Frozen-Musculature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

837

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-22 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 50% $-38

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		-133	$-27	14¢	$-18	+$9	07-13 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	36	$6.7K	3,806	3,806	+0	open	—	04-10 19:51
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	10	$6.4K	4,008	4,008	+0	open	—	04-01 13:13
spx up or down on april 10 2026	47	$2.9K	3,826	1,736	+2,091	open	—	04-10 20:00
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	26	$2.7K	4,894	993	+3,901	open	—	04-07 13:05
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	7	$2.7K	1,404	1,403	+1	open	—	04-21 13:31
spy closes above 755 on june 3 2026	17	$2.6K	3,498	908	+2,591	open	—	06-03 19:41
spx up or down on april 16 2026	25	$2.4K	2,818	1,638	+1,180	open	—	04-16 19:41
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	8	$2.3K	1,209	1,207	+2	open	—	04-22 13:29
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	34	$2.3K	1,870	1,870	+0	open	—	03-24 12:27
spx up or down on march 25 2026	17	$1.9K	1,125	1,125	+0	open	—	03-25 12:07
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,105	986	+119	open	—	05-29 19:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 28?	6	$1.5K	823	823	+0	open	—	05-28 15:39
spx up or down on april 9 2026	25	$1.5K	4,522	1,131	+3,391	open	—	04-09 19:08
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	26	$1.3K	3,394	3,394	+0	open	—	04-06 19:49
spx up or down on april 21 2026	24	$1.2K	1,440	698	+742	open	—	04-21 19:34
spx up or down on july 1 2026	14	$1.0K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	07-01 19:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	18	$982	1,156	220	+936	open	—	05-26 19:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$945	450	550	-100	open	—	04-24 19:47
spy closes above 725 on june 10 2026	5	$935	556	552	+4	open	—	06-10 19:15
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	15	$906	902	409	+492	open	—	05-28 19:57
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	50	$878	599	596	+2	open	—	04-12 17:31
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	16	$838	780	249	+531	open	—	04-14 12:31
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	10	$760	468	468	+0	open	—	03-31 11:24
spy closes above 730 on june 10 2026	17	$760	255	555	-300	open	—	06-10 19:50
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	13	$741	988	988	+0	open	—	03-23 11:09
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$720	800	0	+800	open	—	05-25 20:14
spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	11	$678	726	275	+451	open	—	04-16 12:07
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 29?	2	$629	0	631	-631	open	—	05-29 18:23
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	8	$608	705	705	+0	open	—	04-09 13:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	8	$608	770	770	+0	open	—	03-24 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 19:37:54	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x9e8dd3…
07-22 19:36:34	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x3e7116…
07-22 19:35:51	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x556ba1…
07-22 19:35:27	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x5e0485…
07-22 19:34:51	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0x4a946b…
07-22 19:34:39	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x79fe07…
07-22 19:31:31	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x1f331e…
07-22 19:30:07	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0x500fc7…
07-20 19:52:21	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x5c080e…
07-20 19:50:16	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xb3ef6b…
07-20 19:48:57	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x78a608…
07-20 19:48:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x16e747…
07-20 19:47:34	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x2b2149…
07-20 19:45:58	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x7dad9f…
07-20 19:43:42	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	107	37¢	$39	0x5de344…
07-20 19:40:54	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xbbadc3…
07-16 16:26:16	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x57d541…
07-16 15:32:08	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xf93344…
07-16 15:30:52	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x836562…
07-16 15:30:17	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x70003e…
07-16 15:30:10	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	500	37¢	$183	0xc3a47f…
07-15 18:21:56	spy closes above 750 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0xef5298…
07-15 18:18:47	spy closes above 750 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x8f95ba…
07-15 18:11:25	spy closes above 750 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x949dc7…
07-15 11:32:17	spy closes above 750 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xd08a7c…
07-15 06:37:34	will spy reach 755 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x594a50…
07-15 06:35:16	spy closes above 755 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x225f27…
07-15 06:34:50	spy closes above 750 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$99	0x3b68ee…
07-14 19:21:19	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x0689ef…
07-14 16:53:34	spy closes above 750 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xa51dd8…
07-13 19:09:07	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	20¢	$27	0x89c212…
07-13 15:48:53	spy up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0x05be66…
07-13 15:45:14	spy up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc64391…
07-13 11:45:47	spy up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x8e4cab…
