Realized P&L (90d)
+$12.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved (90d)
7,659
Trades (90d)
17,477
34,131 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$352.2K
$477.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.66K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 11-02 06:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Other
79% 43% +$17,796
Sports
21% 60% -$612
Politics
0% 58% -$41
Tech
0% 33% -$10
Crypto
0% 0% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 669 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +22,381 $1,517 6¢ $1.5K -$62 10-20 20:54
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter Viktorija Golubic — +171 $67 34¢ $57 -$10 11-02 04:49
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +61 $26 84¢ $52 +$26 09-10 20:53
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under +43 $22 68¢ $29 +$7 10-10 02:06
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +31 $9 74¢ $22 +$13 09-11 12:13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +49 $24 32¢ $15 -$9 10-09 15:39
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +61 $38 16¢ $9 -$28 09-10 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 09-11 12:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 09-11 12:35
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $1 38¢ $4 +$3 09-10 20:59
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +63 $9 3¢ $2 -$8 09-15 12:44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 06-15 12:45