Circular-Overcharge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,180

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-30 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

78% 95% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	06-30 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:42
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:20
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 25c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 06:07
Santillan vs. Wong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	05-05 11:03
es2 gra leo 2026 04 12 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 14:04
den kob ode 2026 04 22 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 19:08
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 20:55
cs2 js1 ursa 2026 04 07 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 13:41
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:10
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:35:02	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23851d…
06-29 20:31:50	atp wu djokovi 2026 06 29 set 3 winner Wu vs Djokovic	Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14f8a6…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40914…
06-29 19:15:50	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd46005…
06-29 19:13:19	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec1ba8…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a9932…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad7449…
06-28 17:52:04	cs2 ast berg 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x596d9f…
06-28 09:42:14	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7abe45…
06-28 04:01:44	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc15f8b…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59cc3e…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ba06f…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf03fd…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3b380…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37cb4a…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22937a…
06-25 22:16:16	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f2f25…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdda065…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e490a…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc83182…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4996e6…
06-24 21:13:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners team home 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7a7bb…
06-24 20:58:47	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6dd71…
06-24 13:43:41	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1388e6…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8b485…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c99ee…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55c685…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dbe20…
06-22 00:09:22	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 goals federico valverde gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x505e02…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa74407…
06-21 04:54:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x602917…
06-20 22:09:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a878f…
06-20 20:06:35	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01fcd3…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02b379…
06-20 03:40:02	2026 us open top5 brooks koepka	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda5249…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x968981…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa5fe6…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0778b…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x764102…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84731a…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bbedd…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x714260…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x067874…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c33f1…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16d59e…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22b88f…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7f37e…
06-17 16:07:04	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc93b4…
06-17 03:02:22	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa675b4…
06-17 00:09:20	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd05d15…
06-16 13:45:53	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9bb81…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19213f…
06-15 18:27:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48a0f…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed0f68…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x353337…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91ac07…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x185803…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64ec5b…
06-13 09:50:52	cs2 mzp atp1 2026 06 13	Metizport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x638a04…
06-13 01:55:04	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x208cc7…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79f7d3…
06-12 20:27:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8589bf…
06-12 20:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8d097…
06-12 20:17:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3313e6…
06-12 13:30:18	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc49771…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c21d7…
06-11 21:13:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb7d43…
06-11 16:53:31	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b8ebe…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a823e…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e7b0b…
06-10 10:18:31	crint tha2 npl3 2026 06 09	Thailand	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe85749…
06-10 09:05:33	crint tha2 npl3 2026 06 09	Thailand	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24ce69…
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75ff41…
06-09 00:21:15	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68e8b9…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x156ab0…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84bbd2…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcb292…
06-07 18:30:21	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c3d53…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdfedf…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7b2cd…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08c0b0…
06-06 23:10:01	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fb3cc…
06-06 14:19:21	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99a02f…
06-06 12:05:58	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc362cd…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70ab77…
06-06 11:32:27	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bd077…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbab671…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ca0b…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7ca04…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ab69f…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x209024…
06-03 15:13:34	Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4eacd…
06-03 13:38:28	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3de23…
06-03 04:48:51	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8c4f7c…
06-02 22:56:10	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74c574…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16421…
06-02 14:02:02	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05951e…
06-01 08:37:38	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c56f…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45f5e7…
05-31 18:59:02	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88293d…