Realized P&L (30d)
+$10.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$112
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved (30d)
5,221
Trades (30d)
12,227
35,639 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$235.4K
$524.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.73K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-01 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
79% 43% +$17,495
Sports
21% 60% -$650
Politics
0% 58% -$41
Tech
0% 33% -$10
Crypto
0% 0% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 669 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +22,381 $1,517 6¢ $1.5K -$62 10-20 20:54
Clippers vs. Warriors Warriors +127 $89 56¢ $71 -$18 10-31 19:45
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? No +76 $59 72¢ $55 -$3 11-01 17:01
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +61 $26 80¢ $49 +$23 09-10 20:53
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +43 $22 69¢ $30 +$8 10-10 02:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +31 $9 74¢ $22 +$13 09-11 12:13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +49 $24 31¢ $15 -$9 10-09 15:39
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +61 $38 20¢ $12 -$25 09-10 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 09-11 12:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 09-11 12:35
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $1 38¢ $4 +$3 09-10 20:59
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +63 $9 5¢ $3 -$7 09-15 12:44
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? Yes +6 $0 28¢ $2 +$2 11-01 17:38
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? Yes — +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 10-28 03:56
Raptors vs. Lakers Raptors +2 $0 42¢ $1 +$1 10-31 21:53
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 Over — +65 $31 1¢ $1 -$30 11-01 16:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 06-15 12:45
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? No — +12 $8 2¢ $0 -$8 10-28 10:38