Oblong-Keyboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$386

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-28 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 33% $-0

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 03:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 03:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 02:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 01:53
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:14
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:29
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 01:50
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-27 02:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 04:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-18 03:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:34
over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 04:14:19	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc36b9c…
07-28 03:35:22	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8dc818…
07-28 03:32:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89706e…
07-28 03:23:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x950685…
07-27 02:53:15	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6b1d2c…
07-27 02:43:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8e4009…
07-27 02:39:33	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x75c881…
07-27 02:34:04	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x22456e…
07-25 04:22:22	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbae8a4…
07-25 04:09:25	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcfc64c…
07-25 03:51:07	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6bfc9f…
07-25 03:37:27	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcceb24…
07-24 04:02:09	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xebfb12…
07-24 03:50:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7d50ff…
07-24 03:42:01	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb81739…
07-24 03:22:51	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x32a53f…
07-23 03:13:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x998daa…
07-23 03:04:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x876692…
07-23 03:02:18	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf8ea6f…
07-23 02:57:18	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0811aa…
07-22 03:11:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a964c…
07-22 03:03:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc1788d…
07-21 02:58:31	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xed44da…
07-21 02:52:33	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf77464…
07-21 02:48:07	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x729cda…
07-21 02:36:21	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57a594…
07-20 04:52:33	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x940599…
07-20 04:38:34	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x722aa0…
07-20 04:34:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x80f113…
07-20 04:21:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7f1236…
07-18 03:46:07	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x40e1e0…
07-18 03:24:00	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78f5c4…
07-17 03:11:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x21b418…
07-17 02:57:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac88f5…
07-17 02:51:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x46e8d0…
07-17 02:44:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9bf13a…
07-15 02:53:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9fcbbe…
07-15 02:45:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4327b1…
07-15 02:39:28	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0ad948…
07-15 02:28:55	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe42e24…
07-14 03:58:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xce20b5…
07-14 03:53:55	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf19378…
07-14 03:50:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x26aa01…
07-14 03:30:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd8c415…
07-13 03:38:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2c1eda…
07-13 03:28:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2bb650…
07-11 03:08:38	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb4965…
07-11 03:01:56	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c1f07…
07-11 02:57:05	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xdde8e9…
07-11 02:47:41	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x021a8b…
07-10 03:36:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4b1354…
07-10 03:13:23	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xff1474…
07-10 03:09:04	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2d4fa4…
07-10 03:07:38	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1494d…
07-09 02:46:35	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x11d210…
07-09 02:39:10	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe3890b…
07-08 03:10:44	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x642732…
07-08 03:05:31	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc1bc8…
07-07 03:24:04	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf9b525…
07-07 03:16:35	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x391778…
07-06 03:09:43	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9b3538…
07-06 02:59:38	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfac8a7…
07-04 02:54:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff9f65…
07-04 02:36:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca0084…
07-04 02:34:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa8f302…
07-04 02:20:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ac880…
07-02 02:55:05	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x01516c…
07-02 02:45:34	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9535c6…
07-02 02:40:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdc702f…
07-02 02:32:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x334aa1…
07-01 02:21:52	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x978a83…
07-01 02:13:35	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb4d22a…
07-01 02:09:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb7c407…
07-01 01:56:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf50439…
06-30 02:52:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7db49c…
06-30 02:44:17	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb7a2e9…
06-30 02:41:11	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe69091…
06-30 02:35:04	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f8e4b…
06-29 04:27:53	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa040c8…
06-29 04:12:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb910a1…
06-29 04:06:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9e9a2c…
06-29 03:45:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3eae6c…
06-27 02:34:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf800c0…
06-27 02:20:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x800ee5…
06-27 02:16:05	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4a756d…
06-27 02:09:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb630fd…
06-26 04:13:11	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5afddc…
06-26 03:45:16	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96f77e…
06-26 03:19:11	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd60240…
06-26 03:09:40	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1252e2…
06-25 03:50:52	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2e8660…
06-25 03:42:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa937f9…
06-25 03:38:07	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9298ab…
06-25 03:35:41	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x55a581…
06-24 03:44:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x731aee…
06-24 03:38:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafb58d…
06-24 03:37:52	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfc8ccd…
06-24 03:32:02	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1d0390…
06-23 02:48:26	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3ca882…
06-23 02:31:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb73d1b…