Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$398
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
110
Trades
379
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$1.05K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 14:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
55% 63% +$841
Crypto
34% 47% -$810
Other
11% 33% -$31
Sports
0% 50% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +845 $510 91¢ $769 +$259 09-19 16:05
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? No +119 $101 91¢ $109 +$7 11-06 14:21
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -55 -$64 97¢ $-53 +$11 09-15 21:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +81 $30 56¢ $46 +$16 11-03 20:04
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +39 $30 84¢ $33 +$3 11-04 20:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +32 $20 80¢ $26 +$6 11-04 20:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +18 $10 68¢ $12 +$2 11-04 20:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 07-11 23:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +48 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 05-25 14:39
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-19 18:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-27 20:05
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +0 -$108 92¢ $0 +$108 09-04 07:49