Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 16?
No won
Total volume
$24,842
Trades
1,530
Unique wallets
272
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-17 05:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.5¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $11.0K
vs crowd: 20% YES on $24.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 47 | $1.0K | $12.0K | $11.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 66 | $3.1K | $6.5K | $3.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 115 | $631 | $1.2K | $536 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $70 | $114 | $43 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 57 | $2.9K | $8.1K | $5.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 62 | $576 | $1.4K | $788 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $77 | $80 | $3 |
| Median | 18 | $10 | $59 | $49 |
| Below median | 43 | $141 | $249 | $108 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 26 | $144 | $322 | $178 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 29 | $228 | $4.3K | $4.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $802 | $5.4K | $4.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2868…97f8 | Yes | +6,230 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-17 02:10 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +3,744 | $558 | $558 | 12 | 10-16 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x14f6…d607 | No | +3,400 | $3,397 | $3,397 | 6 | 10-17 05:01 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +2,922 | $2,919 | $2,919 | 2 | 10-17 05:01 |
| Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | +1,959 | $1,955 | $1,955 | 15 | 10-17 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +1,108 | $261 | $261 | 39 | 10-16 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | No | +1,045 | $622 | $622 | 3 | 10-16 04:53 |
| Well-Lit-Puppet 0xe7c6…2b25 | Yes | +1,027 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 10-16 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1812…df78 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-17 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa059…dbcf | Yes | +1,000 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 10-16 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +960 | $709 | $709 | 28 | 10-16 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | +857 | $464 | $464 | 5 | 10-16 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +742 | $610 | $610 | 17 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +695 | $541 | $541 | 19 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | No | +600 | $599 | $599 | 1 | 10-17 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +555 | $487 | $487 | 21 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +526 | $487 | $487 | 3 | 10-16 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x26b1…cc81 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | +481 | $192 | $192 | 4 | 10-16 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | Yes | +444 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 10-16 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +414 | $215 | $215 | 9 | 10-16 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1fe…cafe | Yes | +360 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 10-16 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | +352 | $1 | $3 | 5 | 10-16 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | No | +306 | $154 | $154 | 10 | 10-16 05:34 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | +298 | $241 | $241 | 18 | 10-16 19:12 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +276 | $255 | $255 | 10 | 10-16 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +273 | $60 | $60 | 43 | 10-16 22:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +267 | $201 | $201 | 33 | 10-16 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | +257 | $106 | $106 | 3 | 10-16 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +256 | $91 | $91 | 15 | 10-16 05:48 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +252 | $212 | $212 | 15 | 10-16 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e0e…2d75 | No | +250 | $146 | $146 | 7 | 10-16 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | +246 | $103 | $103 | 6 | 10-16 04:53 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +244 | $200 | $200 | 13 | 10-16 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc179…5cde | Yes | +228 | $106 | $246 | 17 | 10-16 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72b…0f1d | No | +226 | $146 | $146 | 2 | 10-16 04:54 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +220 | $168 | $168 | 6 | 10-16 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x26b1…cc81 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +199 | $167 | $167 | 13 | 10-16 19:12 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | +195 | $88 | $88 | 4 | 10-16 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +195 | $148 | $521 | 70 | 10-16 22:11 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +194 | $76 | $87 | 2 | 10-16 05:39 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | +190 | $150 | $150 | 4 | 10-16 15:00 |
| Whole-Challenge 0xafde…3e1d | Yes | +188 | $50 | $245 | 9 | 10-16 06:13 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +181 | $147 | $147 | 12 | 10-16 21:58 |
| Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | +171 | $129 | $129 | 10 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | +165 | $134 | $134 | 11 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +140 | $114 | $114 | 10 | 10-16 22:04 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | +126 | $36 | $36 | 9 | 10-16 22:11 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | +126 | $39 | $39 | 10 | 10-16 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cb…e987 | Yes | +118 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 10-16 04:54 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +109 | $51 | $51 | 10 | 10-16 05:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2612…5289 | Yes | +107 | $17 | $17 | 16 | 10-16 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb65…2dfc | Yes | +106 | $42 | $42 | 8 | 10-15 22:06 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | +104 | $36 | $36 | 7 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | +102 | $41 | $41 | 8 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Yellowish-Bin 0x9be5…6c75 | Yes | +100 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 10-16 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x33c8…de24 | Yes | +100 | $26 | $43 | 7 | 10-16 22:00 |
| Small-Notebook 0x331b…193f | Yes | +99 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-16 21:10 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | +98 | $13 | $13 | 6 | 10-16 18:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 05:01:10 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 922 | 100¢ | $921 | 0x96bc7b… |
| 10-17 05:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x14f6…d607 | No | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0x96bc7b… |
| 10-17 05:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x1812…df78 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x96bc7b… |
| 10-17 02:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x14f6…d607 | No | BUY | 622 | 100¢ | $621 | 0x6014b1… |
| 10-17 02:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x2868…97f8 | Yes | BUY | 1,470 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6014b1… |
