Recent-Anteater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

160

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$240

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-29 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$40

Other

33% 100% +$36

Crypto

20% 100% +$35

Tech

5% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+397	$282	60¢	$240	-$42	10-27 19:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$787	476	463	+13	Yes	+$5	10-25 23:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$594	298	298	+0	No	+$0	06-08 00:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$460	240	240	+0	open	—	10-28 21:58
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$418	211	211	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:10
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	3	$397	198	198	+0	No	+$0	09-29 08:13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$368	187	187	+0	No	+$7	09-01 06:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$367	367	0	+367	No	+$0	09-16 03:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$364	365	0	+365	No	+$1	09-14 16:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$341	345	0	+345	No	+$3	09-04 22:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$340	272	272	+0	open	—	10-15 07:38
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$338	359	0	+359	Yes	+$21	09-10 14:22
Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	4	$329	172	172	-0	open	—	10-04 07:59
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	1	$301	304	0	+304	Yes	+$2	08-19 03:27
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$301	302	0	+302	No	+$1	08-05 08:31
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	3	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	06-26 03:18
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$299	302	0	+302	No	+$3	08-16 23:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	2	$296	297	0	+297	No	+$1	08-07 22:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$294	294	0	+294	No	+$0	08-09 22:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$289	289	0	+289	No	+$1	08-22 02:46
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$285	292	0	+292	Yes	+$7	08-20 20:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$283	301	0	+301	No	+$18	08-13 00:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$282	283	0	+283	No	+$1	08-11 19:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$282	397	0	+397	open	—	10-27 19:16
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$267	268	0	+268	No	+$1	06-27 08:03
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$261	262	0	+262	No	+$1	05-28 18:10
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$259	260	0	+260	No	+$1	05-31 21:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$259	260	0	+260	No	+$1	05-15 04:17
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$258	262	0	+262	Yes	+$4	05-26 13:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$258	262	0	+262	No	+$5	05-20 12:55
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$254	259	0	+259	Yes	+$5	05-14 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:26:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa2e7b7…
10-28 21:58:37	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x852177…
10-28 18:21:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x0c14fd…
10-28 03:01:39	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	117	95¢	$112	0x6f3383…
10-27 19:16:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1f99b5…
10-25 23:20:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xac878c…
10-25 10:20:50	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	117	91¢	$107	0x12b6e8…
10-20 09:02:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	395	71¢	$281	0x183bb6…
10-19 16:12:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	63¢	$53	0xfafa8b…
10-18 00:05:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	89	80¢	$71	0x0fa44d…
10-15 10:51:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0x560753…
10-15 07:38:53	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	63¢	$171	0xe2e140…
10-14 22:26:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xaa3944…
10-14 22:26:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	61	62¢	$38	0x4ae372…
10-14 11:45:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	62¢	$168	0x985780…
10-14 06:54:38	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x0e2d31…
10-14 06:53:40	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x184bac…
10-12 19:07:30	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x3674bb…
10-12 18:57:41	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$6	0xc730bc…
10-12 18:54:15	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x424b4f…
10-12 18:24:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x08bdd6…
10-12 18:22:20	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0xed7cfd…
10-12 18:21:29	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	30¢	$17	0x841f85…
10-12 18:12:36	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	30¢	$33	0xcf7066…
10-12 09:44:22	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	29¢	$79	0x67c1d8…
10-11 02:57:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x80ac1d…
10-10 16:07:25	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x5b1837…
10-05 13:28:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	375	85¢	$318	0x67986c…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	375	84¢	$315	0xfb8994…
10-04 21:10:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0x61c6f4…
10-04 07:59:34	Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	172	96¢	$165	0x1e062e…
10-02 21:39:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0xa3d9c0…
09-30 17:57:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x52d69b…
09-30 01:12:29	Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x22b7e6…
09-29 15:11:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb55298…
09-29 15:07:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x8b671b…
09-29 15:00:20	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x760952…
09-29 14:54:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x7768ed…
09-29 13:05:27	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x916315…
09-29 08:13:54	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x5ef909…
09-29 08:06:09	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x173ae8…
09-28 17:30:17	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x33445b…
09-26 19:09:18	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7da49e…
09-25 15:31:59	Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x67a913…
09-25 15:29:32	Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	87	94¢	$81	0x76f2b4…
09-23 18:38:55	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x8a06ae…
09-22 11:53:34	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2629c5…
09-16 03:39:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0xf8374d…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	365	100¢	$364	0x77e719…
09-13 08:39:37	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf285ad…
09-10 14:22:12	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5fb26a…
09-10 00:44:57	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	330	94¢	$310	0x33c40b…
09-10 00:32:27	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$14	0x38fcd6…
09-09 19:25:51	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x387142…
09-04 22:36:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	345	99¢	$341	0x41dcd7…
09-01 06:51:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xee0a2b…
08-31 16:20:33	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xf57381…
08-31 15:59:37	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xa2a190…
08-31 15:59:37	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x53825a…
08-28 13:09:28	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e42b0…
08-27 06:29:48	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	187	96¢	$181	0x21cf38…
08-26 19:16:37	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc147d7…
08-26 03:21:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x94ba78…
08-25 17:04:46	Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9043f2…
08-25 12:37:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xec9d3b…
08-22 02:46:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	289	100¢	$289	0x0596f6…
08-20 20:48:01	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54ee84…
08-20 16:26:48	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0x58b79e…
08-20 16:06:42	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0x02a102…
08-20 08:11:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1e7ad0…
08-20 04:03:48	will ethereum dip to 1300 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa9bdbc…
08-19 03:27:33	Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0xe790cd…
08-16 23:54:51	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$299	0x209e92…
08-13 10:53:37	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6482a…
08-13 04:45:49	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c7cce…
08-13 00:15:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	301	94¢	$283	0x22864f…
08-11 19:53:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0xd9ac31…
08-10 18:46:42	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaa2aef…
08-09 22:52:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xf9d41b…
08-07 22:57:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc3a102…
08-06 17:55:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x614239…
08-06 04:22:30	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x28c1a1…
08-05 08:31:06	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x45c99f…
07-31 06:35:27	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8bbc2…
07-30 17:54:59	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x052f8f…
07-28 21:18:29	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9a4898…
07-28 04:41:36	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x952296…
07-27 04:07:18	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb89874…
07-26 13:27:49	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2bde03…
07-26 00:59:01	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87617c…
07-25 06:39:37	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x079384…
07-22 21:31:43	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xeddbee…
07-22 06:09:52	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa543d1…
07-17 00:37:04	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x487506…
07-17 00:21:14	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd95e9a…
07-16 18:48:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6bebde…
07-06 04:16:38	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x021950…
07-06 02:35:13	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc095f4…
07-04 09:05:38	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x32ef27…
06-29 18:42:52	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdb8f36…