16:27:37	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x12144b…
06-18 01:18:37	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5f5773…
06-17 23:07:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x2b8e16…
06-17 18:30:49	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x2de8c4…
06-16 18:14:02	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x50864e…
06-16 18:13:59	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x22c244…
06-16 17:55:11	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x4d6303…
06-16 17:42:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xebbaee…
06-14 20:43:18	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xee717f…
06-14 20:43:12	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x859282…
06-14 15:32:01	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	Legacy	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x95c9bc…
06-14 14:12:18	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 5pt5	Curaçao	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8e300f…
06-14 14:12:01	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 map handicap home 1pt5	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x917202…
06-14 12:47:30	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x58897e…
06-14 12:47:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x51372f…
06-14 01:16:10	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x907294…
06-13 22:01:48	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeb49cc…
06-13 22:01:34	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x3c5803…
06-13 20:56:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5669da…
06-13 17:22:33	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8a9b41…
06-13 17:22:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd79415…
06-13 16:02:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xd5e054…
06-13 16:02:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x08eacb…
06-13 16:02:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xe87675…
06-13 14:36:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x50c3a7…
06-13 14:36:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x078ad0…
06-13 13:21:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x939775…
06-13 13:21:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x041e27…
06-13 07:45:13	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x045cf1…
06-13 05:23:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6d958a…
06-13 03:02:07	cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13	Legacy	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x24a9d1…
06-13 03:02:06	cs2 bb3 furia 2026 06 13	FURIA	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b2978…
06-13 02:06:45	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x3f70b3…
06-12 16:47:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x48ac99…
06-12 14:17:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xa72c18…
06-12 13:35:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x017de2…
06-11 20:08:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfc38b3…
06-11 20:08:16	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1e55bc…
06-10 19:29:43	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1eea20…
06-10 18:18:36	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5a29de…
06-09 16:24:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x3c0fc0…
06-09 14:56:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x55d4fd…
06-08 14:29:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x41f910…
06-08 14:29:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf68831…
06-08 14:29:25	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc76b0d…
06-08 13:18:07	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x674cb1…
06-08 13:18:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1359d0…
06-08 12:16:01	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x4107b0…
06-07 21:15:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6b0bfe…
06-07 20:15:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf9434f…
06-07 20:15:30	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xc6a0c4…
06-07 19:51:43	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x551a70…
06-07 19:51:42	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xac6456…
06-07 19:51:40	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x127347…
06-06 22:36:06	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6aa33b…
06-05 16:37:42	cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05 map handicap home 1pt5	BIG	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8e81b5…
06-05 15:44:34	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4392cd…
06-05 14:37:46	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xa92089…
06-05 04:46:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf1a752…
06-04 19:18:48	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34982c…
06-04 07:32:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xccd899…
06-04 06:35:58	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xb53f74…
06-03 19:23:49	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2b970f…
06-03 13:26:34	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x629ace…
06-03 11:31:23	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa54714…
06-03 10:33:59	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9ebe47…
06-03 10:05:15	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb4ba4a…
06-03 08:24:29	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4ef975…
06-03 02:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcab4c5…
06-02 22:32:54	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x1f4ab2…
06-02 22:20:30	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xc4a5d0…
06-02 22:20:30	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xbef603…
06-02 22:20:28	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x2860fc…
06-02 10:26:46	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x530d6c…
06-02 09:37:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xb967f1…
06-02 09:00:33	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x4315b3…
06-01 21:28:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd27051…
06-01 18:49:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x076a21…
06-01 16:22:31	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8fd3c4…
06-01 15:16:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x710f46…
06-01 13:45:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xb8e99b…
06-01 13:45:40	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xaf7dcd…