Dual-Transition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

16 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$512

$512 lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 30% $-25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 14?	No		-20	$-20	100¢	$-20	$-0	05-14 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?	1	$141	0	141	-141	No	$-0	05-13 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 13?	1	$118	0	118	-118	No	$-0	05-13 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14?	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	05-14 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 14?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12?	2	$34	59	27	+32	No	$-33	05-11 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 14?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	05-14 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?	2	$20	62	0	+62	Yes	+$42	05-11 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	1	$15	42	0	+42	No	$-15	05-13 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 14?	1	$14	0	14	-14	open	—	05-14 10:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	05-11 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?	1	$10	53	0	+53	Yes	$-10	05-12 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	1	$10	81	0	+81	No	$-10	05-13 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	$-10	05-11 10:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-11 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 16:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b7962…
05-14 10:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 14?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x654569…
05-14 07:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x62c05b…
05-14 07:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x5cf7fc…
05-13 22:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 13?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x8f22f7…
05-13 20:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xc3b438…
05-13 06:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x0b795a…
05-13 06:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xcc82a0…
05-12 11:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x90ebfd…
05-11 21:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12?	No	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xf92734…
05-11 21:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x3f37d6…
05-11 21:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x94ae63…
05-11 21:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4003b7…
05-11 10:43:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7eba6d…
05-11 10:42:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa337a3…
05-11 10:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x923685…