All-Paddock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

1,482

Trades

3,961

lifetime

Volume

$51.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-18 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 75% -$1,000

Politics

14% 62% +$545

Other

11% 58% +$616

Sports

0% 17% -$64

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	19	$2.2K	4,148	4,648	-500	No	+$154	03-24 21:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	10	$1.3K	6,281	6,781	-500	No	+$235	03-02 18:18
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	18	$1.1K	2,406	2,769	-363	No	+$141	03-12 20:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	34	$967	5,184	4,144	+1,039	No	+$287	03-01 17:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	20	$950	2,979	3,334	-355	No	+$96	03-12 19:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$799	12,983	12,983	+0	Yes	-$131	03-01 06:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	11	$751	2,098	2,610	-512	Yes	-$362	04-07 18:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$549	7,389	7,144	+245	No	-$48	04-07 18:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$536	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$116	04-12 21:20
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$452	366	366	+0	No	+$46	05-16 22:17
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	9	$414	483	950	-467	No	+$177	03-11 13:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 22:30 UTC	50	$361	600	0	+600	Up	+$239	02-07 22:44
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$328	1,610	2,131	-521	No	+$99	03-11 21:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$247	346	346	+0	Yes	+$44	03-31 19:53
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$227	300	200	+100	Yes	+$237	02-28 06:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$214	626	626	+0	No	+$11	03-09 20:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	21	$214	264	264	+0	No	+$8	04-16 23:21
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$208	635	635	-0	No	+$8	03-02 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 19:15 UTC	7	$195	100	100	+0	Up	+$5	01-28 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:45 UTC	2	$193	247	0	+247	Up	+$55	01-29 20:58
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$173	177	0	+177	Yes	+$4	06-21 05:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 23:00 UTC	9	$163	70	105	-35	Up	+$5	01-31 23:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$154	82	82	+0	open	—	05-27 17:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	3	$137	70	70	+0	Down	+$2	02-02 13:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$122	1,108	1,108	+0	Yes	+$60	04-01 00:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	8	$122	700	700	+0	No	+$36	04-12 21:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:00 UTC	2	$119	179	0	+179	Down	-$119	01-29 22:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$110	900	900	+0	Yes	+$12	02-28 20:49
xrp up or down january 20 1pm et	8	$109	70	70	+0	Down	+$15	01-20 18:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 09:15 UTC	2	$109	100	100	+0	Up	+$81	01-16 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 22:25:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xa9c939…
07-18 22:22:36	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x1f0406…
06-29 14:08:44	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6fd7c9…
06-28 20:24:29	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x0265c6…
06-25 09:05:05	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x61087f…
06-25 09:04:43	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8d18fd…
06-25 09:03:49	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x70536b…
06-24 18:34:34	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x699162…
06-24 18:34:16	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x03c749…
06-23 18:46:20	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 4pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe91908…
06-21 19:52:49	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x984b36…
06-21 11:44:02	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xcb34bf…
06-21 11:42:35	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	443	2¢	$10	0x28045d…
06-21 11:42:29	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	557	2¢	$13	0x221231…
06-21 05:26:10	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	177	98¢	$173	0x285c5f…
06-20 20:50:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	123	30¢	$37	0x33218f…
06-14 19:44:33	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$15	0x73e11c…
05-27 17:53:35	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,230	1¢	$14	0x08c1a7…
05-27 17:52:48	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x47fe38…
05-27 17:51:17	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0xee6a5c…
05-27 17:50:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x868a7e…
05-27 17:49:39	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$19	0x059211…
05-27 17:48:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	82	94¢	$77	0x630089…
05-19 10:52:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	82	93¢	$77	0xcca656…
05-16 22:25:36	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0xf500f7…
05-16 22:22:53	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	715	4¢	$25	0x2ad199…
05-16 22:22:51	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9d88c8…
05-16 22:22:51	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x20a5ba…
05-16 22:22:43	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	4¢	$6	0x77b9bd…
05-16 22:18:53	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$13	0xd50039…
