Frozen-Musculature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.20K

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

145

Trades

1,142

lifetime

Volume

$87.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$6.54K

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-27 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

93% 65% -$1,338

Politics

7% 100% +$210

Crypto

1% 33% -$159

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,042	$2,817	88¢	$3.5K	+$720	10-23 11:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+1,900	$1,549	97¢	$1.8K	+$297	05-11 20:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	-500	-$470	98¢	$-488	-$18	05-14 01:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-400	-$360	97¢	$-386	-$26	05-26 05:59
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+5,234	$108	4¢	$207	+$99	08-26 17:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+300	$46	15¢	$46	+$0	09-20 17:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	-100	-$33	24¢	$-24	+$10	05-10 09:48
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	-396	-$120	1¢	$-6	+$115	07-13 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	36	$6.7K	3,806	3,806	+0	Up	+$110	04-10 19:51
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	10	$6.4K	4,008	4,008	+0	Up	+$1,532	04-01 13:13
spx up or down on april 10 2026	47	$2.9K	3,826	1,736	+2,091	Down	+$199	04-10 20:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	25	$2.8K	4,042	0	+4,042	open	—	10-23 11:28
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	26	$2.7K	4,894	993	+3,901	Down	-$1,047	04-07 13:05
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	7	$2.7K	1,404	1,403	+1	Up	+$107	04-21 13:31
spy closes above 755 on june 3 2026	17	$2.6K	3,498	908	+2,591	No	-$2,033	06-03 19:41
spx up or down on july 27 2026	26	$2.6K	3,000	455	+2,545	Up	-$303	07-27 20:05
spx up or down on april 16 2026	25	$2.4K	2,818	1,638	+1,180	Up	-$438	04-16 19:41
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	8	$2.3K	1,209	1,207	+2	Up	+$109	04-22 13:29
spx opens up or down on march 24 2026	34	$2.3K	1,870	1,870	+0	Down	+$44	03-24 12:27
spx up or down on march 25 2026	17	$1.9K	1,125	1,125	+0	Up	+$22	03-25 12:07
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 25 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,105	986	+119	No	+$115	05-29 19:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	21	$1.5K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	05-11 20:16
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 28?	6	$1.5K	823	823	+0	Yes	+$88	05-28 15:39
spx up or down on april 9 2026	25	$1.5K	4,522	1,131	+3,391	Up	-$65	04-09 19:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	7	$1.3K	400	1,000	-600	No	+$52	09-20 13:22
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	26	$1.3K	3,394	3,394	+0	Up	-$36	04-06 19:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$1.2K	400	900	-500	open	—	05-14 01:15
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 29?	3	$1.2K	631	631	+0	Yes	+$85	05-29 18:23
spx up or down on april 21 2026	24	$1.2K	1,440	698	+742	Down	-$106	04-21 19:34
spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	10	$1.1K	874	400	+474	No	+$102	08-17 18:17
spx up or down on july 1 2026	14	$1.0K	1,025	1,025	+0	Down	+$167	07-01 19:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10?	18	$1.0K	555	555	+0	No	+$64	06-10 19:50
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	18	$982	1,156	220	+936	Yes	-$256	05-26 19:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$945	450	550	-100	Up	+$53	04-24 19:47
spy closes above 725 on june 10 2026	5	$935	556	552	+4	Yes	+$8	06-10 19:15
spy closes above 765 on august 26 2026	34	$908	2,119	629	+1,490	Yes	-$316	08-26 18:21
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?	15	$906	902	409	+492	No	+$98	05-28 19:57
spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	50	$878	599	596	+2	Down	+$39	04-12 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:36:05	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7fda4e…
10-27 13:34:45	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x762b38…
10-27 13:34:11	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x625fb1…
10-27 09:32:36	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	271	77¢	$208	0x2f6bc2…
10-27 09:31:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	239	98¢	$235	0xa243ad…
10-23 11:28:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0xfc42a1…
10-23 09:25:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x6a16ec…
10-23 09:24:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x115da0…
10-23 09:23:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x905409…
10-23 09:08:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfebe44…
10-23 09:08:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x16ad0a…
10-22 22:23:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	63¢	$252	0xa8c914…
10-22 19:46:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	239	75¢	$179	0xdcc02f…
10-22 19:42:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x6f1297…
10-22 19:42:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5a93e1…
10-22 19:41:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	64¢	$118	0xac9b82…
10-22 19:41:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xb448cd…
10-22 13:59:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x275aaa…
10-22 13:30:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x527a63…
10-22 08:17:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	73¢	$97	0xbf4a66…
10-21 23:45:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	73¢	$49	0x5a0d54…
10-21 16:29:56	spy closes above 770 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x103133…
10-21 16:29:32	spy closes above 770 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x208916…
10-21 14:34:17	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xad81d2…
10-21 09:19:08	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xfa356e…
