Circular-Overcharge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

1,859

Trades

1,904

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$5

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 96% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:01
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:10
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-27 17:21
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:14
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x008b1b…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5fc4e…
10-24 13:22:14	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x782a9a…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6be1f…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc124c2…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x232623…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f3f2…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x131449…
10-15 20:32:41	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x98ec72…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafe1f0…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c596…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd02842…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4179f…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114513…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x910368…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0c67…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x152a72…
10-12 09:01:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a762…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4eb098…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x19b5da…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eee00…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4169a…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa7bf91…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x997714…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe324f…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x360af4…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc1be37…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e9f11…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a28a8…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ce5d5…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a3e2e…
10-06 15:17:33	Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb12b27…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b14d…
10-04 20:39:17	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x863e0b…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbefbf…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7d847f…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3309a2…
10-03 06:11:59	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1618a4…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7cb0d…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc40be…
10-02 14:15:29	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe7bf58…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00b54e…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1f9c0…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e18e5…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x244ff2…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7edd0…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bf98…
10-01 12:04:08	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56f8be…
10-01 11:30:32	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb587ef…
10-01 11:30:18	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b7264…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1839c…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf96f4…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5924c6…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x973251…
09-30 08:51:35	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7931b…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92ee4a…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7569fa…
09-29 15:30:11	atp tobon torres 2026 09 28	Juan Bautista Torres	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3afc31…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10bf2f…
09-29 13:18:53	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ec1b1…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa3db5…
09-29 06:40:30	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae0f7…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5f93c…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6a67a…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d040f…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x744d44…
09-27 20:32:17	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bc5b0…
09-27 20:12:29	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed9b9e…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc89504…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe7810…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53258d…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa586d1…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9457c4…
09-26 19:57:42	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e2ccd…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71367e…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x451661…
09-25 10:33:24	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30a217…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff2aac…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x372a5e…
09-23 16:19:00	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8250bf…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4936b3…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd654f…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2051be…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a3afe…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91e89a…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x390ec0…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1831c…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e2844…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48dc5…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf91b00…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a71fb…
09-17 19:20:57	Will FCI Levadia Tallinn win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xee8f3e…
09-17 18:35:39	Will FCI Levadia Tallinn win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf92446…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27f3ba…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f8d81…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe85bd7…
09-16 13:54:34	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd75293…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c430d…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x139e56…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22b0a5…