07-10 19:53:01	spy closes above 755 on july 10 2026	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xcacacf…
07-10 19:27:07	spy closes above 755 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6f07d4…
07-09 14:18:29	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x728660…
07-09 14:17:40	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5236db…
07-09 14:13:32	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xed506c…
07-09 14:12:25	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xf29c95…
07-09 14:12:25	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x70f774…
07-09 14:11:58	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1d8557…
07-09 14:11:40	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfd48d3…
07-09 14:11:22	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd1e3f1…
07-06 19:58:13	spy closes above 750 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	288	99¢	$285	0x557040…
07-06 16:57:05	spy closes above 750 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd1a408…
07-06 15:57:49	spy closes above 750 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0xa7c769…
07-06 15:54:07	spy closes above 750 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x32883f…
07-06 15:53:40	spy closes above 750 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x1ad207…
07-02 20:00:02	spy closes above 745 on july 2 2026	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x46787f…
07-02 19:57:08	spy closes above 745 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0xa55650…
07-02 17:40:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xb20eb2…
07-02 17:39:41	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4c2f80…
07-02 17:39:40	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa8b3db…
07-02 17:39:37	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x3dcace…
07-02 17:39:37	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x115146…
07-02 15:50:11	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	63	55¢	$34	0xfa6c76…
07-02 15:50:10	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xef8d2e…
07-02 15:50:07	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xb3f456…
07-02 14:41:59	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	150	24¢	$36	0xd52607…
07-02 14:41:59	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	83	24¢	$20	0x200457…
07-02 14:41:56	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	150	24¢	$36	0x6a22b9…
07-02 14:41:49	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x44b2ad…
07-02 14:41:46	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x86e1fd…
07-02 13:52:50	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa3e17f…
07-02 13:52:41	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0e703b…
07-02 13:52:28	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	432	10¢	$43	0xb541b3…
07-02 13:52:28	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xaa9993…
07-02 13:52:28	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x81ca64…
07-01 19:43:53	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	256	89¢	$228	0xa05894…
07-01 19:43:43	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	169	89¢	$150	0x79c3e1…
07-01 19:36:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x31158c…
07-01 19:30:20	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x11c94f…
07-01 19:27:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3375d8…
07-01 19:26:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5af937…
07-01 19:26:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x148b7a…
07-01 19:08:04	spy closes above 745 on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x77b4a3…
07-01 18:53:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xf57009…
07-01 18:34:29	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xb45329…
07-01 18:34:28	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	169	46¢	$78	0x9576d7…
07-01 16:52:37	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x45eaca…
07-01 16:52:35	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xbd1291…
07-01 15:57:20	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x6e9f90…
07-01 15:57:20	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x4f07e3…
07-01 14:25:53	spy closes above 745 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x746370…
07-01 14:25:50	spy closes above 745 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x0ec106…
06-29 19:53:10	spy closes above 740 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0xfa76a7…
06-29 19:36:35	spy closes above 740 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x490a4c…
06-26 18:40:58	spy closes above 735 on june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$13	0x1d11aa…
06-26 17:34:44	spy closes above 735 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xb7fa07…
06-26 14:10:18	will spy dip to 720 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	313	99¢	$310	0x118908…
06-25 19:51:22	will spy dip to 720 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xf671a3…
06-25 19:47:11	will spy dip to 720 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	271	88¢	$239	0xf81030…
06-23 18:34:02	spy closes above 740 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x4823bc…
06-23 18:33:04	spy closes above 740 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf9eb2a…
06-23 18:14:13	spy closes above 730 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x05651a…
06-23 12:05:32	will spy reach 765 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	275	97¢	$267	0xb0f22a…
06-23 07:33:37	will spy dip to 735 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	112	11¢	$12	0x61894c…
06-23 07:29:25	spy closes above 730 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6d9513…
06-23 07:28:53	spy closes above 740 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	42	68¢	$29	0x208272…