| 10-17 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x14f6…d607 | No | BUY | 852 | 100¢ | $851 | 0x005f42… |
| 10-17 02:01:41 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x005f42… |
| 10-17 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x2868…97f8 | Yes | BUY | 4,760 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x005f42… |
| 10-17 02:01:41 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0x005f42… |
| 10-17 02:01:41 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x005f42… |
| 10-16 23:55:00 | Private-Doctrine 0x37de…6fab | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbaae40… |
| 10-16 23:55:00 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbaae40… |
| 10-16 22:46:08 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1251a7… |
| 10-16 22:46:08 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 86 | 100¢ | $86 | 0x1251a7… |
| 10-16 22:46:08 | Low-Venom 0x6e2e…d8a9 | No | SELL | 104 | 100¢ | $104 | 0x1251a7… |
| 10-16 22:40:11 | Stunning-Mousse 0xaf78…c915 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfe8747… |
| 10-16 22:40:11 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xfe8747… |
| 10-16 22:37:15 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x6b2095… |
| 10-16 22:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x01e5…49a3 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x6b2095… |
| 10-16 22:20:33 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd1b7d2… |
| 10-16 22:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x5fe7…440c | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd1b7d2… |
| 10-16 22:17:33 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd9a8aa… |
| 10-16 22:17:33 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd9a8aa… |
| 10-16 22:13:15 | (anonymous) 0x82bf…9934 | No | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x8ddb4c… |
| 10-16 22:13:15 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x8ddb4c… |
| 10-16 22:13:11 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x72990f… |
| 10-16 22:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x95d3…6eff | No | SELL | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x72990f… |
| 10-16 22:13:11 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf5349f… |
| 10-16 22:13:11 | Amusing-Towel 0x7353…b6c5 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf5349f… |
| 10-16 22:11:57 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | BUY | 324 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x46034e… |
| 10-16 22:11:57 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 324 | 100¢ | $323 | 0x46034e… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | (anonymous) 0xc6e2…06f4 | No | SELL | 107 | 100¢ | $107 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Playful-Meatball 0x397c…d433 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | (anonymous) 0x91bf…367d | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | (anonymous) 0xf928…2da3 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | (anonymous) 0x26b1…cc81 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | No | BUY | 1,031 | 100¢ | $1,029 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:50 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd97534… |
| 10-16 22:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x7c72…825e | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x75e624… |
| 10-16 22:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x75e624… |
| 10-16 22:11:39 | (anonymous) 0x7c72…825e | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x82c3a2… |
| 10-16 22:11:39 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x82c3a2… |
| 10-16 22:11:39 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x82c3a2… |
| 10-16 22:11:39 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x75e624… |
| 10-16 22:11:30 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x08ceb5… |
| 10-16 22:11:30 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfaa13b… |
| 10-16 22:11:30 | Mature-Gherkin 0x1655…08e1 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfaa13b… |
| 10-16 22:11:30 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x08ceb5… |
| 10-16 22:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98bea2… |
| 10-16 22:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x7c72…825e | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x98bea2… |
| 10-16 22:10:20 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x98bea2… |
| 10-16 22:04:24 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $60 | 0x59c449… |
| 10-16 22:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x59c449… |
| 10-16 22:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x59c449… |
| 10-16 22:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x7c72…825e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x59c449… |
| 10-16 22:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x5005…23fe | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x008416… |
| 10-16 22:00:44 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $39 | 0x008416… |
| 10-16 22:00:44 | Untidy-Link 0x8a92…8586 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x008416… |
| 10-16 22:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x566623… |
| 10-16 22:00:44 | False-Teammate 0xe977…700f | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x566623… |
| 10-16 22:00:44 | False-Teammate 0xe977…700f | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x008416… |
| 10-16 22:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x33c8…de24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x58958e… |
| 10-16 22:00:24 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x58958e… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x32e5…3ed4 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x26b1…cc81 | No | BUY | 149 | 95¢ | $142 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | False-Teammate 0xe977…700f | No | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7fa66f… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ecf0f… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x5005…23fe | No | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Untidy-Link 0x8a92…8586 | No | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 206 | 97¢ | $200 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Indolent-Province 0xc41d…c51d | Yes | SELL | 384 | 9¢ | $35 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x31b648… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0x33c8…de24 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Recent-Prayer 0xee43…09a2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ecf0f… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x7fa66f… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Well-Lit-Puppet 0xe7c6…2b25 | Yes | BUY | 1,027 | 8¢ | $82 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Rigid-Jewel 0x0558…2868 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x31b648… |
| 10-16 22:00:14 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x9021e3… |
| 10-16 22:00:12 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xaeeef7… |
| 10-16 22:00:12 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd4cc33… |
| 10-16 22:00:12 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x868be8… |
| 10-16 22:00:12 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd4cc33… |
| 10-16 22:00:12 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xaeeef7… |
| 10-16 22:00:12 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x868be8… |