05-16 22:17:28	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	366	68¢	$249	0x2157b4…
05-13 09:20:46	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	366	55¢	$203	0x8d5685…
04-16 23:21:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	42¢	$51	0xcb3894…
04-16 23:15:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x5b966d…
04-16 23:13:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xfb74e8…
04-16 23:13:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x9212ee…
04-16 23:11:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x496fe2…
04-16 23:11:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xbff2ef…
04-16 23:11:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x03b665…
04-16 23:11:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	42¢	$14	0x38bb94…
04-16 23:11:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x771dfa…
04-16 23:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xe9b92b…
04-16 23:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xb1ad37…
04-16 23:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x876241…
04-16 23:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x3cd7d5…
04-16 23:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x19eeec…
04-16 23:11:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xaa8d43…
04-16 23:11:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	42¢	$25	0xd17062…
04-16 23:11:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x7873af…
04-16 23:11:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x151955…
04-16 18:22:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xa5ee6b…
04-16 18:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x840c35…
04-16 18:18:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x897bda…
04-12 22:32:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x6a80d5…
04-12 21:41:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	134	11¢	$15	0x09f85a…
04-12 21:20:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	2,000	16¢	$326	0x08ef9d…
04-12 21:03:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x984272…
04-12 21:03:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x86d1ed…
04-12 21:03:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	538	11¢	$61	0xf3c941…
04-11 05:51:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x09ca75…
04-11 05:38:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	992	9¢	$89	0x013f1e…
04-09 16:22:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	396	6¢	$24	0xc4fdd9…
04-09 16:15:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x7c1d71…
04-09 16:15:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xf5489a…
04-09 16:05:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	277	6¢	$17	0x5bd90c…
04-09 15:48:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xcc3818…
04-07 18:08:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	800	13¢	$101	0x43167d…
04-07 18:07:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	276	12¢	$33	0xeeaca7…
04-07 18:06:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	7,144	4¢	$251	0xbdeba7…
04-05 21:39:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,889	4¢	$209	0x48415c…
04-05 21:12:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x2a5ac3…
04-05 16:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,500	3¢	$50	0xcadf31…
04-05 16:36:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	316	10¢	$31	0xf7a18c…
04-03 00:40:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	267	6¢	$16	0xa65aa7…
04-03 00:38:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	245	6¢	$15	0x6f9e4f…
04-03 00:36:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	288	6¢	$17	0xd5282d…
04-01 04:03:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	1,660	19¢	$315	0xfbe3fc…
04-01 00:50:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$6	0x069aac…
03-31 20:02:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0xdf8e88…
03-31 19:53:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	346	42¢	$145	0xc52af4…
03-31 19:51:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	969	8¢	$79	0x95952e…
03-31 19:49:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x9d51ad…
03-31 19:43:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x08be02…
03-31 17:33:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	512	21¢	$108	0x8e64cf…
03-31 17:32:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	488	21¢	$102	0x86e9a5…
03-31 17:29:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x7fd056…
03-31 17:29:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0xc72544…
03-30 17:11:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	255	13¢	$33	0xf89719…
03-30 10:04:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,108	3¢	$31	0x15aebd…
03-29 19:50:04	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xe9302b…
03-29 15:30:22	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x017af9…
03-29 15:30:20	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	99	32¢	$32	0xecd4f1…
03-26 12:29:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	410	7¢	$30	0x2aab18…
03-24 21:14:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	13¢	$16	0xfecd04…
03-24 21:14:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	136	13¢	$18	0x9ca7db…
03-24 21:14:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0xcc643a…
03-24 21:02:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,801	24¢	$432	0xdd3b69…
03-24 20:37:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	155	20¢	$31	0x8b9ebc…
03-24 20:37:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	987	21¢	$207	0xfba811…
03-24 20:34:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	155	20¢	$31	0x73ba9e…