Realized P&L (90d)
-$228
Unrealized P&L
+$335
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved (90d)
25
Trades (90d)
145
362 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.90K
$13.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$836
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 20:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
55% 63% +$841
Crypto
35% 47% -$810
Other
9% 33% -$31
Sports
0% 50% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +845 $510 88¢ $739 +$230 09-19 16:05
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -55 -$64 96¢ $-53 +$11 09-15 21:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +81 $30 36¢ $29 -$1 11-03 20:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +20 $10 46¢ $9 -$1 11-03 20:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 07-11 23:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +48 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 05-25 14:39
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-19 18:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-27 20:05
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +0 -$108 94¢ $0 +$108 09-04 07:49