Conventional-Blowhole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.5%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$394

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 08-28 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 32% -$43

Other

27% 0% -$61

Sports

7% 22% -$10

Tech

3% 0% -$2

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	3	$110	1,587	1,587	+0	No	-$4	08-26 22:44
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	2	$63	1,029	1,029	+0	No	-$30	08-28 14:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$33	7,182	0	+7,182	No	-$33	05-29 17:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	10	$18	1,157	1,157	+0	No	-$6	06-26 01:24
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	4	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	06-15 15:19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$12	69	69	+0	No	+$0	06-15 15:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?	2	$10	12	12	+0	No	+$4	06-01 23:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-05 16:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?	2	$8	32	32	+0	No	+$6	06-03 09:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$8	40	40	+0	open	—	06-15 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:15 UTC	1	$5	62	0	+62	Up	-$5	04-05 15:17
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 219pt5	1	$5	11	0	+11	Under	-$5	06-03 19:49
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 btts	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	06-14 00:12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	1	$5	197	0	+197	No	-$5	07-16 14:42
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	3	$5	500	333	+167	Yes	-$1	06-11 18:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$4	908	0	+908	No	-$4	06-04 00:34
will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	2	$4	25	25	+0	No	$0	06-18 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:10 UTC	3	$3	103	3	+100	Down	-$1	04-05 16:15
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 30?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$3	05-30 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:00 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-05 15:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	05-31 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:55 UTC	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	04-05 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:25 UTC	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	06-11 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:20 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-05 17:22
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 222pt5	1	$2	21	0	+21	Under	-$2	06-04 01:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	06-04 22:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 17:00 UTC	2	$2	22	0	+22	Up	-$2	04-05 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:50 UTC	2	$2	43	0	+43	Up	-$2	06-04 23:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 14?	2	$2	1,003	0	+1,003	No	-$2	05-14 18:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?	2	$2	13	0	+13	No	-$2	06-14 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 14:31:27	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	1,029	2¢	$17	0x14e327…
08-26 22:50:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	1,029	4¢	$46	0xca1b8a…
08-26 22:44:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	1,587	3¢	$53	0x9f6701…
08-26 22:37:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	1,458	4¢	$52	0xd09967…
08-26 20:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xe5664a…
07-16 14:42:40	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	197	2¢	$5	0xb6f411…
06-29 04:53:02	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x17cdf8…
06-26 02:03:34	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1a0dff…
06-26 01:24:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,036	0¢	$4	0xbc0953…
06-18 06:17:26	XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x07b472…
06-18 06:16:32	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$1	0xf032cb…
06-18 06:16:23	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0xe342c5…
06-18 06:15:04	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x93ebb4…
06-18 06:14:56	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	151	0¢	$0	0xe786d2…
06-15 15:22:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xa6f93f…
06-15 15:21:27	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xf6c28f…
06-15 15:19:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xc0be01…
06-15 04:45:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x65aab7…
06-15 04:34:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xed0913…
06-14 21:36:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc4a02b…
06-14 14:40:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x29bf75…
06-14 00:12:24	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfeca9c…
06-14 00:09:49	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6026e2…
06-13 16:12:49	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x86bc8a…
06-13 16:12:16	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xab2405…
06-13 01:44:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x55b780…
06-13 00:59:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x7fae22…
06-12 17:52:42	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 team total home 0pt5	Under	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4762c6…
06-11 21:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf93556…
06-11 21:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x96584b…
06-11 19:14:28	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7dd9d4…
06-11 18:40:30	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x94d7dd…
06-11 18:38:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x31b024…
06-11 18:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xf4bc63…
06-11 18:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5456b7…
06-11 18:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x62e08b…
06-11 18:20:51	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	333	0¢	$2	0xf4e19b…
06-11 17:50:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xeefec1…
06-11 17:38:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd44739…
06-11 17:34:54	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$1	0x1b8142…
06-11 17:34:45	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0b0bd1…
06-05 19:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02eb07…
06-05 16:21:01	xrp above 0pt9 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xefc565…
06-05 16:12:39	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf7561d…
06-04 23:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x289db4…
06-04 23:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x31d3ff…
06-04 23:24:51	Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf40303…
06-04 22:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9d85e3…
06-04 22:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c669a…
06-04 22:31:55	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa65552…
06-04 01:31:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 222pt5	Over	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xc99939…
06-04 01:30:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xa39f0d…
06-04 00:47:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5df5b5…
06-04 00:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x7011b6…
06-04 00:34:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	547	0¢	$2	0x3320f4…
06-03 19:49:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcdcaa5…
06-03 16:19:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3914c2…
06-03 09:55:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	32	21¢	$7	0xbef0c1…
06-03 09:48:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x39a878…
06-02 23:29:20	Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1d576a…
06-02 23:28:24	XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc6a462…
06-02 21:02:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb42f1b…
06-01 23:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d5bb0…
06-01 23:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9c6f78…
06-01 23:37:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 8?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb47dd6…
06-01 23:33:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x0db740…
06-01 23:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x52f0fc…
06-01 23:32:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x0374f3…
06-01 17:36:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xb693ca…
06-01 17:36:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xa686e6…
06-01 08:25:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x605ef7…
06-01 08:15:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x196e9b…
05-31 20:58:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x114238…
05-30 23:16:34	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x951c09…
05-30 23:04:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xdf1136…
05-30 23:03:39	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x808c0a…
05-30 22:53:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x48a2a9…
05-30 14:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	306	0¢	$1	0x7212c3…
05-30 14:30:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88350a…
05-30 14:24:57	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x0cf635…
05-30 14:11:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9a19ac…
05-30 14:10:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x977838…
05-29 17:24:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	728	0¢	$3	0xae6edf…
05-29 15:06:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,857	1¢	$20	0x415de7…
05-29 12:35:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$4	0x31a749…
05-29 12:10:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x916465…
05-27 14:50:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x95ec79…
05-23 10:32:04	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x63812e…
05-23 10:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x88c68a…
05-23 08:04:17	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2305b6…
05-23 08:02:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb40ec4…
05-23 08:00:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc1ffbb…
05-23 07:54:23	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0x85b252…
05-21 04:57:08	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xacbb82…
05-21 04:54:27	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfc18c3…
05-20 06:18:23	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4572ce…
05-20 06:11:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfa9ef5…
05-20 06:10:30	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0502a6…
05-20 06:01:05	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x80830c…
05-20 05:33:05	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x718662…