(anonymous) 0x5d529a…a2f840 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$199
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved (90d)
5
Trades (90d)
44
44 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$954
$954 lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$330
8 positions
First seen
2026-10-09
last 10-30 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% -$200
Other
31% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +149 $128 88¢ $131 +$2 10-10 11:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +111 $75 72¢ $80 +$5 10-30 13:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +61 $58 96¢ $58 +$0 10-30 17:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 10-29 20:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +26 $15 60¢ $16 +$1 10-27 23:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 10-29 20:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +17 $10 42¢ $7 -$3 10-09 05:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +13 $8 43¢ $6 -$2 10-09 15:00