Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$359
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
110
Trades
374
lifetime
Volume
$14.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$912
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Politics
55% 63% +$841
Crypto
35% 47% -$810
Other
10% 33% -$31
Sports
0% 50% +$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +845 $510 90¢ $756 +$247 09-19 16:05
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -55 -$64 98¢ $-54 +$10 09-15 21:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +81 $30 44¢ $36 +$6 11-03 20:04
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +39 $30 76¢ $30 +$0 11-04 20:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 11-04 20:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +18 $10 54¢ $10 $0 11-04 20:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 07-11 23:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +48 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 05-25 14:39
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-19 18:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-27 20:05
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +0 -$108 92¢ $0 +$108 09-04 07:49