Instructive-Emotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-15 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 35% $-6

Politics

7% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$13	28	11	+17	open	—	05-01 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 22:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$11	52	0	+52	open	—	04-09 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$9	9	5	+4	open	—	05-01 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	8	$8	16	15	+1	Up	$-0	05-07 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$6	40	1	+38	open	—	05-01 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$6	16	3	+13	open	—	05-01 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$6	141	3	+138	open	—	05-01 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$6	13	8	+5	Up	+$1	05-07 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$6	12	1	+11	open	—	05-01 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$5	7	2	+5	open	—	05-01 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 16:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	1	$5	77	0	+77	open	—	04-12 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$5	8	2	+6	open	—	05-01 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$4	67	17	+50	open	—	05-01 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-0	05-07 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$0	05-07 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$4	8	2	+5	open	—	05-01 13:32
btc updown 15m 1776796200	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 11:28:43	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x06dc1f…
05-07 23:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4b7416…
05-07 23:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x085eb3…
05-07 23:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb7930b…
05-07 23:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2f59ac…
05-07 23:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe05608…
05-07 23:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe56547…
05-07 23:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x81d73e…
05-07 23:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xb4df83…
05-07 23:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x85f65a…
05-07 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x07b23d…
05-07 23:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x59027f…
05-07 23:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x93bff1…
05-07 23:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x296bc8…
05-07 22:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xca8c6a…
05-07 22:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x9c6368…
05-07 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x859184…
05-07 22:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x569fd0…
05-07 22:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9a5d29…
05-07 22:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9cd981…
05-07 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0ebc7b…
05-07 22:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x62e1f4…
05-07 22:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x704d31…
05-07 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb903a8…
05-07 22:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x76b340…
05-07 22:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xb8a4bd…
05-07 22:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x95c618…
05-07 22:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8d0dfe…
05-07 22:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xba5380…
05-07 22:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x803bfb…
05-07 22:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x7cc6b2…
05-07 22:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x41014a…
05-07 22:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa22953…
05-07 22:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x08e204…
05-07 22:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x08a4bc…
05-07 22:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa7c818…
05-07 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ae68e…
05-07 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8d683d…
05-07 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x423fde…
05-06 06:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3f331e…
05-05 17:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0725e8…
05-05 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6aacca…
05-05 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x83d51f…
05-05 12:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x066b8b…
05-05 12:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb1ffd3…
05-05 12:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x98d777…
05-05 11:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2110d0…
05-05 11:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1f7ac9…
05-05 11:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x36c94b…
05-05 11:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdb9409…
05-05 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5d126e…
05-01 18:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x160bab…
05-01 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdbddf6…
05-01 18:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe4efb2…
05-01 18:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeaad3d…
05-01 18:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5d3c7f…
05-01 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x60d13f…
05-01 18:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8da6ea…
05-01 18:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x256340…
05-01 18:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e040f…
05-01 18:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x952faf…
05-01 18:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8cadc5…
05-01 18:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x84914b…
05-01 18:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf7305e…
05-01 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa3196d…
05-01 18:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7eacc6…
05-01 18:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x150aeb…
05-01 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75c724…
05-01 17:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe7dd0a…
05-01 17:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdd4312…
05-01 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x21f442…
05-01 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x433e86…
05-01 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe88a74…
05-01 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd9e076…
05-01 17:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x88e972…
05-01 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x94742b…
05-01 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x893276…
05-01 17:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8306cc…
05-01 17:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa5971d…
05-01 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xabd82b…
05-01 17:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd25cc9…
05-01 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe013e4…
05-01 17:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8e7837…
05-01 17:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x5bc385…
05-01 17:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x712f0f…
05-01 16:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x200b39…
05-01 16:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x868f7c…
05-01 16:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x6a3028…
05-01 16:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb7c4e1…
05-01 16:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc2a53a…
05-01 16:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x020ec3…
05-01 16:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8967d7…
05-01 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbed092…
05-01 16:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0627ef…
05-01 16:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x560da7…
05-01 16:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x006944…
05-01 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x00cf0a…
05-01 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xc5c5c6…
05-01 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x7bc645…
05-01 16:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7db5a8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	104	$70.0K	3,434	05-09 19:27
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	103	$44.2K	6,486	05-07 23:13
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	102	$209.3K	8,506	05-07 23:13
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	102	$42.4K	11,512	05-07 23:13
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	102	$41.5K	5,950	05-07 23:13
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	102	$39.7K	10,884	05-07 23:13
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	102	$21.8K	3,759	05-07 23:13
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	102	$8.17K	1,100	05-07 23:13