10-20 14:09:21	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x410afc…
10-19 17:28:45	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xdb517f…
10-19 15:22:24	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xba9872…
10-19 15:21:23	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa9d6d3…
10-19 15:21:02	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x8b24b8…
10-19 15:20:09	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	600	6¢	$36	0xcb27f5…
10-19 15:19:11	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x186e20…
10-19 15:19:09	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3e3bfb…
10-19 15:18:50	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on October 19?	No	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0xed71bb…
10-19 15:05:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2f4f24…
10-19 15:02:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x08d8c1…
10-19 15:00:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf1f709…
10-19 14:57:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x46709c…
10-19 14:54:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xa86f9b…
10-19 14:35:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x42b443…
10-19 14:31:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x2aa587…
10-19 14:27:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xf1af0b…
10-19 14:27:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	216	9¢	$19	0x4a358e…
10-16 19:58:59	ewy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xee6b05…
10-15 19:04:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0463b2…
10-15 18:59:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0xe3ba03…
10-15 18:57:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	150	19¢	$29	0xe54456…
10-15 18:55:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xe642ef…
10-15 18:54:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xb22d21…
10-15 18:54:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	150	23¢	$35	0x5d60e6…
10-15 18:51:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	154	27¢	$42	0x5478e2…
10-15 18:51:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x019eb5…
10-15 18:51:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0xea8d19…
10-15 18:50:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x810dff…
10-15 18:50:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0x7368df…
10-15 18:12:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xed5913…
10-15 18:12:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x994f78…
10-15 18:12:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xa34f9b…
10-15 18:12:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf91850…
10-15 18:11:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x6681f6…
10-15 11:22:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x293d34…
10-14 16:41:28	spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x0e35e0…
10-14 15:11:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x253d9d…
10-13 20:09:10	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x7ebb2f…
10-13 20:09:03	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	115	0¢	$1	0xc360ba…
10-13 20:08:58	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xedfc46…
10-13 20:08:48	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	412	0¢	$2	0x50981e…
10-13 20:08:46	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x5faf8f…
10-13 20:06:57	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x104337…
10-13 20:06:06	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe19325…
10-13 20:05:51	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xdb071a…
10-13 20:05:07	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x0c0b28…
10-13 19:33:37	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x64eebb…
10-13 19:30:54	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xa63a0d…
10-13 19:29:52	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	80	42¢	$34	0x7c03cb…
10-12 19:42:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda41d3…
10-12 14:06:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x41b3d2…
10-12 14:05:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xde9f67…
10-12 14:03:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x2663fa…
10-12 14:03:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0xd2e9f4…
10-09 06:55:27	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xbe8841…
10-01 19:57:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	400	7¢	$26	0xd665c2…
10-01 19:57:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	184	7¢	$12	0xf50e8e…
10-01 19:57:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x93a7c7…
10-01 19:57:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x04a596…
10-01 19:57:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x692de5…
10-01 19:57:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0xe48c3b…
10-01 19:57:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x97cb4b…
10-01 19:57:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	491	2¢	$11	0x1e3979…
10-01 19:56:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x2937ef…
10-01 19:56:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x60576a…
10-01 19:56:24	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x083f21…
10-01 19:55:50	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x8d057a…
10-01 19:54:24	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5e839…
10-01 19:53:59	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x5124a0…
09-25 16:10:38	spy closes above 770 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	164	70¢	$115	0x982cc9…
09-25 16:05:42	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	65	93¢	$61	0xfe222b…
09-25 16:02:56	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	87	89¢	$77	0x6e342e…
09-25 15:54:00	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0x7df0d1…
09-25 15:51:24	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x870710…