Realized P&L
+$31
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
1,528
Trades
2,289
lifetime
Volume
$18.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$800
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-27 23:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
90% 54% -$179
Politics
7% 64% +$274
Crypto
2% 57% -$59
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +51 $38 94¢ $48 +$10 10-23 22:38
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +111 $38 40¢ $45 +$7 10-20 19:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +44 $38 98¢ $43 +$5 10-25 08:43
will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in october 2026 No +44 $38 97¢ $43 +$5 10-17 21:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +45 $38 94¢ $43 +$5 10-25 13:38
will ethereum dip to 2000 in october 2026 No +41 $38 97¢ $40 +$2 10-14 13:15
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +97 $38 40¢ $38 +$0 10-24 13:06
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +43 $38 88¢ $38 $0 10-27 23:01
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $38 70¢ $38 -$1 10-26 00:43
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +52 $38 72¢ $37 -$1 10-27 17:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +53 $19 63¢ $34 +$15 10-27 15:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $38 56¢ $29 -$10 10-26 02:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +43 $29 66¢ $28 $0 10-26 20:52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +31 $19 78¢ $24 +$5 10-17 21:37
will bitcoin dip to 75k in october 2026 No +25 $19 92¢ $23 +$4 10-14 13:19
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +25 $19 90¢ $23 +$4 10-24 05:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +23 $19 92¢ $21 +$2 10-17 21:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +32 $19 64¢ $21 +$2 10-25 21:58
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +22 $19 92¢ $20 +$1 10-28 00:23
will bitcoin dip to 70k in october 2026 No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$1 10-17 20:43
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 10-23 09:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +130 $38 14¢ $19 -$20 10-23 21:26
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +29 $19 62¢ $18 -$1 10-24 16:26
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +126 $38 14¢ $18 -$20 10-25 20:16
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $19 62¢ $18 -$1 10-24 14:11
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +41 $10 29¢ $12 +$2 10-25 16:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-21 04:09
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$1 10-23 12:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-24 09:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-23 13:44