(anonymous) 0x5d529a…a2f840
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$207
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
35.4%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
29
45 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$486
$1.02K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$395
9 positions
First seen
2026-10-09
last 10-30 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
69% 33% -$207
Other
31% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +149 $128 88¢ $132 +$4 10-10 11:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +111 $75 70¢ $78 +$3 10-30 13:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +67 $60 98¢ $66 +$6 10-27 20:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +61 $58 94¢ $58 -$1 10-30 17:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 10-29 20:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +26 $15 59¢ $15 +$1 10-27 23:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 10-29 20:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +17 $10 42¢ $7 -$3 10-09 05:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +13 $8 42¢ $6 -$2 10-09 15:00