Realized P&L
-$2.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$900
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
1,385
Trades
2,366
lifetime
Volume
$323.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$137
Open exposure
$2.10K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 14:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 269 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 88% -$395
Other
37% 79% -$3,134
Politics
11% 84% +$565
Sports
1% 71% +$388
Tech
1% 71% -$37
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +640 $582 88¢ $566 -$15 09-27 01:09
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +600 $409 88¢ $531 +$122 10-19 19:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -450 -$364 96¢ $-432 -$68 05-08 16:07
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +315 $300 96¢ $304 +$4 10-17 23:56
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +80 $46 92¢ $74 +$28 09-29 09:13
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 08-10 17:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -1,390 -$700 4¢ $-51 +$649 09-17 05:53
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -40 -$40 99¢ $-40 +$0 10-24 14:31
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -809 -$210 3¢ $-28 +$182 05-10 09:21
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -11 -$8 94¢ $-10 -$2 05-30 02:59