Quick-Button — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$280

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$877

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-21 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

67% 12% -$22

Politics

15% 0% -$134

Sports

11% 0% -$62

Crypto

7% 0% -$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+1,051	$34	1¢	$11	-$23	08-17 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$106	100,595	0	+100,595	Yes	-$106	04-19 00:44
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	112	0	+112	No	+$62	05-15 13:01
mwoh fin swi 2026 02 18	3	$48	40	40	+0	Finland	+$32	02-18 20:25
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$34	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	08-17 16:31
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	3	$27	300	0	+300	No	-$27	02-03 20:44
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	1	$25	100	0	+100	Yes	+$75	05-23 15:38
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia	1	$25	100	0	+100	Finland	-$25	05-28 13:33
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	5	$24	150	0	+150	No	-$24	02-03 20:47
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	155	0	+155	No	-$20	06-18 05:11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$20	45	0	+45	No	-$20	06-25 21:15
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$14	500	0	+500	No	-$14	01-20 21:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$13	102	0	+102	No	-$13	03-17 14:47
will the us collect between 500b and 1t in revenue in 2025	57	$13	1,004	1,004	-0	No	+$3	01-24 19:15
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	5	$13	1,000	113	+887	No	-$9	02-23 21:47
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	1	$12	109	0	+109	No	-$12	10-21 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:25 UTC	2	$11	139	0	+139	Down	-$11	04-20 20:28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	1	$10	200	0	+200	No	-$10	10-13 20:27
World Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain	1	$10	503	0	+503	Finland	-$10	05-22 18:20
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	-$10	06-04 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:10 UTC	1	$10	333	0	+333	Up	-$10	04-20 20:13
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	175	0	+175	No	-$10	06-18 05:12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$10	36	0	+36	Yes	+$26	06-20 21:13
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	06-04 12:27
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	06-16 18:36
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	06-04 12:27
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?	1	$10	111	0	+111	No	-$10	07-14 18:48
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	1	$9	50	0	+50	No	-$9	06-17 16:12
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	1	$7	100	0	+100	No	-$7	07-09 19:31
epl ars sun 2026 02 07 sun	1	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	02-03 17:47
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	1	$6	50	0	+50	Yes	+$44	07-19 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 17:29:45	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	109	11¢	$12	0x64c13b…
10-13 20:27:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x71c63d…
08-17 16:31:40	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,051	3¢	$34	0x8da158…
07-19 18:41:00	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xc12989…
07-19 18:37:54	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0xcdfc88…
07-19 18:22:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x0037f4…
07-19 18:09:28	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xbda974…
07-19 18:02:33	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x88f865…
07-19 18:02:21	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xf0ed59…
07-18 15:07:09	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x788974…
07-18 15:07:01	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0xc9ba05…
07-18 15:06:54	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xeaf22d…
07-15 17:53:05	Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x8c2411…
07-15 17:52:58	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x75ba09…
07-14 19:04:17	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x501f00…
07-14 18:49:29	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x91cb9e…
07-14 18:48:52	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x7bd322…
07-14 18:48:43	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x57df47…
07-11 20:19:17	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x1b594d…
07-11 20:02:49	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x85cd34…
07-11 19:55:26	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x6becef…
07-11 19:55:14	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf38c37…
07-10 19:58:11	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xa3c43a…
07-10 18:51:59	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8fb3c5…
07-10 18:47:47	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xa9652b…
07-10 18:47:17	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x997e73…
07-10 18:46:55	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb8439f…
07-09 19:31:10	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x71496c…
07-09 19:29:16	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x6bc01b…
07-09 19:29:02	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x110713…
07-09 19:28:19	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xab6e41…
07-07 19:24:13	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x21514e…
07-07 16:54:25	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x036c32…
07-07 16:45:04	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x5bb143…
07-06 17:10:01	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xcd2286…
07-06 17:09:08	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x14d3c5…
07-06 17:08:56	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1542d0…
07-05 19:47:04	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5deac2…
07-03 17:59:47	Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x504d36…
07-03 17:55:41	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1d3761…
07-02 18:13:56	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x49e057…
07-02 18:07:38	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe56c1a…
07-02 18:07:11	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xc93188…
07-01 17:19:14	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1c3da4…
07-01 16:52:29	Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xa0cade…
07-01 16:51:53	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb8220f…
07-01 07:25:37	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xa3da47…
06-30 18:06:07	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xb7f134…
06-30 18:05:19	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xeb679d…
06-29 14:25:14	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe966d4…
06-25 21:15:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x916892…
06-20 21:13:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7ad3f6…
06-20 17:57:40	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x40a6b8…
06-20 17:57:23	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xe72713…
06-20 16:22:17	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x72735c…
06-20 16:22:04	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x9aa2e5…
06-20 16:21:46	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x92e2dc…
06-18 18:48:10	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xe98385…
06-18 05:12:08	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xd1db17…
06-18 05:11:53	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0xc71738…
06-17 16:15:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0xf313c2…
06-17 16:12:20	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x8aa823…
06-16 19:34:34	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x549f5d…
06-16 18:38:20	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x098b49…
06-16 18:37:55	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xf58308…
06-16 18:36:05	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd48542…
06-09 01:19:10	Will the 2026 NBA Finals be tied 2-2 through 4 games?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6d11eb…
06-04 12:28:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9e23f8…
06-04 12:27:51	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7a3036…
06-04 12:27:42	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x041548…
06-04 12:27:36	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa2c892…
05-28 13:33:54	World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia	Czechia	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x30cb05…
05-23 15:38:35	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x34ac73…
05-22 18:20:58	World Championships: Finland vs. Great Britain	Great Britain	BUY	503	2¢	$10	0x09afab…
05-16 22:17:05	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x2241a3…
05-15 14:39:53	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x95b94d…
05-15 14:39:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x94c918…
05-15 13:17:55	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x6d07c7…
05-15 13:17:38	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x35b262…
05-15 13:01:25	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xf6d01e…
04-20 20:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4b9412…
04-20 20:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x575a31…
04-20 20:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbe1c22…
04-20 20:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xbd8c86…
04-20 20:13:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x1ba648…
04-19 00:44:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	95,000	0¢	$95	0xf70485…
04-17 04:42:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xb0e109…
04-17 04:15:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,550	0¢	$3	0x2ae834…
04-16 17:34:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd26f0d…
03-17 14:47:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$3	0xc3d12e…
03-15 17:47:15	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x88fa05…
03-02 12:34:35	will iran strike four countries in march	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xb69394…
03-02 12:33:47	will iran strike five countries in march	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x0c67d6…
03-02 12:33:33	will iran strike five countries in march	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$2	0xcd491d…
03-02 12:33:23	will iran strike six countries in march	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0x25563d…
03-02 12:33:11	will iran strike seven countries in march	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x0d02b6…
03-01 07:04:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x85f7d9…
02-23 21:47:26	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0xc5f543…
02-23 21:45:30	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x3563be…
02-23 21:45:26	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x04e4ea…