Quixotic-Significance 0x5dbf1d…9a3fae
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved (90d)
50
Trades (90d)
159
1,197 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.32K
$16.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$286
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
52% 49% +$86
Politics
42% 65% -$102
Crypto
3% 49% -$78
Pop-Culture
2% 50% -$1
Tech
0% 62% -$5
Sports
0% 75% +$97
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +50 $42 98¢ $49 +$7 10-18 18:11
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +30 $23 92¢ $28 +$5 10-18 18:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +26 $13 96¢ $25 +$12 08-19 02:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$19 94¢ $-19 $0 10-20 11:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +32 $15 55¢ $17 +$2 10-19 08:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +38 $15 46¢ $17 +$2 10-19 08:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -20 -$12 85¢ $-17 -$5 05-05 01:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$11 82¢ $-16 -$5 10-04 21:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +27 $15 62¢ $16 +$1 10-19 08:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $28 32¢ $16 -$11 07-16 10:33
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +50 $22 24¢ $12 -$10 09-30 10:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +16 $13 74¢ $12 -$1 10-19 10:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12 -$10 94¢ $-11 -$1 05-19 04:55
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -10 -$8 97¢ $-10 -$1 05-19 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $6 36¢ $7 +$1 08-10 20:15
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -10 -$8 62¢ $-6 +$2 05-18 13:44
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $8 20¢ $3 -$5 05-18 17:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10 -$3 14¢ $-1 +$1 09-29 11:16
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 -$12 4¢ $-1 +$11 05-16 16:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$4 96¢ $1 +$4 08-12 12:31